Fitch Ratings has issued a presale report on FREMF 2021-K124 Multifamily Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates and Freddie Mac Structured Pass-Through Certificates, Series K-124.
RATING ACTIONS
ENTITY/DEBT RATING
A-1
LTAAA (EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-1
ULTAAA (EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-2
LTAAA (EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-2
ULTAAA (EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-M
LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-M
ULT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
X1
LTAAA (EXP)sf Expected Rating
X1
ULTAAA (EXP)sf Expected Rating
X3
LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
X3
ULT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
XAM
LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
XAM
ULT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
FREMF 2021-
A-1
LTAAA (EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-1
ULTAAA (EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-2
LTAAA (EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-2
ULTAAA (EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-M
LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-M
ULT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
D
LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
X1
LTAAA (EXP)sf Expected Rating
X1
ULTAAA (EXP)sf Expected Rating
X2-A
LTAAA (EXP)sf Expected Rating
X2-B
LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
X3
LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
X3
ULT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
XAM
LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
XAM
ULT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
VIEW ADDITIONAL RATING DETAILS
Fitch expects to rate the transaction and assign Rating Outlooks as follows:
FREMF 2021-K124 Multifamily Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates (FREMF 2021-K124):
In addition, Fitch has issued expected Unenhanced Ratings, which reflect the underlying creditworthiness absent of the
Freddie Mac Structured Pass-Through Certificates, Series K-124 (
Fitch has also issued expected Unenhanced Ratings, which reflect the underlying creditworthiness absent the Freddie Mac Guarantee as well as Rating Outlooks to
(a) Notional amount and IO
(b) Guaranteed byFreddie Mac .
The FREMF 2021-K124 trust consists of both guaranteed and unguaranteed certificates. The underlying guaranteed certificates consist of the classes A-1, A-2, A-M, X1, XAM and X3. These certificates will be purchased by
Fitch does not expect to rate the following classes of FREMF 2021-K124:
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
The certificates represent the beneficial ownership interest in the trust. The trust's primary assets are 58 fixed-rate loans secured by 58 properties with an aggregate principal balance of approximately
Fitch reviewed a comprehensive sample of the transaction's collateral, including cash flow analysis of 77.9% of the pool and asset summary reviews of 100% of the pool.
Coronavirus: The ongoing containment effort related to the coronavirus pandemic may have an adverse impact on near-term revenues (i.e., bad debt expense) and operating expenses (sanitation costs) for some properties in the pool. Delinquencies may occur in the coming months as forbearance programs are put in place, although the ultimate impact on credit losses will depend heavily on the severity and duration of the negative economic impact of the coronavirus pandemic, and to what degree fiscal interventions by the
As of
As described in the loan documents, the reserves will be released once the coronavirus emergency declarations are lifted, full due diligence is confirmed and the property is performing.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Fitch Leverage Slightly Higher Compared to Recent Transactions: The pool's Fitch-stressed loan-to-value ratio (LTV) of 134.4% is higher than both the 2020 and 2019 Fitch-rated,
100% Traditional Multifamily or
Below-Average Pool Amortization: The pool is scheduled to amortize by 7.4% of the initial pool balance prior to maturity, which is below the 2020 and 2019 Fitch-rated,
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that could, individually or collectively, lead to a positive rating action/upgrade:
Fitch did not consider the implementation of positive stresses for this transaction as the rated classes are at the highest rating level and cannot be upgraded further. The presale report includes a detailed explanation of additional stresses and sensitivities on page 10.
Factors that could, individually or collectively, lead to a negative rating action/downgrade:
Declining cash flow decreases property value and capacity to meet its debt service obligations. The list below indicates the model-implied rating sensitivity to changes in one variable, Fitch NCF:
Original Rating: 'AAAsf';
10% NCF decline: 'AA+sf';
20% NCF decline: 'A+sf';
30% NCF decline: 'A-sf'.
BEST/WORST CASE RATING SCENARIO
International scale credit ratings of Structured Finance transactions have a best-case rating upgrade scenario (defined as the 99th percentile of rating transitions, measured in a positive direction) of seven notches over a three-year rating horizon; and a worst-case rating downgrade scenario (defined as the 99th percentile of rating transitions, measured in a negative direction) of seven notches over three years. The complete span of best- and worst-case scenario credit ratings for all rating categories ranges from 'AAAsf' to 'Dsf'. Best- and worst-case scenario credit ratings are based on historical performance. For more information about the methodology used to determine sector-specific best- and worst-case scenario credit ratings, visit https://www.fitchratings.com/site/re/10111579.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as prepared by
REFERENCES FOR SUBSTANTIALLY MATERIAL SOURCE CITED AS KEY DRIVER OF RATING
The principal sources of information used in the analysis are described in the Applicable Criteria.
REPRESENTATIONS, WARRANTIES AND ENFORCEMENT MECHANISMS
A description of the transaction's representations, warranties and enforcement mechanisms (RW&Es) that are disclosed in the offering document and which relate to the underlying asset pool is available by clicking the link to the Appendix. The appendix also contains a comparison of these RW&Es to those Fitch considers typical for the asset class as detailed in the Special Report titled 'Representations, Warranties and Enforcement Mechanisms in Global Structured Finance Transactions'.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
Unless otherwise disclosed in this section, the highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3'. This means ESG issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are being managed by the entity. For more information on Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores, visit www.fitchratings.com/esg
Additional information is available on www.fitchratings.com
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