Earnings
Conference
Call
May 2024
Earnings Conference Call
Safe Harbor
This material includes "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of Section 27A of the U.S. Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the U.S. Securities Exchange Act of 1934. All statements other than statements of historical fact are forward-looking and may contain information about financial results, economic conditions, trends and known uncertainties. Forward-looking statements are not assurances of future performance. Instead, they are based only on our management's current views, beliefs, expectations and assumptions regarding the future of our business, future plans and strategies, projections, anticipated events and trends, the economy and other future conditions.
Many forward-looking statements can be identified by words such as: "anticipate", "intend", "plan", "goal", "ambition", "seek", "believe", "project", "estimate", "expect", "strategy", "future", "likely", "would", "may", "should", "will", "see" and similar references to future periods. Examples of forward-looking statements include, among others, statements or estimates we make regarding guidance relating to losses in our credit portfolio, eciency ratio, provisions and non-performing loans, current or future market risk and future market conditions, expected macroeconomic events and conditions, our belief that we have sucient capital and liquidity to fund our business operations, expectations of the eect on our financial condition of claims, legal actions, environmental costs, contingent liabilities and governmental and regulatory investigations and proceedings, strategy for customer retention, growth, governmental programs and regulatory initiatives, credit administration, product development, market position, financial results and reserves and strategy for risk management.
We caution readers that forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to dier materially from those that we expect or that are expressed or implied in the forward-looking statements, depending on the outcome of certain factors, including, without limitation, adverse changes in:
The economies of Peru, Colombia, Chile and other countries in which we conduct business, with respect to rates of inflation, economic growth, currency devaluation, and other factors, including in the light of the COVID-19 outbreak and government laws, regulations and policies adopted to combat the pandemic;• The political or social situation in Peru, Colombia and Chile, including, without limitation, the reversal of market-oriented reforms and economic recovery measures, or the failure of such measures and reforms to achieve their goals;
- The political or social situation in Peru, Colombia and Chile, including, without limitation, the reversal of market-oriented reforms and economic recovery measures, or the failure of such measures and reforms to achieve their goals;
- The occurrence of natural disasters;
- The adequacy of the dividends that our subsidiaries are able to pay to us, which may aect our ability to pay dividends to shareholders and corporate expenses;
- Performance of, and volatility in, financial markets, including Latin-American and other markets;
- The frequency, severity and types of insured loss events;
- Fluctuations in interest rate levels;
- Foreign currency exchange rates, including the Sol/US Dollar exchange rate;
- Deterioration in the quality of our loan portfolio;
- Increasing levels of competition in Peru and other markets in which we operate;
- Developments and changes in laws and regulations aecting the financial sector and adoption of new international guidelines;
- Changes in the policies of central banks and/or foreign governments;
- Eectiveness of our risk management policies and of our operational and security systems;
- Losses associated with counterparty exposures;
- The scope of the coronavirus ("COVID-19") outbreak, actions taken to contain the COVID-19 and related economic eects from such actions and our ability to maintain adequate stang; and
- Changes in Bermuda laws and regulations applicable to so-callednon-resident entities.
See "Item 3. Key Information-3.D Risk Factors" and "Item 5. Operating and Financial Review and Prospects" in our most recent Annual Report on Form 20-F filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission for additional information and other such factors.
You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date hereof and are based only on information currently available to us. Therefore, you should not rely on any of these
forward-looking statements. We undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise these or any other forward-looking statements that may be made to reflect events or circumstances after the date hereof, whether as a result of changes in our business strategy or new information, to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events or otherwise.
