Agenda
Ed Bastian Chief Executive Officer
Delta: The Industry Leader
Glen Hauenstein President
Extending our Competitive Advantages
Gil West Sr. EVP and Chief Operating Officer
The World's Best Run Airline
Tim Mapes Chief Marketing and Communications Officer Reinforcing Brand Loyalty
Eric Phillips Sr. Vice President Revenue Management Industry-Leading Revenue Generation
Joanne Smith Chief People Officer
People Fuel our Success
Paul Jacobson Chief Financial Officer
Delivering Consistent Value for Shareholders
Safe Harbor
Statements in this presentation that are not historical facts, including statements regarding our estimates, expectations, beliefs, intentions, projections or strategies for the future, may be "forward-looking statements" as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. All forward-looking statements involve a number of risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from the estimates, expectations, beliefs, intentions, projections and strategies reflected in or suggested by the forward-looking statements. These risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to, the cost of aircraft fuel; the availability of aircraft fuel; the impact of fuel hedging activity including rebalancing our hedge portfolio, recording mark-to-market adjustments or posting collateral in connection with our fuel hedge contracts; the performance of our significant investments in airlines in other parts of the world; the possible effects of accidents involving our aircraft; breaches or security lapses in our information technology systems; disruptions in our information technology infrastructure; our dependence on technology in our operations; the restrictions that financial covenants in our financing agreements could have on our financial and business operations; labor issues; the effects of weather, natural disasters and seasonality on our business; the effects of an extended disruption in services provided by third parties; failure or inability of insurance to cover a significant liability at Monroe's Trainer refinery; the impact of environmental regulation on the Trainer refinery, including costs related to renewable fuel standard regulations; our ability to retain senior management and key employees; damage to our reputation and brand if we are exposed to significant adverse publicity through social media; the effects of terrorist attacks or geopolitical conflict; competitive conditions in the airline industry; interruptions or disruptions in service at major airports at which we operate; the effects of extensive government regulation on our business; the sensitivity of the airline industry to prolonged periods of stagnant or weak economic conditions; uncertainty in economic conditions and regulatory environment in the United Kingdom related to the exit of the United Kingdom from the European Union; and the effects of the rapid spread of contagious illnesses.
Additional information concerning risks and uncertainties that could cause differences between actual results and forward-looking statements is contained in our Securities and Exchange Commission filings, including our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2018. Caution should be taken not to place undue reliance on our forward-looking statements, which represent our views only as of December 12, 2019, and which we have no current intention to update.
3
Delta:
The Industry Leader
Ed Bastian
Chief Executive Officer
Delivering Strong 2019 Performance
Our People
- Strong culture and employee engagement
- On track for highest profit sharing in history
- 6,800 new hires to support growth and improve service
- Raised base pay for twelfth time in the last thirteen years
Our Partners & Communities
- Proposed strategic partnership with LATAM
- Equity investment in Korean partner
- Returned over $55 million to communities where we live, work and serve
- Improved fuel efficiency by 2% and delivered carbon-neutral growth
Delivering
Results for all Stakeholders
Our Customers
- Industry-leadingreliability and record customer satisfaction
- Enhancing the customer experience through product and service improvements
- Renewed American Express partnership
- Growing loyalty with record acquisitions of SkyMiles members and co-brand cards
Our Owners
- Expect pre-tax income of $6 billion, 5th year at or above $5 billion
- Delivering top-line growth of ~7%
- Expanding profit margins
- Free cash flow of approximately $4 billion with $3 billion returned to owners
Note: Adjusted for special items; non-GAAP financial measures reconciled in Appendix
5
Continued Momentum in 2020
Revenue | Earnings Per Share | Free Cash Flow | ||
~$49B | |||
~$47B | $6.75-$7.75 | ~$4B | ~$4B |
$6.75-$7.25
4% - 6%
~7%
2019 | 2020 | 2019 | 2020 | 2019 | 2020 |
Guidance | Outlook | Guidance | Outlook | Guidance | Outlook |
Note: Adjusted for special items; non-GAAP financial measures reconciled in Appendix
6
Feedback We Hear From the Investment Community
Delta's biggest weakness is that it's an airline company - there are a lot
of fears around margins, cyclicality and exposure to macroeconomic or | |
"geopolitical shocks. " | Top owner |
Note: Rivel perception study conducted in July 2019
7
Attractive Industry Dynamics
Delta is Leading a Growth Sector…
Average 2017 - 2019
GDP | Travel | Delta Revenue |
