Pantheon Resources plc
Webinar - 27 June 2024
Your attention is drawn to the disclaimer at the beginning and footnotes throughout this presentation
PANTHEON RESOURCES
Disclaimer
- This document, together with any oral briefing which accompanies it, (the "Presentation") is being issued solely by Pantheon Resources Plc (the "Company").
- The Presentation does not constitute or form part of any offer or invitation to sell or issue, or any solicitation of any offer to purchase, subscribe for or otherwise acquire any securities of the Company or any of the business or assets described herein, nor shall any part of it nor the fact of its distribution form part of or be relied on in connection with any contract or investment decision relating to the securities of the Company, nor does it constitute a recommendation regarding the securities of the Company. In particular, the Presentation and the information contained in the Presentation do not constitute an offer of securities for sale in the United States.
- The Presentation is being supplied to you solely for your information. The information in the Presentation has been provided by the Company or obtained from publicly available sources. No reliance may be placed for any purposes whatsoever on the information or opinions contained in the Presentation or on its completeness.
- Certain statements, beliefs and opinions in the Presentation are forward-looking, which reflect the Company's or, as appropriate, the Company's directors' current expectations and projections about future events. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve a number of risks, uncertainties and assumptions that could cause actual results or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements. These risks, uncertainties and assumptions could adversely affect the outcome and financial effects of the plans and events described herein. Forward-looking statements contained in the Presentation regarding past trends or activities should not be taken as a representation that such trends or activities will continue in the future. The Company does not undertake any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. You should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of the Presentation.
- Nothing in this document or in the documents referred to in it should be considered as a profit forecast. Past performance of the Company or its shares cannot be relied on as a guide to future performance.
- Cautionary Statement: The estimated quantities of petroleum that may be potentially recovered by the application of a future development project relate to undiscovered accumulations. These estimates have both an associated risk of discovery, appraisal and development. Further exploration, appraisal and evaluation are required to determine the existence of a significant quantity of potentially movable hydrocarbons. The estimates contained within this presentation are only estimates and there can be no guarantees that these estimates will be realised.
- The Company has provided the information in the Presentation, which does not purport to be comprehensive and has not been verified. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is or will be made and no responsibility or liability is or will be accepted by the Company or by any of its respective directors, officers, advisers, agents or affiliates or by any other person as to or in relation to the accuracy or completeness of the Presentation or the information or opinions contained herein or supplied herewith or any other written or oral information made available to any party and no responsibility or liability is accepted for the accuracy or sufficiency of any of the information or opinions, for any errors, omissions or mis-statements, negligent or otherwise (other than in the case of fraud), or for any other communication, written or otherwise, made to anyone in, or supplied with, the Presentation. In particular, no representation or warranty is given as to the achievement or reasonableness of any mineral resource, future projections, management estimates, prospects or returns.
- Accordingly, neither the Company nor any of its respective shareholders, directors, advisers, agents or affiliates shall be liable for any direct, indirect or consequential loss or damage suffered by any person as a result of relying on any statement or omission in, or supplied with, the Presentation or in any future communications that are issued by the Company.
- The Presentation has been delivered to interested parties for information only and upon the express understanding that such information is of a general nature and does not relate to any specific transaction. The Presentation is subject to updating, revision and amendment. The information and opinions contained herein are provided as at the date of this Presentation and are subject to change without notice. The Company undertakes no obligation to provide the recipient with access to any additional information or to correct any inaccuracies or omissions which may become apparent.
- The content of the Presentation has not been approved for the purposes of section 21 of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 ("FSMA"). The Presentation is only being made available to the following:
- persons having professional experience in matters relating to investments and who are investment professionals as specified in Article 19(5) of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2005 (the "Financial Promotion Order"); and
- persons to whom Article 49(2) of the Financial Promotion Order applies, being high net worth companies, unincorporated associations, partnerships or trusts or their respective directors, officers or employees as described in Article 49 of the Financial Promotion Order.
- It is a condition of your receiving the Presentation that you fall within, and you warrant to the Company that you fall within, one of the categories of person described above. If the recipient does not fall within one of the categories above, the recipient should either return, destroy or ignore the information in the Presentation.
