SMM, Promoting "Four Challenges" For 2021 3-year Plan Even Under Opaque Economic Conditions
This is a transcript of Sumitomo Metal Mining Co., Ltd.'s Progress of Business Strategy briefing for the second quarter of FY2022, held on November 17, 2022.
<Speakers>
SUMITOMO METAL MINING, President and Representative Director, Akira Nozaki
SUMITOMO METAL MINING, Senior Managing Executive Officer and General Manager of the Mineral Resource Business Division, Fumio Mizuno
SUMITOMO METAL MINING, Director, Senior Managing Executive Officer and General Manager of the Metal Business Division, Nobuhiro Matsumoto
SUMITOMO METAL MINING, Executive Officer and General Manager of the Battery Materials Business Division, Katsuya Tanaka
SUMITOMO METAL MINING, Managing Officer Director and General Manager of the Advanced Materials Business Division, Hiroshi Yoshida
FY2022 2nd Quarter Progress of Business Strategy
Akira Nozaki: Good morning, everyone. I am Nozaki, the president. Thank you very much for coming to our business strategy briefing today. We would like to express our sincere gratitude to all of you for your continued understanding and support of our company business.
I would like to highlight the key points of today's briefing.
I Safety Initiatives
1 Safety Initiatives
omestic employee occupational accidents
2021 3-year Plan target | cases or less | 2022 actual as of the end of Oct 2 cases | ||
Frequent ecurring accidents | e | fall and caught accidents resulted in an increased num er of | ||
accidents | ||||
Serious accidents resulting in a | sence from | ork for more than 3 months 2 cases incl contractors, | ||
previous year 2 cases |
Based on the Three Realities | Principle Real places, Real facts, Real things , ensuring safe facilities and |
procedures has been set as | the top priority to be achieved. |
2021 3-year Plan targets
Serious accidents of employees and contractors in apan and overseas sites : one
Domestic employee accidents: cases year or less
Employee accidents at overseas sites: 1 case year or less
cases | 2000 | Changes in num er of occupational accidents in apan | |
2022 Oct
2 cases
21 3-year Plan target
cases 2021 year Plan
Recurring accidents: Accidents that occurred multiple times in the previous 20 years within the SMM Group
1
First, let's talk about our safety initiatives. Safety is our top priority, but as the graphs on this slide show, our performance has been disappointing.
We are currently reexamining our efforts to rebuild our safety system in light of the repetition of similar accidents, incidents related to autonomous equipment and rotating machinery, and other typical work related accidents.
1 Glo al Economy
1 | Glo al Economy |
Respective regions started to move toward a post | |
CO ID world, but their directions differ significantly. |
There is a growing concern over the economic slowdown following the start of the U.S. interest rate hike cycle in mid 2022, while inflation continues to rise due to higher costs.
he prospectionof glo al economy is still uncertain
Formation of economic blocs fragmentation continues to expand.
IMF s forecast on global economic growth October forecast
Global
US
Europe
apan
China
2020 .0% . % .1% . % 2.2%
2021 .0% .7% .2% 1.7% .1%
2022 .2% 1. % .1% 1.7% .2%
202
2.7% | |
1.0% | |
0. | % |
1. | % |
. | % |
I would like to provide an overview of our economic outlook for 2022. The global economic trends and conditions are shown on this slide. The significant interest rate increases in the United States are said to be measures to control inflation. However, looking at the October data, the one sided rise in inflation has moderated slightly.
The global economic growth rate is .2 % this year, but % is at a level where little growth is felt, and it is projected to fall further next year. China had the momentum to drive the global economy after the Great Depression, but it is a little less robust than it was then.
2
2 Current Status of o nside isk Factors
2 Current Status of o | nside | isk Factors | |||||
Mineral | esources | Smelting | efining | Materials Business | |||
Business | Business | ||||||
ussian invasion of Ukraine | No direct impact but metal and energy prices have | ||||||
been affected | |||||||
Rising energy prices | |||||||
Rising costs due to | Rising costs due to | ||||||
led to higher costs | |||||||
increasing prices of | |||||||
Energy price hikes | increasing prices of | ||||||
electricity and light oil | |||||||
electricity and coal | |||||||
for heavy machineries | |||||||
Slo do n in the glo al | Decreasing metal demand caused a supply | demand | |||||
economy | imbalance, leading to lower metal prices | Decrease in materials | |||||
Shortage of industrial | Shortage of various operational materials causing | demand due to the | |||||
difficult sales | |||||||
materials and supplies such | increase of project cost | ||||||
environment for | |||||||
as semiconductors, etc | Increased the cost of operational materials | ||||||
smartphones, PCs, | |||||||
nother spread of CO I -1 | The metal supply demand imbalance mainly in | and other final | |||||
and lockdo n in ma or | products | ||||||
China resulted in the decline in metal prices | |||||||
Chinese cities | |||||||
7 |
The current status of downside risk factors is described, from the Russian invasion of Ukraine to the lockdown in China's large cities. Operations are affected by high and high energy prices, which have a significant impact on our performance.