Growth | Growth | Growth |
Source: Travel growth based on February 2019 World Travel & Tourism Council report
…in a Stronger Airline Industry
- Consolidated structure
- Returns-orientedwith shareholder focus
- Differentiated and improved product
- Consistent profitability
- Addressing environmental impact
8
Feedback We Hear From the Investment Community
One way Delta could improve their valuation and change the way that the
market sees them would be to improve the level of disclosures on profitability | |
"of the various business lines. " | Sell Side Analyst |
- Delta's premium to the industry and their outperformance to the upside raises questions about how long that can continue." Sell Side Analyst
Note: Rivel perception study conducted in July 2019
9
Delta's Strategic Priorities
Run the Premier | Grow our Brand | Accelerate | Invest for the |
Global Airline | Premium | Globalization | Long Term |
Safe, reliable and | Enhance customer | Grow our presence | Extend our competitive |
customer-focused | trust and loyalty | advantages |
Delivered by the best people and culture in
the industry
Long-term value creation for Delta stakeholders
10
Five Things to Take Away From Today
1 | Building on a record 2019 - with expectations for 4% to 6% revenue growth, $6.75 to |
$7.75 earnings per share and $4 billion free cash flow in 2020 | |
2 | Benefitting from favorable travel trends as the best performer within a structurally |
improved airline industry | |
Extending our unmatched competitive advantages - our culture, operational reliability,
3 global network, customer loyalty and investment grade balance sheet - to retain our leadership position and drive long term value creation for all stakeholders
4 | Enhancing our global scale with investments in fleet, partners, facilities and technology to |
deliver best-in-class customer experiences and drive strong returns for owners | |
5 | Creating long-term growth opportunity through growing brand preference, innovative |
global partnership structure and continued revenue diversification from loyalty and MRO | |
Note: Forward-lookingnon-GAAP financial measures. See additional information in Appendix |
11
Extending our Competitive Advantages
Glen Hauenstein
President
Agenda
Leveraging scale
Investing for the future
Extending our competitive advantages
13
Post-Merger Network Provided Limited Global Reach
NRT | MSP | DTW JFK |
CVG | ||
SLC | MEM | |
ATL |
Destinations:549
Countries:113
Joint Venture in transatlantic
Note: Route map as of 2008
AMS
CDG
14
Unprecedented Network Transformation Creates Global Scale
ICN
PVG
YVR | YYC | YYZ | |
SEA | |||
MSP | BOS | ||
SLC | DTW NYC | ||
LAX | ATL | ||
MEX |
BOG
LIM
GRU
SCL | EZE | |
SYD | ||
Destinations:549 982
Countries:113 143
Existing or planned Joint Ventures in all
geographic entities
LHR
AMS
CDG FCO
Note: Route map as of December 2019; WestJet JV subject to government approvals; LATAM equity stake subject to tender offer completion and JV subject to government approvals
15
Agenda
Leveraging scale
Investing for the future
Extending our competitive advantages
16
Global Scale Creates Opportunities to Invest for the Future
JV / Equity | Airports | Technology | Fleet | |||
Partnerships | Transformation | |||||
Deepening customer, | Investing in key | Building digital tools, | Simplifying and |
commercial and | airports to improve | driving personalization, | upgauging fleet to drive |
operational integration | efficiency and | leveraging data to | substantial efficiency |
with partners | customer experience | optimize operations | benefits |
17
Agenda
Leveraging scale
Investing for the future
Extending our competitive advantages
18
Extending our Competitive Advantages
Unmatched Competitive
Advantages
Global | Customer |
Culture Network | Loyalty |
Global | Customer |
Network | Loyalty |
Operational Balance
Reliability Sheet
19
G L O B A L N E T W O R K
Scale Advantage Enables Attractive Growth Opportunities
Domestic
International
Product & Service
Fleet
Strengths
High-margin core hubs, coastal hub positions, strong local share
JV and equity partnerships
in every entity
Brand preference,
segmented product with
growing premium mix
Flexible fleet with low
ownership costs
2020
Core hub growth, mature coastal hubs, capitalize on local positions
Expand service in key
markets, launch strategic partnership with LATAM
Continue improvements, expand five-cabin strategy
Retire MD88 fleet by year end,
grow A220 and A321 fleet
Vision
Most efficient core hubs,
higher-margin coastal hubs, expanded focus city presence
Best-in-class customer
experience through deeper
partner integration
Enjoyable travel with better
technology and personalization
Simpler, more efficient, higher
gauge fleet
Note: LATAM equity stake subject to tender offer completion and JV subject to government approvals
20
G L O B A L N E T W O R K
Delta's Fleet Transformation is Multi-Faceted
Creating Value
from
Existing Fleet
Sizable Fleet
Replacement
Opportunity
Cabin Segmentation
- Provide choice and optimize revenue
Aircraft Deployment
- Drive efficiency through better asset deployment
Interior Investments
- Improve customer experience
Fleet Simplification
- Reduce complexity with fewer aircraft types
Next-Generation Technology
- Best-in-classeconomics and leading product
Gauge Growth