- If you are in any doubt about the contents of the Presentation, you should consult a person authorised by the Financial Conduct Authority who specialises in advising on securities of the kind described in the Presentation.
- Neither the Presentation, nor any copy of it, may be taken or transmitted into the United States, Canada, Australia, South Africa or Japan or into any jurisdiction where it would be unlawful to do so. Any failure to comply with this restriction may constitute a violation of relevant local securities laws.
- By attending the presentation to which this document relates or by accepting this document in any other way you agree to be bound by the foregoing provisions.
- Competent Person's statement: David Hobbs has sufficient experience relevant to the style of mineralisation and type of deposit under consideration, and to the activity which he is undertaking to qualify as a Competent Person in accordance with the guidance note for Mining, Oil & Gas Companies issued by the London Stock Exchange in respect of AIM Companies, which outlines standards of disclosure for mineral projects. David Hobbs consents to the inclusion in this Presentation of the matters based on his information in the form and context in which it appears.
PANTHEON RESOURCES: SIGNIFICANT PROGRESS DURING LAST 12 MONTHS
Legend
Pantheon Leases(3)
Pantheon 3D (1043 sq mi)
West
Harrison
BayNikaitchuk
Ooogruk
Horseshoe | Milne | ||||||
Pikka | Point | ||||||
Cassin | Colville | ||||||
River | |||||||
Bear | Qannik | Pikka | - | Kuparuk | |||
Tooth Greater | SM | ||||||
Willow | Mooses | ||||||
Tooth | |||||||
Tarn
Quokka
Meltwater
Horseshoe Kodiak
1.2 bnbbl & 5.4 TCF gas
2C Resource (IER)(1)
NPRA
State Lands | 3D Seismic Coverage |
Northstar
Prudhoe
Bay
TAPS | Highway |
Dalton |
Duck
Island
Liberty
Ahpun East Badami
600 mmbbl & 3.3 TCF gas Conventional 2U Prospective Resource(4)
Ahpun West
361 mmbbl & 1.2 TCF gas
2C Resource (IER)(2)
20 Miles
Point
Thomson
ANWR
N
Ahpun
West: 361 mmbbls
East: 609 mmbbls
Kodiak
1.2 billion bbls
(1) | Independently certified Contingent Resources - by NSAI (9 April 2024), (2) LKA (1 May 2024) and CG&A (10 June 2024) (3) includes ~66,000 acres successfully bid for in December 2023 lease sales, subject to final lease acquisition payment; | 3 |
(4) | Management estimate |
KEY PROGRESS SINCE STRATEGY REFRESH
- 12 Month Score Card
Independent Resource Validation
2023: 76.5 mmbbl (LKA Independent Expert Report for Alkaid Discovery)
2024: 1.57 Bbbl + 6.6 Tcf (sum of NSAI, CGA & LKA IERs for Ahpun & Kodiak Fields) see slide 7
IERs for Ahpun alone attribute ~ $2 billion NPV10 Real ($5.5/bbl ANS Crude or ~ $2/share)
Acreage Position (Securing All Prospective Acreage in Kodiak & Ahpun)
2023: 193,000 acres in 2023
2024: 258,0001 acres in 2024 (including higher quality reservoirs)
Funding Strategy
2023: Prospective sale of resources requiring further appraisal investment or ~$350 million to develop appraised resources
2024: GSPA potentially reduces post FID funding requirement by up to $250 million2
Expected to cover post FID capital requirements2
Gas monetization a means to an end - funding oil project
Development Planning
2023: Short term early production from Alkaid discovery in 2023
2024: Full Ahpun development plan supported by SLB analysis - FID in 2027/28
