Stock 5401 NIPPON STEEL CORPORATION
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Financials Nippon Steel Corporation Fukuoka Stock Exchange

Equities

5401

JP3381000003

Iron & Steel

Market Closed - Fukuoka Stock Exchange
Other stock markets
 07:04:25 2024-01-14 pm EST 		5-day change 1st Jan Change
3,350 JPY +16.16% Intraday chart for Nippon Steel Corporation -.--% -.--%
Jul. 10 US to Implement 'Melt-and-Pour' Requirement for Mexican Steel Products MT
Jul. 05 Canada approves Glencore takeover of Teck coal unit, with conditions RE

Valuation

Fiscal Period: Marzo 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Capitalization 1 852,007 1,737,026 1,998,946 2,873,054 3,377,556 3,194,745 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 3,051,289 3,936,792 4,101,246 4,901,994 5,640,307 5,386,980 5,201,261 4,956,649
P/E ratio -1.97 x -53.6 x 3.14 x 4.14 x 6.15 x 8.5 x 5.89 x 5.2 x
Yield 1.08% 0.53% 7.37% 5.77% 4.36% 4.7% 5.05% 5.69%
Capitalization / Revenue 0.14 x 0.36 x 0.29 x 0.36 x 0.38 x 0.36 x 0.33 x 0.32 x
EV / Revenue 0.52 x 0.82 x 0.6 x 0.61 x 0.64 x 0.6 x 0.54 x 0.49 x
EV / EBITDA 272 x 9.82 x 3.18 x 4.01 x 4.94 x 5.12 x 4.14 x 3.52 x
EV / FCF 20.5 x 278 x 17.3 x 25.6 x 18.8 x 339 x 16.8 x 10.9 x
FCF Yield 4.87% 0.36% 5.77% 3.9% 5.31% 0.3% 5.94% 9.13%
Price to Book 0.32 x 0.63 x 0.58 x 0.69 x 0.71 x 0.64 x 0.6 x 0.55 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 920,690 920,767 920,749 920,851 920,817 932,500 - -
Reference price 2 925.4 1,886 2,171 3,120 3,668 3,426 3,426 3,426
Announcement Date 5/8/20 5/7/21 5/10/22 5/10/23 5/9/24 - - -
1JPY in Million2JPY
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: Marzo 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net sales 1 5,921,525 4,829,272 6,808,890 7,975,586 8,868,097 8,981,274 9,671,028 10,075,303
EBITDA 1 11,220 400,900 1,290,200 1,223,817 1,141,664 1,051,754 1,255,334 1,407,611
EBIT 1 -406,119 11,381 840,901 883,646 778,662 668,998 872,529 944,796
Operating Margin -6.86% 0.24% 12.35% 11.08% 8.78% 7.45% 9.02% 9.38%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 -423,572 -8,656 816,583 866,849 763,972 583,514 782,810 897,546
Net income 1 -431,513 -32,432 637,321 694,016 549,372 387,198 544,978 613,463
Net margin -7.29% -0.67% 9.36% 8.7% 6.19% 4.31% 5.64% 6.09%
EPS 2 -468.7 -35.22 692.2 753.7 596.6 402.9 582.1 659.1
Free Cash Flow 1 148,703 14,150 236,700 191,256 299,505 15,900 308,940 452,775
FCF margin 2.51% 0.29% 3.48% 2.4% 3.38% 0.18% 3.19% 4.49%
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) 1,325.34% 3.53% 18.35% 15.63% 26.23% 1.51% 24.61% 32.17%
FCF Conversion (Net income) - - 37.14% 27.56% 54.52% 4.11% 56.69% 73.81%
Dividend per Share 2 10.00 10.00 160.0 180.0 160.0 161.1 173.0 195.0
Announcement Date 5/8/20 5/7/21 5/10/22 5/10/23 5/9/24 - - -
1JPY in Million2JPY
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: Marzo 2021 S1 2021 S2 2022 S1 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 S2 2023 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 S1 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2023 S2 2024 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 S1 2024 Q3 2024 Q4 2024 S2 2025 Q1 2025 Q2 2025 S1 2025 Q3 2025 Q4 2026 Q1