- Network enables continued upgauging opportunity
Evolution from legacy to optimal fleet provides
substantial efficiency benefits
21
G L O B A L N E T W O R K
Continuing to Renew Our Fleet
Evolution of Delta's Fleet Gauge
(average seats per aircraft) | 150+ |
127
114
97
2009 | 2014 | 2020E | Future State | |
Fleet | 15 | 13 | 8 | |
Families | ||||
Premium | 9% | 28% | >30% | |
Mix |
- Average gauge has grown 30% since 2009
- Gauge growth temporarily pauses in 2020/2021, returning in 2022 and continuing for foreseeable future
- Next phase of fleet transformation driven by reduction of fleet families
- Benefits from product upgrades and higher premium seat mix continue in 2020 and beyond
22
C U S T O M E R L O Y A L T Y
Growing Loyalty and Trust in the Delta Brand
SkyMiles Program
Miles as
Currency
Co-Brand
Card
Strengths
Top-ranked loyalty
program with expanding
membership base
Loyalty currency in
high demand
Unique partnership with
Amex and premium
customer base
2020 | Vision | |
Increase engagement and | Deeper customer relationships | |
enhance targeted offerings | with greater lifetime value | |
Expand mileage | More valuable currency with | |
redemption options | ubiquity of miles | |
Relaunch card portfolio with | Industry-leading, global | |
improved benefits | co-brand program | |
23
C U S T O M E R L O Y A L T Y
The Strategic Importance of American Express
Delta-American Express Contribution
- Two strong consumer brands with long-term
partnership | ~$7B | |
• | Integrated model with attractive economics | |
• | Higher contribution driven by improved | |
economics, accelerating acquisitions and strong | ||
spend growth | ||
• | Source of diversification and high-margin revenue | |
• | Delta represented 8% of American Express global | |
billings and 21% of card member loans in 2018 | $1.4B | |
20102023E
Contract renewal through 2029 provides platform for significant value creation for both partners
24
I N S U M M A R Y
The Delta Difference
A Powerful | Unmatched Competitive | ||
Brand | Advantages | ||
Global | Customer | ||
Culture | Network | Loyalty |
+
Operational Balance
Reliability Sheet
Long-Term
Value Creation
Top-Line Growth
Margin Expansion
Balanced Capital
Allocation
25
The World's
Best Run Airline
Gil West
Sr. EVP and
Chief Operating Officer
Agenda
Improving operational reliability
Growing portfolio businesses
27
Building Trust with Customers Through Operational Reliability
Best | More Customers | Record | Lowest Level of | Record | ||||
Maintenance | Customer | |||||||
Completion | Arrive On Time | Bag | ||||||
Cancellations in | Satisfaction | |||||||
Factor | Performance | History | Scores | |||||
99.8% | 85.5% | 1.2x | 99% | 51% |
+5 pts YOY | ||||
DOT Completion | On-Time | Fewer lost bags | Reduction in | Domestic |
Factor | Arrivals | versus industry | maintenance | NPS |
cancellations |
Note: DOT completion factor, on-time arrivals (DOT A14) and maintenance cancellations are preliminary YTD-Nov 2019; DOT missed bag ratio (MBR) is YTD-Sep 2019; Domestic NPS is YTD-Oct 2019
28
Managing Irregular Operations to Further Differentiate Customer Service
Irregular Operations (IROP) | IROP Net Promoter | ||||||||||
Cancellations | Scores | ||||||||||
(Mainline) | |||||||||||
5,719 | 8% | ||||||||||
3% | |||||||||||
3,696 | |||||||||||
1,812 | |||||||||||
(15%) | |||||||||||
Average | 2018 | 2019 | Average | 2018 | 2019 | ||||||
2010-2017 | YTD | 2010-2017 | YTD | ||||||||
- Best-in-classoperational performance on blue-sky days
- IROPs provide an opportunity to differentiate versus competition
- Delivering operational tools to deliver excellent customer service:
- Probabilistic weather forecasting
- Crew resource management
- Artificial intelligence / machine learning driven decision making
- De-icingand thunderstorm constraint management
Note: IROP cancellations are preliminary YTD-Oct 2019; 100% completion factor days is FY 2010-2018
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2020 Operational Priorities
Continue to Improve | Leverage Technology & | Grow Portfolio | ||
IROP Recovery & Process | ||||
Infrastructure | Businesses | |||
Improvement | ||||
- Facilitate quicker recovery through predictive tools
- Reduce passenger stress through the travel ribbon
- Security and processing wait time reductions
- Improve gate throughput and asset utilization
- Enable personalized service through "Single View of the Customer"
- Unlock productivity using mobility platforms
- Optimize decision making processes with technology
- Replace ground service equipment
- Continue to grow MRO revenue
- Expand interior product sales through Delta Flight Products
- Leverage portfolio businesses to reduce cost
- Partner to drive value from non-core assets
30
Agenda
Improving operational reliability
Growing portfolio businesses
31
Unlocking Value from Portfolio Businesses Through Partnerships
- DPJ combining with Wheels Up to create one of the world's largest owned and managed fleets of private aircraft
- Brings together complementary businesses representing best consumer brands in private and commercial aviation
- Delta entering into a long-term partnership agreement with Wheels Up
- Delta will hold a minority equity position in the combined company
- Demonstrates ability to leverage Delta brand into adjacent industry