2
Earnings Conference Call
Strong Start to the Year Amid a Better Economic Environment
1 | Strong Financial Results |
Resilient Risk Adjusted Margins, Improved
2 by Lower Provisions and Supported by Leadership in Low-Cost Funding
3 | Strong Solvency Permits an Increase |
in Dividend Distribution |
4 | Disruption Investments Strengthen |
Competitive Moats and Sustainability |
5 | Net Positive Impact from Macro Dynamics |
ROE
18.2%
Risk Adj. NIM
4.85%
BCP - CET1 IFRS
11.86%
Eciency Ratio
43.6%
GDP E243
3.0%
Core Income + Insurance
+8.2%
vs 1T23
MS of Low-Cost Deposits
39.4%
Dividend / Share
S/35
Financially Included
4.2 million people
Ref. Rate - May 24
5.75%
- Includes BCP Stand-alone and Mibanco. Data as of March 2024. (2) Stock of financially included clients through BCP since 2020. New clients with BCP savings accounts or new Yape aliates that: (i)Do not have debt in the financial system nor other BCP products in the 12 months prior to their inclusion,
and (ii) Have performed at least 3 monthly transactions on average through any BCP channel in the last three months. (3) BCP Estimate. | 3 |
Earnings Conference Call
Developing Dierentiated Business Models to Further Penetrate Peru's Microlending Market
~1MM microlending clients, mainly microbusinesses,
63% of which are outside of Lima and transact in cash
Values in person interaction, reliable advice, and financial education
Avg. Loan
Risk models based on cash flows estimated with data from Relationship Managers visits
Collections process leverages physical relationship
Lending
150K lending clients, engage in digital transactions, primarily for consumer purposes
Value simplicity, user-friendly application and speed Avg. Loan ~S/250
Consumer risk-based models enhanced with Yape transactional data
Collections process 100% digital
4
Earnings Conference Call
1Q24 Key Financial Highlights
1
Loan Mix Shift and Funding Advantage Drove NIM Growth
Total Loans1
-3.1%
YoY
Low Cost Deposits2
53.7%
of Funding Base
NIM
6.30%
+46bps YoY
2
Diversified Income Streams
NII
+9.4%
YoY
Other Core Income
+8.7%
YoY
Ins. Underwriting Results
-5.8%
YoY
3
Controlled Risk
CoR3
2.3%
+30bps YoY
NPL Ratio
6.2% of loans
+77bps YoY
NPL Coverage Ratio
93.5%
-659bps YoY
4
Diversified Portfolio
and Solid Capital Base
1Q24 Earnings Contribution4
77.5% Universal Banking
15.2% Insurance & Pensions
4.5% Microfinance
2.8% Investment
Management & Advisory
CET1 - IFRS
11.86% 16.06%
- Figures in Average Daily Balances. (2) Includes demand deposits and saving deposits. (3) Annualized provision for loan losses, net of recoveries / Average Total Loans. (4) % Earnings Contribution based on the total of our 8 main subsidiaries: BCP, BCP Bolivia, Mibanco, Mibanco Colombia, Pacifico Seguros, Prima AFP, Credicorp Capital and ASB Bank Corp.
5
Earnings Conference Call
Economy Shows Signs of Gradual Recovery; Expectations Improve Despite Political Noise and Recent Downgrade
GDP and Payment Transactions
(y/y % change, as of Apr 30)1
5.0 | GDP | Value of transactions with credit | 45 | ||||||||||||
and debit BCP card (RHS) | |||||||||||||||
4.0 | 40 | ||||||||||||||
35 | |||||||||||||||
3.0 | 2.8 | 30 | |||||||||||||
2.0 | 25 | ||||||||||||||
1.0 | 20 | ||||||||||||||
15 | |||||||||||||||
0 | |||||||||||||||
10 | |||||||||||||||
-1.0 | 5 | ||||||||||||||
-2.0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
1T22 | 2T22 | 3T22 | 4T22 | 1T23 | 2T23 | 3T23 | 4T23 | Jan24 | Feb24 | Mar24 | Apr24 |
Copper and Gold prices
(as of May 8)2
4.50 | Copper (USD/pound) | Gold (USD/oz., RHS) | 2500 | ||||||||||
2400 | |||||||||||||
4.30 | 2300 | ||||||||||||
4.10 | 2200 | ||||||||||||
2100 | |||||||||||||
3.90 | |||||||||||||
2000 | |||||||||||||
3.70 | |||||||||||||
1900 | |||||||||||||
3.50 | 1800 | ||||||||||||
Apr-23 | May-23 | Jun-23 | Jul-23 | Aug-23 | Sep-23 | Oct-23 | Nov-23 | Dec-23 | Jan-24 | Feb-24 | Mar-24 | Apr-24 | May-24 |
3-month Expectations
(points, pessimistic < 50 < optimistic)3
60 | Economy | Investment |
55 | 51 | |
50 | ||
50 | ||
45 |
40
35
2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 1Q23 | 2Q23 | 3Q23 | 4Q23 | Jan24 | Feb24 | Mar24 | Apr24 |
(1) Source: INEI. (2) Source: Bloomberg. (3) Source: BCRP.
6
Earnings Conference Call
Latam Central Banks' Policy Rates Moved Lower in 1Q24 as Inflation Slowdown Continued
Expected Economic Growth
(YoY % change)1
2.5% 2.7%
2023 | 2024 |
U.S.
