ASPEN AEROGELS, INC. |
Real-time Estimate
Other stock markets
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 27.92 USD | +1.18% |
|
+4.59% | +74.84% |
Valuation
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capitalization 1 | 188.6 | 448.4 | 1,647 | 780.2 | 1,204 | 2,101 | - | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 188.1 | 435.6 | 1,647 | 780.2 | 1,180 | 2,140 | 2,429 | 2,532 |
| P/E ratio | -12.9 x | -20.1 x | -40.8 x | -5.61 x | -23.9 x | 360 x | 42.1 x | 24 x |
| Yield | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 1.35 x | 4.47 x | 13.5 x | 4.33 x | 5.04 x | 5.32 x | 3.74 x | 2.95 x |
| EV / Revenue | 1.35 x | 4.34 x | 13.5 x | 4.33 x | 4.94 x | 5.41 x | 4.32 x | 3.55 x |
| EV / EBITDA | -1,075 x | -68.4 x | -63.4 x | -12.9 x | -51.4 x | 35.4 x | 19.9 x | 14.1 x |
| EV / FCF | -59.4 x | -32.7 x | -50.8 x | -2.86 x | -5.41 x | -40.3 x | -12.2 x | 156 x |
| FCF Yield | -1.68% | -3.06% | -1.97% | -34.9% | -18.5% | -2.48% | -8.21% | 0.64% |
| Price to Book | 3.2 x | 6.84 x | 11.8 x | 1.05 x | 2.47 x | 4.15 x | 3.73 x | 3.45 x |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 24,300 | 26,868 | 33,079 | 66,173 | 76,318 | 76,161 | - | - |
| Reference price 2 | 7.760 | 16.69 | 49.79 | 11.79 | 15.78 | 27.59 | 27.59 | 27.59 |
| Announcement Date | 2/20/20 | 2/18/21 | 2/17/22 | 2/15/23 | 2/12/24 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 139.4 | 100.3 | 121.6 | 180.4 | 238.7 | 395.3 | 561.6 | 712.3 |
| EBITDA 1 | -0.175 | -6.367 | -25.98 | -60.64 | -22.93 | 60.37 | 121.9 | 179 |
| EBIT 1 | -14.16 | -21.57 | -40.6 | -79.24 | -49.2 | 16.4 | 69.49 | 122.3 |
| Operating Margin | -10.16% | -21.51% | -33.38% | -43.94% | -20.61% | 4.15% | 12.37% | 17.17% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | -14.56 | -21.81 | -37.09 | -82.74 | -45.81 | 7.195 | 53.61 | 99.44 |
| Net income 1 | -14.56 | -21.81 | -37.09 | -82.74 | -45.81 | 5.736 | 50.52 | 89.99 |
| Net margin | -10.45% | -21.75% | -30.5% | -45.87% | -19.19% | 1.45% | 8.99% | 12.63% |
| EPS 2 | -0.6000 | -0.8300 | -1.220 | -2.100 | -0.6600 | 0.0767 | 0.6556 | 1.148 |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | -3.166 | -13.34 | -32.41 | -272.4 | -218.1 | -53.09 | -199.5 | 16.22 |
| FCF margin | -2.27% | -13.3% | -26.64% | -151.01% | -91.35% | -13.43% | -35.52% | 2.28% |
| FCF Conversion (EBITDA) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 9.06% |
| FCF Conversion (Net income) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 18.02% |
| Dividend per Share | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 2/20/20 | 2/18/21 | 2/17/22 | 2/15/23 | 2/12/24 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 Q4 | 2022 Q1 | 2022 Q2 | 2022 Q3 | 2022 Q4 | 2023 Q1 | 2023 Q2 | 2023 Q3 | 2023 Q4 | 2024 Q1 | 2024 Q2 | 2024 Q3 | 2024 Q4 | 2025 Q1 | 2025 Q2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 31.48 | 38.41 | 45.64 | 36.71 | 59.61 | 45.59 | 48.16 | 60.76 | 84.22 | 94.5 | 99.32 | 102.6 | 98.91 | 118.2 | 131.6 |