32
Pursuing Growth Opportunities in Core Competencies
- Manufacturing subsidiary established to create value for Delta in the cabin interior
- Focus on supplier risk mitigation, Delta brand attributes and cost leverage
- Currently producing wireless IFE systems, monuments and integration kits
- Capabilities to participate in approximately 50% of the cabin interiors markets
- Strong platform for growth even beyond cabin interiors
Expanding product lines and pivoting to external sales growth
33
MRO Positioned to Meet Growing Global Maintenance Demand
Demand Growing for New Engine Offerings
Global Installed Engine Forecast 2019-2029
+20%
CAGR
- Largest airline MRO in America with long-term OEM relationships
- Guarantees for 7,000+ engine shop visits over the next 30 years
- Contracts with Rolls Royce and Pratt & Whitney cover next-gen engine technology
- Expect to more than double MRO revenue by 2024 from 2019 base of $880 million as next-gen engine volume grows
2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | |
PW GTF | Trent 1000 | Trent 7000 | Trent XWB | ||||||||
Source: AeroDynamic Advisory & Alton Aviation
34
I N S U M M A R Y
Delta: The World's Best Run Airline
Operational Excellence
- Building trust with customers through industry-leading operational reliability
Continuous Improvement
- Improving performance during irregular operations to minimize disruption and improve customer experience
Unique Value Drivers
- Unlocking value through partnerships and multi-year growth opportunities in portfolio businesses
35
Reinforcing
Brand Loyalty
Tim Mapes
Chief Marketing and
Communications Officer
Delta Has a Leading Consumer Brand that Transcends Travel
Corporate Partner Award
37
A Culture of Service at the Center of Everything We Do
The Rules of The Road
Apply our basic business principles
Know our business and improve it constantly
Demonstrate honesty, integrity and respect
Drive for results
Build great teams
38
Committed to Industry-Leading Safety and Reliability
39
Never Satisfied With the Status Quo
Modernizing the airport experience
- Terminal investments, biometrics, RFID expansion
Enhancing service
- Single View of the Customer enables more personalized experiences
Extending global relevance
- Building portfolio of industry-leading brands
- Deeper partner integration to improve travel experience between brands
Investing in Customer & Operations Recovery
- Enabling proactive recovery during irregular operations
Leveraging mobile technology
- Launching of Fly Delta 5.0 app
40
Values-Led and a Force for Positive Change Worldwide
Better connecting global communities starts with thousands of Delta people who connect millions of passengers to hundreds of global destinations - every day
But that's just the start, the heart of our business is about…
- Connecting people with each other
- Increasing cultural understanding
- Fostering economic growth
- Strengthening communities
41
Delta is Addressing Climate Change
Fleet Renewal | Fuel Savings Initiatives | Carbon Offsets | ||
✓More than 300 new | ✓APU usage reductions | ✓Purchasing from 20+ projects |
aircraft in last 5 years | ||
✓New aircraft are 25% | ✓Turbulence app reduces | ✓Investing in carbon reductions |
more fuel efficient | flight corrections | outside airline industry |
11% | ~2% | 12 million |
emissions reduction | annual fuel efficiency | carbon offsets |
since 2005 | improvement | purchased |
42
Trust Drives Key Behaviors Including Buying and Staying Loyal
Percent Who Will Engage in Each Behavior on Behalf of a Brand
Brands you currently use and… | Do not fully trust | Have trusted for a long time |
Buy First | Stay Loyal | Advocate | Defend | ||||
62 | |||||||
53 | +33 | 51 | |||||
+28 | points | 43 | |||||
+27 | |||||||
points | points | +21 | |||||
29 | points | ||||||
25 | 24 | ||||||
22 | |||||||
Do not | Trust | Do not | Trust | Do not | Trust | Do not | Trust |
trust | trust | trust | trust |
Source: Edelman Trust Barometer Special Report
43
Better Business Results Driven by Best-in-Class Customer Experience
Domestic NPS & Revenue Premium
119%
117%51%
38%
106%
15%
2010 | 2015 | 2019 | ||
YTD 3Q19 | ||||
Domestic Revenue Premium | Domestic NPS | |||
Strong relationship observed between NPS and Revenue Premium
Note: NPS sourced from Domestic ISM Surveys; 2019 PRASM data is TTM 3Q19; 2019 NPS Data is YTD-Oct 2019
44
Delta's Brand is Built on Trust and Delivering What Customers Value
Thoughtful | Reliable | Innovative | Values-Led | |||||||||||
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |||||||||||
Always have our | Understanding | Never satisfied with the | Determined to make the | |||
customers, employees, | expectations is the | status quo, we | world better and more | |||
communities and | standard - exceeding | continually invest, | connected by acting on | |||
shareholders in mind | them is where we make | innovate, refresh and | our values | |||
the difference | renew | |||||
45
Industry-Leading Revenue Generation
Eric Phillips
Sr. Vice President
Revenue Management
Delta is the Airline of Choice
Leading Global | + | Best-in-class | Growing customer |
preference and sustainable | |||
Network | Experience | ||
revenue premium | |||
More customers than ever are choosing to fly Delta, recommending the
airline and becoming loyal to our brand…