3.0% | 2.5% | ||||||||||||||||||
1.1% | |||||||||||||||||||
0.6% | -0.6% | 0.2% | |||||||||||||||||
2023 | 2024 | 2023 | 2024 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||||||||||||
Colombia | Peru | Chile |
Inflation CPI Rates
(% YoY as of May 8)2
7.2 | |||||||
3.5 | |||||||
3.5 | |||||||
2.4 | |||||||
Dec20 | Jun21 | Dec21 | Jun22 | Dec22 | Jun23 | Dec23 | Apr24 |
Central Bank Policy Rates
(%, as of May 9)2, 3 | ||||||||
11.75 | Peru | |||||||
Colombia | ||||||||
6.50 | Chile | |||||||
5.75 | ||||||||
5.50 | U.S. | |||||||
Dec20 | Jun21 | Dec21 | Jun22 | Dec22 | Jun23 | Dec23 | May24 |
(1) Source: BCP and Credicorp Capital for PE, CO, CL; and IMF for U.S. (2) Source: Bloomberg. (3) Source: Reference Rates for PE, CO and CL; Fed Funds Upper Bound Rate for the U.S. Peru.
7
Earnings Conference Call
Universal Banking: Positive Results Driven by Core Income; Further Boosted by Reversal of "El Niño" Provisions
Earnings Contribution | BCP Stand-alone | 76.3% |
BCP Bolivia | 1.2% | |
ROE1
(%, Annualized)
23.5% | 25.2% | 24.7% |
10.1% | 9.7% | 9.1% |
1Q22 | 3Q22 | 1Q23 | 3Q23 | 1Q24 |
BCP's drivers
(% change) QoQ YoY
Total | -1.4% | -3.6% |
Loans2 | ||
NII | +1.5% | +9.3% |
Loan | -30.7% | +24.2% |
Provisions | ||
Experience & Eciency
Increased | 64% | Sales through digital channels4 | |
Digital | |||
92% | |||
Adoption3 | Digital monetary transactions5 |
- Earnings contribution / Equity contribution. (2) Measured in average daily balances. (3) Figures for March 2024. (4) Digital sales measured in units / Total sales measured in units. (5) # Digital monetary transactions / # Total monetary transactions.
8
Earnings Conference Call
Yape: Nears Break-Even Point with Growth in Active Users and Engagement
Over 11.5MM MAU Conducted an Average of 36 Transactions per Month
(User in Millions)
35 | 36 | |||||||
MAU | Monthly Transactions/MAU | |||||||
29 | ||||||||
25 | ||||||||
20 | 21 | |||||||
11.5 | ||||||||
17 | 10.7 | |||||||
15 | ||||||||
9.8 | ||||||||
14 | 9.0 | |||||||
8.1 | 8.4 | |||||||
6.9 | ||||||||
5.1 | 5.9 | |||||||
1Q22 | 2Q22 | 3Q22 | 4Q22 | 1Q23 | 2Q23 | 3Q23 | 4Q23 | 1Q24 |
Fee-generating
MAU19% 24% 35% 43% 48% 58% 66% 73% 75%
NPS | 62 | 69 | 70 | 71 | 73 | 78 | 76 | 80 | 78 |
Revenue/MAU Nearing Cash Cost/MAU
5.2 | Expenses/MAU | Revenue/MAU | Cash-cost/MAU | ||
5.1 | |||||
4.3 | 4.3 | 4.7 | |
4.2 | 4.2 | ||
3.9 | |||
3.8 | 3.8 | 3.7 | |
3.6 | |||
2.9
2.3
1.9
Mar-23 | Jun-23 | Sep-23 | Dec-23 | Mar-24 |
QoQ
Fee Income 1Q24 | S/55.3MM | +24.1% |
(1) Last month of the quarter / active users at the end of the quarter.
9
Earnings Conference Call
Yape Revenue Growth Fueled by Diversification Across its Three Lines of Business
Marketplace
Yape Promos: Discount
on Restaurants and Movies
+3.1x GMV vs 1Q23
Yape Tienda: Sale of Electronics
and Household Appliances
Launched in the second semester
of 2023
-
Lending | Payments |
Lending | Top-ups and Bills Payment |
Single Installment | +82.5% Top-ups Tx vs 1Q23 |
Multi Installment | +51x Bill Payment TPV vs 1Q23 |
+2.2x Disbursements vs 1Q23 |
Insurance | POS QR and Checkout |
Statutory Car Accident Insurance | +2.9x POS TPV vs 1Q23 |
+21x Sales vs 1Q23 | +4.3x Checkout TPV vs 1Q23 |
Maturity | + |
10
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Credicorp Ltd. published this content on 10 May 2024 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 10 May 2024 13:26:05 UTC.