Financials Humm Group Limited

Equities

HUM

AU0000121337

Consumer Lending

Delayed Australian S.E. 11:37:09 2024-07-08 pm EDT 5-day change 1st Jan Change
0.445 AUD -1.11% Intraday chart for Humm Group Limited +7.23% -10.10%

Valuation

Fiscal Period: June 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 642.5 443.6 490.3 202.9 234.3 221 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 2,887 2,636 2,715 2,947 3,928 4,652 5,501 6,019
P/E ratio 10.3 x 22.5 x 8.25 x -1.16 x -116 x -233 x 11.9 x 23.7 x
Yield 4.72% 3.42% - 7.56% 4.3% 4.63% 4.23% 5.35%
Capitalization / Revenue 1.36 x 0.98 x 1.1 x 0.46 x 0.46 x 0.36 x 0.32 x 0.31 x
EV / Revenue 6.11 x 5.85 x 6.12 x 6.69 x 7.7 x 7.54 x 7.88 x 8.35 x
EV / EBITDA 14 x 13.7 x 25.2 x 48.4 x 151 x 258 x 110 x 116 x
EV / FCF 20.8 x 16.1 x - -5.42 x -4.36 x -6.6 x -10.7 x -17.4 x
FCF Yield 4.8% 6.21% - -18.5% -22.9% -15.1% -9.3% -5.75%
Price to Book 1 x 0.76 x 0.62 x 0.32 x 0.37 x 0.39 x 0.38 x 0.35 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 394,165 394,286 495,211 494,864 503,942 491,213 - -
Reference price 2 1.630 1.125 0.9900 0.4100 0.4650 0.4500 0.4500 0.4500
Announcement Date 8/26/19 8/25/20 8/18/21 8/24/22 8/23/23 - - -
1AUD in Million2AUD
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: June 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 472.7 450.4 443.9 440.4 510.4 616.8 698.6 720.6
EBITDA 1 206 192.8 107.7 60.9 26 18.05 49.95 52
EBIT 1 188.9 171.4 81.9 23.7 5 -2.85 26.6 30.5
Operating Margin 39.96% 38.06% 18.45% 5.38% 0.98% -0.46% 3.81% 4.23%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 90.9 24.7 81.9 -183.8 0.8 -5.7 26.6 30.45
Net income 1 61.7 21.4 60.1 -170.3 - -2.806 20.39 14.75
Net margin 13.05% 4.75% 13.54% -38.67% - -0.45% 2.92% 2.05%
EPS 2 0.1590 0.0500 0.1200 -0.3520 -0.004000 -0.001930 0.0377 0.0190
Free Cash Flow 1 138.7 163.7 - -544.2 -900.7 -704.5 -511.8 -346.4
FCF margin 29.34% 36.35% - -123.57% -176.47% -114.21% -73.27% -48.06%
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) 67.33% 84.91% - - - - - -
FCF Conversion (Net income) 224.8% 764.95% - - - - - -
Dividend per Share 2 0.0770 0.0385 - 0.0310 0.0200 0.0208 0.0190 0.0241
Announcement Date 8/26/19 8/25/20 8/18/21 8/24/22 8/23/23 - - -
1AUD in Million2AUD
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: June 2020 S1 2020 S2 2023 S1 2023 S2 2024 S1 2024 S2
Net sales 1 227.5 222.9 - 266.7 - 310.1
EBITDA - - - - - -
EBIT - - - - - -
Operating Margin - - - - - -
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 - -18.7 - -8.8 - -7.6
Net income 1 - -11.9 7.5 - -6 -3.2
Net margin - -5.34% - - - -1.03%
EPS - -0.0300 0.0110 - -0.0170 -
Dividend per Share 0.0385 - - - - -
Announcement Date 2/24/20 8/25/20 2/23/23 8/23/23 2/19/24 -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: June 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 2,245 2,192 2,225 2,745 3,694 4,431 5,280 5,798
Net Cash position 1 - - - - - - - -
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 10.9 x 11.37 x 20.66 x 45.07 x 142.1 x 245.5 x 105.7 x 111.5 x
Free Cash Flow 1 139 164 - -544 -901 -705 -512 -346
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) 12.3% 4.9% 8.99% -24.6% 3.84% -0.45% 3.46% 2.27%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) 2.56% 0.95% 1.9% -4.82% 0.56% -0.07% 0.33% 0.27%
Assets 1 2,411 2,259 3,169 3,533 - 4,306 6,122 5,529
Book Value Per Share 2 1.620 1.490 1.600 1.300 1.240 1.160 1.200 1.290
Cash Flow per Share 2 0.4400 0.5000 -0.2300 -1.080 -1.770 -1.130 -0.9300 -0.5700
Capex 1 26.7 31.7 29.1 23.3 18 17.7 18.9 18.4
Capex / Sales 5.65% 7.04% 6.56% 5.29% 3.53% 2.87% 2.71% 2.55%
Announcement Date 8/26/19 8/25/20 8/18/21 8/24/22 8/23/23 - - -
1AUD in Million2AUD
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
B-
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
2
Last Close Price
0.45 AUD
Average target price
0.63 AUD
Spread / Average Target
+40.00%
Consensus
  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. HUM Stock
  4. Financials Humm Group Limited