Net sales 1 2,241,992 2,587,280 3,163,943 1,778,538 1,866,409 3,644,947 1,919,181 1,955,225 3,874,406 2,087,276 2,013,904 4,101,180 2,199,786 2,212,635 4,412,421 2,229,395 2,226,281 4,455,676 2,179,229 2,204,602 4,400,000 2,243,735 2,251,180 2,207,588
EBITDA 1 - - - 350,100 300,800 - 420,432 286,500 - 305,900 210,957 - 335,998 - - 290,200 254,344 - 294,387 298,250 - 304,732 44,232 291,399
EBIT 1 -148,810 160,191 428,398 299,738 112,765 - 338,873 202,879 541,752 220,092 121,802 341,894 248,700 175,094 423,794 194,889 159,979 - 174,584 160,333 138,000 198,694 121,000 192,435
Operating Margin -6.64% 6.19% 13.54% 16.85% 6.04% - 17.66% 10.38% 13.98% 10.54% 6.05% 8.34% 11.31% 7.91% 9.6% 8.74% 7.19% - 8.01% 7.27% 3.14% 8.86% 5.37% 8.72%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 -159,678 151,022 415,900 293,875 106,808 - 334,014 198,493 532,507 215,774 118,568 - 244,793 171,249 416,042 192,043 155,887 - 170,850 135,650 308,000 172,500 63,000 -
Net income 1 -191,164 158,732 298,727 209,167 129,427 - 230,972 141,400 372,372 144,772 176,872 - 177,064 123,171 300,235 140,679 108,458 - 109,341 99,965 211,000 112,751 42,500 117,662
Net margin -8.53% 6.14% 9.44% 11.76% 6.93% - 12.03% 7.23% 9.61% 6.94% 8.78% - 8.05% 5.57% 6.8% 6.31% 4.87% - 5.02% 4.53% 4.8% 5.03% 1.89% 5.33%
EPS 2 -207.6 172.4 324.4 227.2 140.6 - 250.8 153.6 404.4 157.2 192.1 - 192.3 133.8 326.0 152.8 117.8 - 122.0 124.4 - 128.4 -7.332 127.7
Dividend per Share 2 - - 70.00 - 90.00 - - 90.00 90.00 - 90.00 - - 75.00 75.00 - 85.00 - - 80.00 - - 80.00 -
Announcement Date 11/6/20 5/7/21 11/2/21 2/3/22 5/10/22 5/10/22 8/4/22 11/1/22 11/1/22 2/9/23 5/10/23 5/10/23 8/4/23 11/1/23 11/1/23 2/7/24 5/9/24 5/9/24 - - - - - -
1JPY in Million2JPY
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: Marzo 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 2,199,282 2,199,766 2,102,300 2,028,940 2,262,751 2,192,234 2,006,515 1,761,903
Net Cash position 1 - - - - - - - -
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 196 x 5.487 x 1.629 x 1.658 x 1.982 x 2.084 x 1.598 x 1.252 x
Free Cash Flow 1 148,703 14,150 236,700 191,256 299,505 15,900 308,940 452,775
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) -14.7% -1.2% 20.5% 18.1% 12.3% 7.99% 10.6% 11.2%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) -5.47% -0.12% 10% 9.46% 7.53% 4.11% 5.29% 5.8%
Assets 1 7,892,486 28,135,681 6,371,114 7,333,453 7,292,291 9,417,048 10,292,857 10,581,186
Book Value Per Share 2 2,869 2,998 3,765 4,541 5,187 5,333 5,738 6,228
Cash Flow per Share 2 -15.40 281.0 1,051 1,123 991.0 672.0 1,047 1,066
Capex 1 460,555 459,811 466,902 470,018 466,345 472,289 528,263 532,762
Capex / Sales 7.78% 9.52% 6.86% 5.89% 5.26% 5.26% 5.46% 5.29%
Announcement Date 5/8/20 5/7/21 5/10/22 5/10/23 5/9/24 - - -
1JPY in Million2JPY
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Ratings for Nippon Steel Corporation

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
More Ratings

Analysts' Consensus

Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
10
Last Close Price
3,426 JPY
Average target price
4,015 JPY
Spread / Average Target
+17.19%
Consensus

EPS Revisions

Estimates Revisions

Quarterly earnings - Rate of surprise

Company calendar

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1st Jan change Capi.
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