Concerning the global economy's slowdown, we believe there has been a slight shift in sentiment in recent days regarding the outlook for a worsening supply demand balance and a decline in metal prices.
3
3 Impact of Energy and Material Prices
3 Impact of Energy and Material Prices
ising energy and material prices put pressure on earnings
Forecast in May | dditional in | otal | ||||
forecast in ovem er | ||||||
Forecast | 1 . | billion yen | 7 billion yen | 2. billion yen | ||
Unit cost differentials | ||||||
vs. FY2021 performance | ||||||
Estimated impacts | ||||||
Impact of rising energy prices: | 0 billion yen | incl. exchange rate effect of | billion yen |
Impact of rising material prices: 10 billion yen incl. exchange rate effect of 1. billion yen
Unit consumption consumption per production volume : No significant change
Impact of volume change : There s only a minor impact while there were affection of decreasing in each metals.
Smelting and Refining business was particularly affected by coal and electricity prices.
Energy prices are a significant issue, but the impact on our business has been more than 0 billion yen throughout the fiscal year. The increase in energy prices is about 0 billion yen, of which the impact of foreign exchange is about billion yen, and the so called energy prices themselves are in the middle of
0 billion yen range.
In our case, the main factors that affect price increases are electricity, coal, and coke, as disclosed in our Integrated Report. On a heat volume basis, electricity and fossil fuels are almost equal, with 1 ,000 terajoules required.
However, there is a difference between primary and secondary energy, and electricity is still more expensive in terms of unit cost per volume.
The price of coal is an individual contract, so the current index does not necessarily reflect that, but market conditions show that the index is nearly double that of last year.
In terms of the unit cost of electricity, the price for residential use increased by about 20% at the beginning of the period compared to last year and is still rising. There are limits, so it may not go that far, but it may go up to maybe 0%.
On the other hand, the industrial extra high voltage power we use is 0% higher at the beginning of the year than last year, and it has soared even more recently.
This is a general statement about apan's electricity situation. While the situation may vary depending on individual contracts and the conditions of power companies, it is clear that the apanese industry is facing a difficult situation.
4
Metal Supply and emand Outlook
Metal Supply and emand Outlook
Copper Supply and demand ill ease in the short term
Supply: The supply demand balance will be eased temporally during 202 202 due to the opening of new mines and the expansion of existing ones.
Demand: Tight supplies are expected in the late 2020s as the number of new projects decreases in the low price period.
Fundamentals are helped by the demand for copper.
global decarbonization, clean energy, E shift, etc.
ickel Continued gro th is anticipated
Supply: Increased NPI production will continue in Indonesia
Supply of Class I will be slightly tightened.
Demand: In addition to stainless steel, the production of nickel based lithium ion batteries for E s will continue to rise.
Cu | ICSG projection | |||||
October 2022 | ||||||
kt | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | |||
Production | 2 | ,7 | 2 | , | 2 | , |
Usage | 2 | ,2 | 2 | , 2 | 2 | ,1 |
Balance | 2 | 1 |
Ni | INSG projection | ||
Oct. 2022 | |||
kt | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 |
Production | 2, 12 | ,0 | , 7 |
Usage | 2,77 | 2, 2 | ,21 |
Balance | 1 | 1 | 171 |
In terms of the supply and demand for copper and nickel metals, we expect demand for both copper and nickel to grow significantly over time due to the impact of E s and other factors. As for copper, there was a slight supply shortage in fiscal 2022, but next year there will be a slight oversupply, so there will not be a significant impact, and it will be close to a well balance.
We expect demand for nickel to grow significantly over the long term due to growth in demand for high performance materials and stainless steel. The International Nickel Study Group INSG projects an oversupply of 1 0,000 tons for this fiscal year and 170,000 tons for next. INSG's projections for the current fiscal year differ slightly from our company's and will be explained later.
5
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Sumitomo Metal Mining Co. Ltd. published this content on 10 January 2023 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 10 January 2023 06:16:09 UTC.