47
Evolution to Customer-Focused Revenue Generation
Then
Brand loyalty | Transactional |
ProductsSeats
Purchase driver | Lowest fares |
Domestic NPS | 15% |
Now
Relationship-based
Experiences
Reliability, service and
products
50%+
Vision
Deep knowledge of customer preferences
Personalized offers
Best-in-class
travel experience
Most trusted travel brand
48
Positioned to Continue Revenue Momentum in 2020
~$49B
4-6%
~7% | |||||
8% | • More choice in payment | ||||
• 110%+ revenue | |||||
• More choice in | |||||
$39B | 4% | premium | |||
experience | |||||
• Amex renewal | |||||
• Reliable operation | • Fuel recapture | ||||
• Branded Fares | • Premium revenue | ||||
• Globalization | growth | ||||
2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019E | 2020E |
Revenue growth ~2-3x U.S. GDP
Note: Adjusted for special items; non-GAAP financial measures reconciled in Appendix
49
Executing on 2020 Revenue Drivers Will Further Brand Affinity
Building | Better Selling | Preferred | Loyalty | |||||||||||
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |||||||||||
Customer Trust | and Servicing | Corporate Carrier | Revenue | |||||||||||
Delivering sustainable | Offering right product | Maintaining our lead by | Driving acquisitions and |
growth by earning and | at the right time, | investing in the things | enhancing card spend |
keeping customer trust | across channels and | Corporate travelers |
currenciesvalue
50
I N I T I A T I V E # 1 : B U I L D I N G C U S T O M E R T R U S T
Building Customer Trust Throughout the Travel Ribbon
Shopping | Booking | Post-Purchase | Airport | In-Flight |
Consistency | Clarity of | Fairness in | Safe, | |||||
policy for | Transparency | |||||||
in pricing, | choices and | reliable, | ||||||
customers | in all customer | |||||||
product, and | associated | on-time | ||||||
and | touchpoints | |||||||
schedule | attributes | with bags | ||||||
employees | ||||||||
Opportunity | Foundational | |
51
I N I T I A T I V E # 2 : B E T T E R S E L L I N G A N D S E R V I C E
Brand Affinity + Product Affinity is a Powerful Combination
Customers Want Choice
70%
repeat
Once a customer purchases a premium product, 70% of those customers will purchase an equal or better product on a future trip
Growing Premium Revenue
+25% ~$15B
$12B
$5.5B
201020172019E
2017-2019E
Premium revenue has grown ~2x faster than total revenue
52
I N I T I A T I V E # 2 : B E T T E R S E L L I N G A N D S E R V I C E
Better Selling and Servicing Fortify Delta's Leading Position
Strong Direct Channels
Opportunity to Expand in Corporate Direct Booking Tools
Third Party Opportunity
(e.g. Expedia, Concur)
52% | 42% | |
direct | of direct revenue | |
distribution | is premium | |
10% | 81% | |
accounts with | accounts with a | |
Comfort+ in | premium product | |
policy | in policy |
$400-500M
per point of mix improvement
in external channels
53
I N I T I A T I V E # 3 : P R E F E R R E D C O R P O R A T E C A R R I E R
Delta is the Preferred Carrier for Business Travel
Global Focus
Domestic:
80%+
Travel Programs
with Delta as
Preferred Carrier
2019 Yo2Y Industry Corporate Revenue
in Delta Markets
+17%
YoY Premium
Volume
+8%
Growing Corporate Markets
9%10%
14%
YoY Domestic Volume (+4 pts versus industry)
International:
Leveraging
Strengths Abroad
Core HubsCoastal Hubs Focus Cities
2019 Yo2Y Industry Corporate Revenue
13% | 14% | 15% | 18% | |
11% | ||||
China | France | UK | Korea Netherlands |
43%
Premium
Passenger Mix
54
I N I T I A T I V E # 4 : L O Y A L T Y R E V E N U E
Amex Partnership Creates Value for Delta and Our Customers
Delta-Amex Contribution | ||||
New and improved co-brand | ~15% | |||
card benefits and refreshed marketing | ||||
CAGR | ||||
will accelerate acquisitions and drive | ~$4.4B | |||
portfolio spend | ~$4B | |||
1M+ | 12%+ | $3.4B | ||
New card | Portfolio | |||
acquisitions for | spend CAGR | |||
past three years | since 2012 |
2018 | 2019E | 2020E |
55
Strong Foundation with Durable Platform for Growth
Scale | Local Share | Corporate | ||
Strong global presence, | Local share is growing, | Continued strength in | ||
geographically balanced | ~20% yield premium over | corporate volumes with | ||
network | connecting traffic | higher premium mix |
#1 carrier in revenue | ~60% domestic | Preferred airline of the |
generation | local mix | business traveler |
Built to Win
56
I N S U M M A R Y
Best-in-Class Customer Experience = Sustained Revenue Growth
Trusted Brand
We have the right…
✓ Culture | ✓ Technology |
✓ Employees | ✓ Loyalty program |
✓ Network & Fleet | ✓ Global partners |
✓ Operational reliability | ✓ Products & Services |
2020
Top-line Growth
4% to 6%
…for future success
57
People Fuel our Success
Joanne Smith
Chief People Officer
Our Culture in Action
Our
People:
Caring for our people,
sustaining their
passion
Empowered
Our Employees
Brand:
Strengthening brand,
customer loyalty,
higher NPS
Our
Customers:
Caring for our
customers, who
become passionate
about Delta
59
Creating Moments That Matter Every Day
60
Care When It's Needed Most
"The decision to help was, without a doubt, who we are as a company that cares about connecting the world.
In this case, we were able to connect hundreds of people to safety and humanity. Our team's commitment to helping others continues to inspire me every day."