1. includes ~66,000 acres successfully bid for in December 2023 lease sales, subject to final lease acquisition payment. 2. Company Estimate
EXPERIENCED BOARD
BOARD OF DIRECTORS
David Hobbs - Executive Chairman
Petroleum Engineer, 40 years' experience in operations and commercial management in North America and Internationally. Global energy expert & strategist (CERA & KAPSARC), Chairman Proton Green (industrial gas producer)
Jay Cheatham - Chief Executive Officer
Petroleum Engineer. 50+ years' experience. Ran family E&P business prior to joining ARCO. At time of BP's $30bn acquisition Jay headed up ARCO International (responsible for all operations outside USA). Prior to that he led ARCO exploration and production for USA (Gulf coast region)
Robert Rosenthal - Technical Director
Geologist 40+ years' experience. Founding Manager of Great Bear Petroleum. Former BP explorationist in a variety of senior roles. Expert in seismic stratigraphy and high tech geophysics. Successful track record of E&P start up companies
Justin Hondris - Director, Finance & Corp Development
Banking & financial background with over 25 years' experience including roles in investment banking & private equity with 15+ years specialising in energy
Allegra Hosford Scheirer - Non-Executive Director Chair of Conflicts Committee
Globally recognised geotechnical expert. Co-director of Basin Processes & Subsurface Basin Modelling consortium, Stanford University. Formerly USGS and WHOI (Woods Hole)
Linda Havard - Non-Executive Director Chair of Finance, Audit & Risk Committee
Retired former CFO, Gensler. Previously CFO Orrick, Herrington & Sutcliffe, EVP and CFO Playboy Enterprises, 15+ years at ARCO including as Vice President of Corporate Planning
Jeremy Brest - Non-Executive Director
Chair of Remuneration Committee
25+ years' experience banking and financial advisory. A specialist in structuring and execution of private transactions. Previously at Credit Suisse and Goldman Sachs
5
STRENGTHENED TECHNICAL MANAGEMENT
KEY MANAGEMENT
Patrick Galvin - Chief Commercial Officer / Group
General Counsel
Previously Alaska State Commissioner of Revenue, Former
Petroleum Land Manager for the Alaska Dept of Natural
Resources. Former partner at K&L Gates
Tony Beilman - Senior Vice President, Engineering
40+ years' experience drilling / completions experience. Phillips Petroleum, David Arrington Oil & Gas, Co-founder and COO of Novus Exploration/Novus Operating Company, & Co-founder and President Foreland Operating Company, experienced in Barnett, Eagleford, Marcellus shales and Midland Basin operations
Josh McIntyre - Group Financial Controller
CPA, former Senior Manager, BDO USA, and CFO Great
Bear Petroleum
ADVISERS AND TECHNICAL PARTNERS
Mario Traviati - Adviser to the Board
Previously head of Asia Energy research, Merrill Lynch. Founder Great Bear Petroleum. Previously at Woodside Petroleum
Phil Patman, Jr. - Adviser to the Board
30+ years' finance and business growth experience including Enron, Marathon Oil, Globeleq, Franklin Templeton, PTTEP, as well as CFO roles at public companies VAALCO Energy and Soluna Holdings, and privately held MacroFab
eSeis Inc. - A pioneer in the use of Seismic Petrophysics / High Tech Geophysics for the petroleum industry. Long experience in Alaska,
AHS Baker Hughes - an industry leader in volatiles analysis.