| EBITDA 1 | -12.15 | -14.67 | -18.32 | -23.19 | -4.464 | -13.94 | -10.83 | -7.295 | 9.132 | 12.93 | 14.94 | 16.41 | 15.18 | 26.08 | 32.21 |
| EBIT 1 | -16.31 | -18.62 | -22.65 | -28.31 | -9.666 | -18.91 | -17.04 | -14.63 | 1.383 | 5.138 | 4.732 | 4.672 | 2.836 | 10.8 | 14.6 |
| Operating Margin | -51.83% | -48.49% | -49.62% | -77.12% | -16.22% | -41.48% | -35.39% | -24.09% | 1.64% | 5.44% | 4.76% | 4.55% | 2.87% | 9.14% | 11.1% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | -16.35 | -19.48 | -24.05 | -29.6 | -9.609 | -16.8 | -15.42 | -13.07 | -0.519 | -1.079 | 3.144 | 3.074 | 0.7368 | 8.1 | 11.8 |
| Net income 1 | -16.35 | -19.48 | -24.05 | -29.6 | -9.609 | -16.8 | -15.42 | -13.07 | -0.519 | -1.835 | 3.223 | 3.271 | 0.6884 | 8.686 | 13.21 |
| Net margin | -51.96% | -50.73% | -52.7% | -80.63% | -16.12% | -36.84% | -32.03% | -21.52% | -0.62% | -1.94% | 3.25% | 3.19% | 0.7% | 7.35% | 10.04% |
| EPS 2 | -0.5000 | -0.5900 | -0.6800 | -0.7500 | -0.2000 | -0.2400 | -0.2200 | -0.1900 | -0.0100 | -0.0200 | 0.0433 | 0.0422 | 0.008890 | 0.0900 | 0.1450 |
| Dividend per Share | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 2/17/22 | 4/27/22 | 7/27/22 | 10/26/22 | 2/15/23 | 5/3/23 | 8/2/23 | 11/1/23 | 2/12/24 | 5/1/24 | - | - | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Balance Sheet Analysis
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 38.7 | 328 | 431 |
| Net Cash position 1 | 0.51 | 12.8 | - | - | 24.7 | - | - | - |
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | - | - | - | - | - | 0.641 x | 2.688 x | 2.406 x |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | -3.17 | -13.3 | -32.4 | -272 | -218 | -53.1 | -200 | 16.2 |
| ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) | -22.5% | -34.4% | -21.1% | -28.9% | -9.79% | 3.35% | 9.1% | 10.2% |
| ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) | -14.4% | -21.7% | -29.1% | -19.9% | -6.8% | 4.45% | 9.1% | 5.4% |
| Assets 1 | 101.3 | 100.5 | 127.4 | 414.8 | 673.2 | 128.9 | 555.1 | 1,666 |
| Book Value Per Share 2 | 2.430 | 2.440 | 4.220 | 11.30 | 6.380 | 6.650 | 7.410 | 8.000 |
| Cash Flow per Share 2 | -0.0400 | -0.3800 | -0.6100 | -2.400 | -0.6100 | -0.2100 | 1.170 | 1.420 |
| Capex 1 | 2.11 | 3.42 | 13.8 | 178 | 175 | 73.2 | 447 | 167 |
| Capex / Sales | 1.52% | 3.41% | 11.33% | 98.67% | 73.5% | 18.5% | 79.55% | 23.45% |
| Announcement Date | 2/20/20 | 2/18/21 | 2/17/22 | 2/15/23 | 2/12/24 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
EPS & Dividend
Year-on-year evolution of the PER
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
C
Sell
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
10
Last Close Price
27.59
USD
Average target price
27.5
USD
Spread / Average Target
-0.33%
EPS Revisions
| 1st Jan change | Capi. | |
|---|---|---|
| +74.84% | 2.1B | |
| +17.53% | 66.57B | |
| +2.81% | 49.81B | |
| +21.61% | 42.77B | |
| +22.79% | 26.3B | |
| +10.06% | 19.26B | |
| -2.43% | 16.56B | |
| +5.98% | 15.96B | |
| -14.90% | 14.45B | |
| -27.16% | 14.82B |
- Stock Market
- Equities
- ASPN Stock
- Financials Aspen Aerogels, Inc.