Dave Holtz, Senior Vice President -
Operations and Customer Center
61
A Culture of Giving Back
273 | 30 | 30 |
Habitat Homes | Playgrounds | JA Chapters |
Delta employees build homes | Delta employees have built KaBOOM! | Delta supports Junior Achievement |
annually - spanning 13 countries | playgrounds across 14 markets to give | chapters across 4 continents to teach |
since 1995 - with Habitat for | kids a safe place to play | students financial literacy, work readiness |
Humanity | and entrepreneurship |
1,000 | 13,064 | 20 |
Bikes | Pints of Blood | Food Banks |
Delta contributes to Toys for Tots annually and Delta employees build 1,000 bikes for
Delta employees donated blood at 254 drives making Delta #1 among American
Delta employees help repack more than 2 million pounds of food annually across
kids every holiday season | Red Cross corporate donors in FY19 | the globe, including support of 18 |
Feeding America food banks |
62
I N S U M M A R Y
A Thriving Culture Strengthens Customer Loyalty
13X | More likely to have highly |
engaged employees | |
7X | More likely to have employees | |
innovating | ||
6X | More likely to have higher Net | |
Promoter Scores | ||
Source: O.C. Tanner Global Culture Report 2020
63
Delivering Consistent Value for Shareholders
Paul Jacobson
Chief Financial Officer
Agenda
Financial highlights and outlook
Capital allocation
65
Strong 2019 Financial Performance Caps Decade of Transformation
Pre-Tax
Profit
~$6B
$5.3B
$1.5B
2010 2017 2019E
Operating
Cash Flow
~$8.5B
$6.8B
$2.8B
2010 2017 2019E
Returns to
Shareholders
~$3B
$2.4B
$0B
2010 2017 2019E
Fifth consecutive year
>$5 billion
Consistent | Targeting ~70% |
reinvestment and | of FCF to owners with |
shareholder returns | steady dividend growth |
Note: Adjusted for special items; non-GAAP financial measures reconciled in Appendix
66
Robust Free Cash Flow Generation in 2019
Core Capital | ||
Operating Cash | Spending | |
~$4.5B | ||
Flow | ||
~$8.5B | ||
Free Cash Flow | ||
~$4B | ||
$2B | $1B |
Buybacks Dividends
Note: Adjusted for special items; non-GAAP financial measures reconciled in Appendix
- Expect free cash flow to net income conversion of 80% to 90%
- Additional $500 million elective pension contribution in the December quarter
67
Continued Momentum in 2020
Revenue | Earnings Per Share | |
~$49B | |
~$47B | $6.75-$7.75 |
$6.75-$7.25
4% - 6%
~7%
2019 | 2020 | 2019 | 2020 |
Guidance | Outlook | Guidance | Outlook |
Note: Adjusted for special items; non-GAAP financial measures reconciled in Appendix
Free Cash Flow
~$4B~$4B
20192020
Guidance Outlook
68
Total Expense Growth in 2020 Expected to be Slightly Lower than 2019
Non-Fuel Expense
Industry Wide | ||
• Next-gen aircraft | • | Wage increases |
• | Airport construction | |
• | Higher volume |
Key Drivers for Delta | |||
• | Catering transformation | • | Lower gauge benefit |
• | Depreciation | • | Product and service |
• | One Delta | • | Technology |
Fuel | ~ Flat | |
Price per gallon | ||
Non-
Operating
Profit
Sharing
Key Assumptions
- Approximately 2% fuel efficiency improvement
- Higher volume
- Pension favorability due to strong asset returns and cash contributions in 2019
- Increase in employee profit sharing on expectation of higher pre-tax income
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Consistently Delivering Solid Financial Results
1 | Industry-leading | Transformational decade has resulted in consistent financial |
performance | performance that leads the industry | |
2 | Exceeding | Exceeding initial 2019 financial targets including top-line growth, |
2019 objectives | margin expansion and strong cash generation | |
3 | Momentum | Earnings growth, sustained margins, strong free cash flow and |
continuing | reinvestment in the business drive continued momentum | |
70
Agenda
Financial highlights and outlook
Capital allocation
71
Balanced Cash Deployment Over the Last Decade
2010 to 2019 Cumulative Operating Cash Flow
$64 billion
Business Investment | Shareholder Returns | Balance Sheet | ||
Core capex, airport, strategic | Share repurchases, dividends | Debt reduction, pension funding | ||
~50% | ~20% | ~30% | ||
Note: All metrics calculated over 2010 to 2019E period. 2010 to 2019 cumulative operating cash flow excludes cash funding to pension; adjusted for special items; non-GAAP financial measures reconciled in Appendix
72
Balanced Capital Allocation Priorities
1 | Reinvest in | 2 | Maintain Investment | 3 | Return Cash |
the Business | Grade Balance Sheet | to Owners | |||
Renewing Delta's fleet with | Targeting adjusted debt to | Consistently returning cash to | |||
more efficient next-generation | EBITDAR range of 1.5x - | shareholders, targeting 70% | |||
aircraft, while investing in | 2.5x, supporting investment | of free cash flow returned to | |||
facilities and technology for | grade rating through the | owners annually | |||
future growth | economic cycle |
73
1 . R E I N V E S T I N T H E B U S I N E S S
Our Investments are Driving Strong Returns
ROIC and Invested Capital
~15%
~11% | ~$34B |
$17B |
- Approximately 400 basis points of ROIC improvement on a $17 billion increase in invested capital base since 2010
- Compounding benefits of reinvestment support long-term growth
2010 | 2019E | |||
Invested Capital | ROIC, after-tax | |||
Note: Adjusted for special items; non-GAAP financial measures reconciled in Appendix
74
1 . R E I N V E S T I N T H E B U S I N E S S
Reinvestment Consistent but Flexible
Core Capital Spending
$4.6B | ~$4.5B ~$4.5B | |||
• Core capex spend in 2020 similar to 2019 | ||||
$3.2B | $3.7B | ‒ Expecting ~80 aircraft deliveries | ||
‒ Cabin refurbishment and product upgrades | ||||
‒ Ground and facility investments | ||||
‒ Technology investments | ||||
2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019E | 2020E | |||
CapEx / | Aircraft | Technology | Ground/Other | ||||
8% | 9% | 11% | ~10% | ~9% | |||
Sales | |||||||
Note: Adjusted for special items; non-GAAP financial measures reconciled in Appendix
75
2 . M A I N T A I N I N V E S T M E N T G R A D E B A L A N C E S H E E T
Investment Grade Balance Sheet Provides Powerful Advantage
Adjusted Debt / EBITDAR
BBB- Baa3 BBB-
- Robust cash generation and strong balance sheet position Delta to:
- Consistently reinvest in the business
- Seize strategic opportunities
- Return cash to shareholders
- Manage through a business cycle
Long-Term
Target
1.5x - 2.5x
2010 | 2017 | 2019E |