SLB (previously Schlumberger) - Globally recognised leader in static/dynamic reservoir modelling & development planning
6
TWO DISTINCT PROJECT AREAS - AHPUN & KODIAK FIELDS
> 2 BILLION BARRELS (TOTAL CONTINGENT AND PROSPECTIVE RESOURCES)
Best | Best | Total | IER NPV | Best | |||
Source (Support) | SPE PRMS | Estimate | Estimate | Marketable | |||
Estimate Gas | |||||||
Classification | Oil (mln. | NGL (mln. | Liquids | 10% Real DCF | |||
(bcf) | |||||||
bbls) | bbls) | (mln. bbls) | |||||
Kodiak (NSAI - April 24) | 2C | 426 | 782 | 1,208 | 5,396 | ||
Ahpun - Alkaid (LKA - April 24) | 2C | 43 | 36 | 79 | $0.2 - $0.5 billion | 424 | |
Ahpun - Western Topsets | 2C | 152 | 130 | 282 | $1.74 billion | 804 | |
(CGA - June 24) | |||||||
Total Discovered Resources | 2C | 621 | 948 | 1,569 | 6,624 | ||
Ahpun - Eastern Topsets(1) | 2U | 510 | 99 | 609 | 3,300 | ||
(Undiscovered Resources) | |||||||
Other Discoveries (SFS, UBFF, | Contingent | Not | Not included | Not included | Not included | ||
Kuparuk) | included | ||||||
TOTAL RESOURCES | 1,131 | 1,047 | 2,178 | 9,924 | |||
(CONTINGENT & PROSPECTIVE) | |||||||
7 | |||||||
(1) Company estimate - 2U Prospective Resource. NSAI = Netherland Sewell & Associates, LKA = Lee Keeling & Associates, CGA = Cawley, Gillespie & Associates | |||||||
INTENDED GAS MONETISATION TO FUND THE OIL DEVELOPMENT
Gas Sales Precedent Agreement with AGDC Executed June 2024
Key commercial terms to be included in final agreement:
- Sales of ≤ 500 mmscf per day into pipeline
- Maximum $1/mmBtu indexed to inflation
- Expected 70% Take or Pay over initial 20 year plateau
- Free transport and redelivery of Helium
- Funding capacity through potential debt backed by Take or Pay contract estimated by management at up to US$250 million1
- Potential material capex savings - fewer gas disposal wells required
1 Based on 50% of Real NPV10 of post tax gas revenues with no capital offsets and subject to final gas sales agreement execution
Frank Richards, President of AGDC, commented on 5 June 2024:
Southcentral Alaska's energy crisis Gas shortage forecast from 2027
"This agreement solidifies the commercial foundation needed for the Phase 1 portion of Alaska LNG and provides enough pipeline-ready natural gas, at beneficial consumer rates, to resolve Southcentral Alaska's looming energy shortage as soon as 2029. Phasing Alaska LNG by leading with the construction of the pipeline will make Alaska LNG's export components more attractive to LNG developers and investors, and this agreement will help unlock the project's substantial economic, environmental, and energy security benefits for international markets as well as for Alaska. Today's announcement represents the culmination of the committed work of Pantheon and AGDC leaders and enhances the prospects of Alaska LNG in a way that benefits both the State of Alaska and Pantheon."
8
FUNDING STRATEGY TO FINANCIAL SELF-SUFFICIENCY
Key Progress:
- Reduced $350 million funding requirement to $60 - $85 million, if AGDC deal supports post FID debt funding - sufficient for post FID expenditures to cashflow and beyond(1)
- Preparation for US listing
Next Steps:
- Ongoing funding initiatives: Structured instruments, farm-out,debt-based, equity including US listing (target 2025) to ensure Company retains best possible negotiating leverage
- Beginning negotiation of potential Helium project as additional development asset
1. Company estimate | 9 |
VALUE STAIRCASE
Capital Structure
24-Jun-24 | ||
Issued Shares | 960,919,660 | |
Share price | £ | 0.250 |
Market Cap - GBP (millions) | £ | 240 |
Market Cap - USD (millions) | $ | 305 |
Convertible debt - USD (millions) | $ | 24.5 |
Share Options/Warrants (millions)
Expiry | |
Sep-24 | 9.6 |
Dec-26 | 21.4 |
Jul-30 | 7.0 |
Jan-31 | 12.4 |
Total Options & Warrants (millions) | 50.4 |
% of issued shares covered by Options & Warrants | 5.2% |
US Listing
FID - Alaska LNG Phase 1 (Drill Talitha B if Required)
FID - Ahpun Project
2028
Potential Implied Value Based on IERs ~ $5.00/bbl
FID - Kodiak
Project Production
from Ahpun
2024
Implied Valuation Today < $0.20/bbl
Arrange
Interim Funding $60- $85 mm
AK Gas Line FEED Starts
Drill Megrez
(Ahpun East)
Define Full
Ahpun Dev
Scope
Independent Valuation (Ahpun IERs) $80/bbl
Alkaid Zone ~ $200 - $500 million (LKA) Western Topsets ~ $1.74 billion (CGA)
Total ~ $2 billion (~ $5/bbl1 ANS Crude)
- Denominator: Ahpun total 361 mmbbl
10
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Pantheon Resources plc published this content on 27 June 2024 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 27 June 2024 15:50:23 UTC.