Analyst Briefing

May 2024

DISCLOSURE

All forward - looking statements are management's present

expectations of future events and are subject to a number of factors and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those described in the forward - looking statements.

Forward - looking statements should not be relied upon for making investment or other decisions as the statements speak only as of the date they were made

INDEX

  • Economic Highlights and Fertilizer Industry
  • Operational Metrics
  • Financial Performance
  • Outlook
  • Q&A

Economic Highlights &

Fertilizer Industry

Economic Highlights

20.7%

3.8%

40%

Inflation (Mar YoY)

Rupee Devaluation (YoY)

Gas curtailment

Registered a dip from 35.4%

Stable exchange rate leading

Received 3,116 MMSCF of

in SPLY.

to minimal exchange loss .

natural gas.

Current parity PKR 278.55 /

40% lower than allocation of

USD.

5,168 MMSCF

DAP Market

DAP Market registered a 23% increase with total offtake 292 KT (SPLY 238 KT).

With an increased market share of 58% (SPLY 54%), FFBL remains the largest DAP player in the market.

Fatima Gp

Pvt Import

2%

1%

Fatima Gp

Pvt

FFC

8%

FFC

9%

Import

10%

9%

Engro

Q1

30%

Engro

Q1

2023

19%

2024

FFBL

54%

FFBL

58%

238 Kt

292 Kt

DAP Primary Margin International Trend

Healthy primary margins witnessed in Q1 2024

188

DAP CFR (US$ / MT)

Phos CFR (US$ / MT)

PM (US$ / MT)

165

176

161

161

151

142

129

122

130

133

136

116

69

1,050

1,050

1,050

970

970

970

850

850

850

985

985

985

968

968

968

968

25

36

681

658

622

572

525

481

436

521

576

593

596

599

611

611

592

605

Jan-23

Feb-23Mar-23Apr-23May-23Jun-23

Jul-23

Aug-23Sep-23

Oct-23Nov-23Dec-23

Jan-24

Feb-24Mar-24

Q1

2024

Source: CRU / Argus

Advantages - Local Manufacturing

FX saving per ton of DAP - US$

Annualized Saving

152

151

US$ 129 Mn

119

FX Saved: US$ 151 / Ton

114

As the sole DAP producer in Pakistan, FFBL ensures availability of DAP throughout the year

3636

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

Q1 2024

Urea Market

Urea Market increased by 11% with total offtake of 1,798 KT (SPLY 1,623 KT).

FFBL liquidated its entire inventory with 64 KT offtake.

NFML

Fatima

13%

Gp

FFC

9%

39%

Q1

2023

Engro

Agritech

6%

Fatima Gp

15%

FFC 42%

Q1 2024

Engro

34%

FFBL

5%

33%

FFBL

4%

1,623 Kt

1,798 Kt

Advantages - Local Manufacturing

Urea

8,109

Price Delta

6,128

PKR 1,475 / Bag

Local vs Int. Market Price

4,886

2,131

2,103

3,070

1,858

2,075

1,625

1,714

5,800

1.3x Benefit passed

onto farmers

4,325

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

Q1 2024

Int'l Urea Price (PKR/Bag)

FFBL Urea Price (PKR/Bag)

Int'l Price: Ex-Arab FoB with transport and taxes

FFBL Price: Dealer Transfer Price

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Disclaimer

Fauji Fertilizer Bin Qasim Ltd. published this content on 03 May 2024 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 03 May 2024 09:50:06 UTC.