Note: Excludes underfunded pension obligations and includes debt for existing lease obligations
76
3 . R E T U R N C A S H T O O W N E R S
Sustained Free Cash Flow Enables Consistent Shareholder Returns
Free Cash Flow
~$4B ~$4B
$3.2B
$2.4B
2017 | 2018 | 2019E | 2020E |
Free Cash Flow Allocation Targets
Dividends | Balance |
20% - 25% | |
Sheet | |
30% |
~$4B of
annual
FCF
Share
Buybacks 45% - 50%
Target 70% of FCF to
owners
Note: Adjusted for special items; non-GAAP financial measures reconciled in Appendix
77
3 . R E T U R N C A S H T O O W N E R S
Dividend Demonstrates Our Confidence
Dividend per Share
$1.61
$1.40
$1.22
$0.81
$0.54
Sep-15 | Sep-16 | Sep-17 | Sep-18 | Sep-19 | |
Dividend | $425M | $600M | $875M | $950M | $1B |
Run Rate | |||||
- Dividend targeted at 20% to 25% of Free Cash Flow
- Track record of annual increases with current yield of 2.9%
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Delta is a Compelling Long-Term Investment Opportunity
Powerful Brand | Unmatched | Strong Partner | Proven Track Record |
With Industry- | Competitive | Portfolio and | of Execution & |
Leading Returns | Advantages | Global Scale | Reinvestment |
79
I N V E S T M E N T T H E S I S
Delta is a Compelling Long-Term Investment Opportunity
Powerful Brand | Unmatched |
With Industry- | Competitive |
leading Returns | Advantages |
Record customer | Engaged and |
satisfaction | empowered people |
Durable revenue and | Unique loyalty and co- |
margin premium | brand program |
Consistent returns to | Extending our lead by |
owners since 2013 | investing for the future |
Strong Partner | Proven Track Record |
Portfolio and | of Execution & |
Global Scale | Reinvestment |
Global relevance with | Consistent operational | |
partner network | excellence | |
covering 98% of GDP | | Best-in-class products |
Expanding footprint | and service | |
and deepening | | Improving ROIC on a |
integration with JV | growing capital base |
partners | |
80
Non-GAAP Reconciliations
Non-GAAP Financial Measures
The following tables show reconciliations of non-GAAP financial measures. The reasons Delta uses these measures are described below. Reconciliations may not calculate due to rounding.
Delta sometimes uses information ("non-GAAP financial measures") that is derived from the Consolidated Financial Statements, but that is not presented in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the U.S. ("GAAP"). Under the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission rules, non-GAAP financial measures may be considered in addition to results prepared in accordance with GAAP, but should not be considered a substitute for or superior to GAAP results. The tables below show reconciliations of non-GAAP financial measures used in this presentation to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures.
Forward Looking Projections. While we are able to reconcile forward looking non-GAAP financial measures related to 2019, we do not reconcile future period measures (i.e., beyond 2019) because the adjusting items such as those used in the reconciliations below will not be known until the end of the period and could be significant.
81
Non-GAAP Reconciliations
Pre-Tax Income and Net Income, Adjusted
We adjust pre-tax income and net income for the following items to determine pre-tax income and net income, adjusted for the reasons described below. We include the income tax effect of adjustments when presenting net income, adjusted.
MTM adjustments and settlements. Mark-to-market ("MTM") adjustments are defined as fair value changes recorded in periods other than the settlement period. Such fair value changes are not necessarily indicative of the actual settlement value of the underlying hedge in the contract settlement period. Settlements represent cash received or paid on hedge contracts settled during the period.
Equity investment MTM adjustments. We record our proportionate share of earnings/loss from our equity investments in Virgin Atlantic and Aeroméxico in non-operating expense. We adjust for our equity method investees' hedge portfolio MTM adjustments to allow investors to better understand and analyze our core operational performance in the periods shown.
Unrealized gain/loss on investments. We record the unrealized gains/losses on our equity investments in GOL, China Eastern, Air France-KLM and Korean Air, which are accounted for at fair value in non-operating expense. Adjusting for these gains/losses allows investors to better understand and analyze our core operational performance in the periods shown.
Restructuring and other and Loss on extinguishment of debt. Because of the variability from period to period, the adjustments for these items are helpful to investors to analyze the company's core operational performance in the periods shown.
(Projected) | |||||||
Year Ended | |||||||
December 31, 2019 | |||||||
Pre-Tax | Income | Net | |||||
(in billions) | Income | Tax | Income | ||||
GAAP | $ | 6.1 | $ | 1.4 | $ | 4.7 | |
Adjusted for: | |||||||
Unrealized gain/loss on investments | (0.1) | - | (0.1) | ||||
Non-GAAP | $ | 6.0 | $ | 1.4 | $ | 4.6 | |
Free cash flow to net income conversion | ~ 80% - 90% | ||||||
Year Ended | Year Ended | ||||||
December 31, 2017 | December 31, 2010 | ||||||
Pre-Tax | Pre-Tax | ||||||
(in billions) | Income | Income | |||||
GAAP | $ | 5.5 | $ | 0.6 | |||
Adjusted for: | |||||||
MTM adjustments and settlements | (0.3) | - | |||||
Equity investment MTM adjustments | 0.1 | - | |||||
Restructuring and other | - | 0.5 | |||||
Loss on extinguishment of debt | - | 0.4 | |||||
Total adjustments | (0.2) | 0.9 | |||||
Non-GAAP | $ | 5.3 | $ | 1.5 |
(Projected) | |
Year Ended | |
December 31, 2019 | |
Net Income | |
Per Diluted Share | |
$ | ~ $6.90 - $7.40 |
~ (0.15) | |
$ | ~ $6.75 - $7.25 |
82
Non-GAAP Reconciliations
Operating Revenue, Adjusted
We adjust operating revenue for refinery sales to third parties to determine operating revenue, adjusted because refinery sales to third parties are not related to our airline segment. Operating revenue, adjusted therefore provide a more meaningful comparison of revenue from our airline operations to the rest of the airline industry. Because we sold DAL Global Services, LLC ("DGS") in December 2018, we have excluded the impact of DGS from 2018 results for comparability. We do not present reconciliations for the years ended December 31, 2017 and December 31, 2016 as the adjusted operating revenue in these years is the same as the GAAP operating revenue.
