Financials Xinyi Energy Holdings Limited

Equities

3868

VGG9833A1049

Independent Power Producers

Market Closed - Hong Kong S.E. 04:08:07 2024-07-05 am EDT 5-day change 1st Jan Change
1 HKD -1.96% Intraday chart for Xinyi Energy Holdings Limited -0.99% -30.07%

Valuation

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 13,775 37,399 30,360 19,271 11,807 8,257 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 14,097 38,469 34,135 23,130 17,432 14,826 15,958 15,256
P/E ratio 13.6 x 39.1 x 24.6 x 19.4 x 11.4 x 6.9 x 6.04 x 5.46 x
Yield 6.62% 2.76% 4.07% 5.83% 4.2% 6.98% 8.12% 9.22%
Capitalization / Revenue 8.65 x 21.7 x 13.2 x 8.32 x 4.69 x 2.86 x 2.49 x 2.31 x
EV / Revenue 8.85 x 22.3 x 14.9 x 9.99 x 6.92 x 5.14 x 4.8 x 4.27 x
EV / EBITDA 9.38 x 23.5 x 15.6 x 10.8 x 7.49 x 5.73 x 5.39 x 4.67 x
EV / FCF 14.8 x 63.8 x 85.5 x 17.1 x -9.29 x -8.65 x -12.7 x 5.98 x
FCF Yield 6.77% 1.57% 1.17% 5.85% -10.8% -11.6% -7.87% 16.7%
Price to Book 1.19 x 3.12 x 2.42 x 1.61 x 0.89 x 0.6 x 0.57 x 0.53 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 6,752,478 7,109,998 7,109,998 7,440,400 8,256,589 8,256,589 - -
Reference price 2 2.040 5.260 4.270 2.590 1.430 1.000 1.000 1.000
Announcement Date 3/16/20 3/1/21 2/28/22 2/27/23 2/28/24 - - -
1HKD in Million2HKD
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 1,593 1,722 2,297 2,315 2,517 2,885 3,322 3,577
EBITDA 1 1,502 1,640 2,185 2,140 2,327 2,587 2,963 3,270
EBIT 1 1,171 1,213 1,626 1,571 1,653 1,849 2,155 2,305
Operating Margin 73.49% 70.45% 70.79% 67.87% 65.67% 64.08% 64.86% 64.44%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 1,022 1,089 1,456 1,272 1,298 1,499 1,766 1,934
Net income 1 891 922 1,232 971.5 993 1,158 1,359 1,489
Net margin 55.93% 53.54% 53.66% 41.96% 39.45% 40.13% 40.92% 41.64%
EPS 2 0.1503 0.1344 0.1733 0.1333 0.1256 0.1449 0.1654 0.1832
Free Cash Flow 1 954 603.4 399.2 1,353 -1,877 -1,714 -1,256 2,551
FCF margin 59.88% 35.04% 17.38% 58.43% -74.57% -59.41% -37.8% 71.32%
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) 63.5% 36.8% 18.27% 63.21% - - - 78.01%
FCF Conversion (Net income) 107.07% 65.44% 32.4% 139.27% - - - 171.29%
Dividend per Share 2 0.1350 0.1450 0.1740 0.1510 0.0600 0.0698 0.0812 0.0922
Announcement Date 3/16/20 3/1/21 2/28/22 2/27/23 2/28/24 - - -
1HKD in Million2HKD
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: December 2020 S1 2021 S1 2021 S2 2022 S1 2022 S2 2023 S1
Net sales 1 - 1,113 1,184 1,258 1,058 1,289
EBITDA - - - - - -
EBIT 1 - 804.2 821 888.1 682.6 886
Operating Margin - 72.28% 69.34% 70.61% 64.55% 68.76%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) - - - - - -
Net income 1 437.6 - 611.5 - - 566.9
Net margin - - 51.65% - - 43.99%
EPS 2 - - - - - 0.0749
Dividend per Share - - - - - -
Announcement Date 8/3/20 9/30/22 2/28/22 8/1/22 2/27/23 7/31/23
1HKD in Million2HKD
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 322 1,070 3,775 3,859 5,625 6,569 7,702 7,000
Net Cash position 1 - - - - - - - -
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.2142 x 0.6528 x 1.728 x 1.803 x 2.417 x 2.539 x 2.599 x 2.14 x
Free Cash Flow 1 954 603 399 1,353 -1,877 -1,714 -1,256 2,551
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) 10.8% 8.31% 10% 7.99% 7.93% 8.51% 9.64% 9.94%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) 7.54% 5.73% 6.41% 4.72% 4.84% 5.41% 5.65% 5.82%
Assets 1 11,811 16,099 19,218 20,571 20,537 21,385 24,065 25,588
Book Value Per Share 2 1.720 1.690 1.770 1.610 1.610 1.670 1.750 1.870
Cash Flow per Share 2 0.1900 0.1600 0.1700 0.4000 0.1000 0.1900 0.1900 0.2000
Capex 1 167 468 826 1,547 2,630 2,272 2,248 2,256
Capex / Sales 10.45% 27.15% 35.96% 66.8% 104.48% 78.75% 67.69% 63.07%
Announcement Date 3/16/20 3/1/21 2/28/22 2/27/23 2/28/24 - - -
1HKD in Million2HKD
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
16
Last Close Price
1 HKD
Average target price
1.344 HKD
Spread / Average Target
+34.40%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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