Financials Glencore plc

Equities

GLEN

JE00B4T3BW64

Diversified Mining

Real-time Estimate Cboe Europe 05:19:36 2024-07-03 am EDT 5-day change 1st Jan Change
476.2 GBX +2.12% Intraday chart for Glencore plc +4.89% +0.91%

Valuation

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 41,176 42,124 66,427 85,268 73,132 71,844 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 76,320 77,552 97,827 112,122 103,448 105,657 100,547 96,714
P/E ratio -104 x -22.8 x 13.3 x 5.02 x 17.7 x 15.4 x 10.3 x 10.2 x
Yield 6.41% - 5.13% 6.59% 2.16% 2.21% 3.02% 3.19%
Capitalization / Revenue 0.19 x 0.3 x 0.33 x 0.33 x 0.34 x 0.33 x 0.33 x 0.34 x
EV / Revenue 0.35 x 0.54 x 0.48 x 0.44 x 0.47 x 0.48 x 0.46 x 0.45 x
EV / EBITDA 6.58 x 6.71 x 4.59 x 3.29 x 6.05 x 6.36 x 5.4 x 5.28 x
EV / FCF 19 x -61.7 x 18.7 x 11.8 x 15.8 x 17.1 x 13.7 x 12.9 x
FCF Yield 5.26% -1.62% 5.36% 8.46% 6.33% 5.86% 7.28% 7.73%
Price to Book 1.06 x 1.12 x 1.81 x 1.9 x 1.68 x 1.63 x 1.49 x 1.35 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 13,194,320 13,221,312 13,094,998 12,762,238 12,169,709 12,153,411 - -
Reference price 2 3.121 3.186 5.073 6.681 6.009 5.911 5.911 5.911
Announcement Date 2/18/20 2/16/21 2/15/22 2/15/23 2/21/24 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 215,111 142,338 203,751 255,984 217,829 218,925 218,738 214,338
EBITDA 1 11,601 11,560 21,323 34,060 17,102 16,608 18,608 18,312
EBIT 1 4,151 4,416 14,495 26,657 10,392 9,741 11,614 11,111
Operating Margin 1.93% 3.1% 7.11% 10.41% 4.77% 4.45% 5.31% 5.18%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 -888 -5,116 7,375 22,879 5,417 7,086 10,432 10,812
Net income 1 -404 -1,903 4,974 17,320 4,280 4,880 7,130 7,173
Net margin -0.19% -1.34% 2.44% 6.77% 1.96% 2.23% 3.26% 3.35%
EPS 2 -0.0300 -0.1400 0.3800 1.330 0.3400 0.3831 0.5721 0.5792
Free Cash Flow 1 4,017 -1,257 5,242 9,482 6,552 6,196 7,324 7,474
FCF margin 1.87% -0.88% 2.57% 3.7% 3.01% 2.83% 3.35% 3.49%
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) 34.63% - 24.58% 27.84% 38.31% 37.31% 39.36% 40.82%
FCF Conversion (Net income) - - 105.39% 54.75% 153.08% 126.98% 102.71% 104.2%
Dividend per Share 2 0.2000 - 0.2600 0.4400 0.1300 0.1304 0.1784 0.1886
Announcement Date 2/18/20 2/16/21 2/15/22 2/15/23 2/21/24 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: December 2019 S2 2020 S1 2020 S2 2021 S1 2021 S2 2022 S1 2022 S2 2023 S1 2023 S2 2024 Q2 2024 S1 2024 Q4 2024 S2 2025 S1 2025 S2
Net sales 108,013 70,961 71,377 93,805 109,946 134,435 121,549 107,415 110,414 - 104,441 - 105,456 101,054 101,054
EBITDA - 4,833 6,727 8,654 12,669 18,918 15,142 9,397 7,705 - - - - - -
EBIT - 1,472 2,944 5,305 9,190 15,415 11,242 6,305 4,087 - 4,741 - 5,129 4,423 4,562
Operating Margin - 2.07% 4.12% 5.66% 8.36% 11.47% 9.25% 5.87% 3.7% - 4.54% - 4.86% 4.38% 4.51%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) - -5,175 59 2,014 5,361 16,012 6,867 5,999 - - - - - - -
Net income - -2,600 697 1,277 3,697 12,085 5,235 4,568 - - - - - - -
Net margin - -3.66% 0.98% 1.36% 3.36% 8.99% 4.31% 4.25% - - - - - - -
EPS 1 -0.0500 -0.2000 0.0600 0.1000 0.2800 0.9200 0.4100 0.3600 - 0.1500 - 0.2100 - - -
Dividend per Share 0.1000 - - 0.0800 0.1600 - 0.2200 - - - - - - - -
Announcement Date 2/18/20 8/6/20 2/16/21 8/5/21 2/15/22 8/4/22 2/15/23 8/8/23 2/21/24 - - - - - -
1USD
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 35,144 35,428 31,400 26,854 30,316 33,814 28,704 24,870
Net Cash position 1 - - - - - - - -
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.029 x 3.065 x 1.473 x 0.7884 x 1.773 x 2.036 x 1.543 x 1.358 x
Free Cash Flow 1 4,017 -1,257 5,242 9,482 6,552 6,197 7,324 7,474
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) 5.68% -4.89% 23.5% 42.3% 14.4% 11.5% 16.3% 15.1%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) 1.85% -1.57% 7.43% 14.5% 5.22% 3.74% 6.13% 6.04%
Assets 1 -21,860 121,041 66,913 119,289 81,936 130,614 116,311 118,735
Book Value Per Share 2 2.940 2.850 2.800 3.520 3.570 3.620 3.970 4.390
Cash Flow per Share 2 0.6300 0.2000 0.6600 1.040 0.8800 0.8900 1.050 1.040
Capex 1 4,712 3,921 3,618 4,177 4,484 5,361 5,780 5,634
Capex / Sales 2.19% 2.75% 1.78% 1.63% 2.06% 2.45% 2.64% 2.63%
Announcement Date 2/18/20 2/16/21 2/15/22 2/15/23 2/21/24 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
C+
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
13
Last Close Price
5.911 USD
Average target price
6.524 USD
Spread / Average Target
+10.37%
Consensus
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