Financials The Mosaic Company

Equities

MOS

US61945C1036

Agricultural Chemicals

Real-time Estimate Cboe BZX 02:48:13 2024-05-24 pm EDT 5-day change 1st Jan Change
30.82 USD -0.69% Intraday chart for The Mosaic Company +0.47% -13.92%

Valuation

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 8,196 8,723 14,889 14,937 11,678 9,976 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 12,292 12,727 18,401 17,824 15,091 13,582 13,506 13,415
P/E ratio -7.78 x 13.1 x 9.2 x 4.36 x 10.2 x 13.8 x 11.9 x 12.3 x
Yield 0.81% 0.87% 0.7% 1.37% 2.94% 2.7% 2.75% 2.78%
Capitalization / Revenue 0.92 x 1 x 1.2 x 0.78 x 0.85 x 0.82 x 0.83 x 0.81 x
EV / Revenue 1.38 x 1.47 x 1.49 x 0.93 x 1.1 x 1.11 x 1.13 x 1.09 x
EV / EBITDA 9.13 x 8.14 x 5.13 x 2.87 x 5.47 x 5.83 x 5.93 x 6.05 x
EV / FCF -69.5 x 30.9 x 20.5 x 6.63 x 15 x 15.5 x 15.4 x 14.4 x
FCF Yield -1.44% 3.24% 4.88% 15.1% 6.66% 6.47% 6.48% 6.93%
Price to Book 0.89 x 0.91 x 1.44 x 1.42 x 0.94 x 0.8 x 0.76 x 0.75 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 378,763 379,090 378,955 340,481 326,835 321,393 - -
Reference price 2 21.64 23.01 39.29 43.87 35.73 31.04 31.04 31.04
Announcement Date 2/19/20 2/17/21 2/22/22 2/22/23 2/21/24 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 8,906 8,682 12,357 19,125 13,696 12,199 11,971 12,275
EBITDA 1 1,347 1,563 3,585 6,216 2,761 2,330 2,277 2,217
EBIT 1 460.1 700 2,742 5,256 1,768 1,340 1,323 1,410
Operating Margin 5.17% 8.06% 22.19% 27.48% 12.91% 10.98% 11.05% 11.48%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 -1,256 180.9 2,225 4,642 1,326 949.9 1,070 1,064
Net income 1 -1,067 666.1 1,631 3,583 1,165 724.6 826.4 803.6
Net margin -11.98% 7.67% 13.2% 18.73% 8.51% 5.94% 6.9% 6.55%
EPS 2 -2.780 1.750 4.270 10.06 3.500 2.248 2.602 2.529
Free Cash Flow 1 -176.8 412 898.4 2,688 1,005 878.5 875 929.7
FCF margin -1.99% 4.75% 7.27% 14.06% 7.34% 7.2% 7.31% 7.57%
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) - 26.36% 25.06% 43.25% 36.39% 37.7% 38.42% 41.92%
FCF Conversion (Net income) - 61.85% 55.1% 75.04% 86.26% 121.23% 105.88% 115.69%
Dividend per Share 2 0.1750 0.2000 0.2750 0.6000 1.050 0.8369 0.8527 0.8643
Announcement Date 2/19/20 2/17/21 2/22/22 2/22/23 2/21/24 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: December 2021 Q4 2022 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2023 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2024 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Q4 2025 Q1 2025 Q2
Net sales 1 3,841 3,922 5,373 5,348 4,481 3,604 3,394 3,548 3,150 2,679 2,907 3,363 3,018 2,628 2,690
EBITDA 1 1,227 1,451 2,028 1,686 1,051 777 744 594 646 576 590.9 598.9 603.3 537.5 583.4
EBIT 1 1,007 1,209 1,784 1,451 812 545 491 349 383 326 293.9 348.7 350.5 292 307
Operating Margin 26.22% 30.82% 33.2% 27.13% 18.12% 15.12% 14.47% 9.84% 12.16% 12.17% 10.11% 10.37% 11.61% 11.11% 11.41%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 885.9 1,527 1,377 1,061 677.2 546 474.6 -18.6 323.9 25.2 287.9 284.6 292.3 184.7 258.6
Net income 1 664.8 1,182 1,036 841.7 523.2 434.8 369 -4.2 365.3 45.2 229.4 240.7 212.6 153.2 201
Net margin 17.31% 30.14% 19.28% 15.74% 11.68% 12.06% 10.87% -0.12% 11.6% 1.69% 7.89% 7.16% 7.04% 5.83% 7.47%
EPS 2 1.760 3.190 2.850 2.420 1.520 1.280 1.110 -0.0100 1.110 0.1400 0.7403 0.7477 0.6776 0.5333 0.7467
Dividend per Share 2 0.0750 0.1130 0.1500 0.1500 0.1500 0.4500 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 0.2100 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000
Announcement Date 2/22/22 5/2/22 8/1/22 11/7/22 2/22/23 5/3/23 8/1/23 11/7/23 2/21/24 5/1/24 - - - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 4,095 4,004 3,512 2,887 3,413 3,606 3,530 3,439
Net Cash position 1 - - - - - - - -
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.04 x 2.562 x 0.9797 x 0.4644 x 1.236 x 1.547 x 1.55 x 1.551 x
Free Cash Flow 1 -177 412 898 2,689 1,005 879 875 930
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) 0.63% 3.45% 19.1% 31.6% 9.77% 6.16% 5.39% 5.31%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) 0.31% 1.66% 9.2% 15.8% 5.02% 3.71% 3.74% 3.68%
Assets 1 -342,555 40,168 17,731 22,711 23,209 19,532 22,100 21,845
Book Value Per Share 2 24.30 25.30 27.20 30.80 37.90 38.70 40.80 41.40
Cash Flow per Share 2 2.850 4.150 5.730 11.10 7.220 5.460 5.230 5.460
Capex 1 1,272 1,171 1,289 1,247 1,402 1,160 1,063 1,042
Capex / Sales 14.28% 13.48% 10.43% 6.52% 10.24% 9.51% 8.88% 8.49%
Announcement Date 2/19/20 2/17/21 2/22/22 2/22/23 2/21/24 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
B+
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
20
Last Close Price
31.04 USD
Average target price
35.69 USD
Spread / Average Target
+15.00%
Consensus
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