(Projected) | |||||||
Year Ended | Year Ended | ||||||
(in millions) | December 31, 2019 | December 31, 2018 | Change | ||||
Operating revenue | $ | ~46,850 | $ | 44,438 | |||
Third-party refinery sales | ~(150) | (548) | |||||
DGS sale adjustment | - | (244) | |||||
Operating revenue, adjusted | $ | ~46,700 | $ | 43,645 | ~7% |
83
Non-GAAP Reconciliations
Free Cash Flow
We present free cash flow because management believes this metric is helpful to investors to evaluate the company's ability to generate cash that is available for use for debt service or general corporate initiatives. Adjustments include:
Net purchases (redemptions) of short-terminvestments. Net redemptions of short-term investments represent the net purchase and sale activity of investments and marketable securities in the period, including gains and losses. We adjust for this activity to provide investors a better understanding of the company's free cash flow generated by our operations.
Net cash flows related to certain airport construction projects and other. Cash flows related to certain airport construction projects are included in our GAAP operating activities and capital expenditures. We have adjusted for these items, which were primarily funded by cash restricted for airport construction, to provide investors a better understanding of the company's free cash flow and capital expenditures that are core to our operational performance in the periods shown.
Hedge deferrals. During the March 2016 quarter, we deferred settlement of a portion of our hedge portfolio until 2017 by entering into transactions that, excluding market movements from the date of inception, would provide approximately $300 million in cash receipts during the second half of 2016 and require approximately $300 million in cash payments in 2017. Free cash flow is adjusted to include the impact of these deferral transactions in order to allow investors to understand the net impact of hedging activities in the period shown.
2017 pension plan contribution. In 2017, we contributed $2 billion to our pension plans using net proceeds from our debt issuance. We adjusted free cash flow to exclude this contribution to allow investors to understand the cash flows related to our core operations in the periods shown.
Strategic Investments. Cash flows related to our investment in Grupo Aeroméxico and Air France-KLM, are included in our GAAP investing activities. We adjust free cash flow for this activity because it provides a more meaningful comparison to the airline industry.
(Projected) | ||||||
Year Ended | Year Ended | Year Ended | ||||
(in billions) | December 31, 2019 | December 31, 2018 | December 31, 2017 | |||
Net cash provided by operating activities | $ | ~9 | $ | 7.0 | $ | 5.0 |
Net cash used in investing activities | ~(5) | (4.4) | (5.3) | |||
Adjustments: | ||||||
Net purchases (redemptions) of short-term investments | - | (0.6) | 0.4 | |||
Net cash flows related to certain airport construction projects and other | - | 0.4 | 0.1 | |||
Hedge deferrals | - | - | (0.2) | |||
2017 pension plan contribution | - | - | 2.0 | |||
Strategic investments | - | - | 1.2 | |||
Total free cash flow | $ | ~ 4 | $ | 2.4 | $ | 3.2 |
84
Non-GAAP Reconciliations
Capital Expenditures, Net
We present core capital spending which includes proceeds for sales of E190 aircraft because management believes investors should be informed that these proceeds effectively offset the cash paid for these aircraft earlier in the year. Management believes investors should be informed that reimbursements for build-to-suit leased facilities effectively reduce net cash provided by operating activities.
(Projected) | |||||||||||
Year Ended | Year Ended | Year Ended | Year Ended | ||||||||
(in billions) | December 31, 2019 | December 31, 2018 | December 31, 2017 | December 31, 2016 | |||||||
Flight equipment, including advance payments | $ | ~3.4 | $ | 3.7 | $ | 2.7 | $ | 2.6 | |||
Ground property and equipment, including technology | ~1.7 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.8 | |||||||
Net cash flows related to certain airport construction projects | ~(0.6) | (0.5) | (0.2) | - | |||||||
Proceeds from sale of E190 aircraft | - | - | - | (0.2) | |||||||
Capital expenditures, net | $ | ~4.5 | $ | 4.6 | $ | 3.7 | $ | 3.2 | |||
Operating revenue | $ | ~47 | $ | 44 | $ | 41 | $ | 39 | |||
Capital expenditures, net to operating revenue | ~10% | 11% | 9% | 8% |
85
Non-GAAP Reconciliations
Operating Cash Flow, Adjusted
We present operating cash flow, adjusted because management believes adjusting for the following items provides a more meaningful measure for investors. We do not present reconciliations for the years ended December 31, 2019 (Projected) and December 31, 2010 as the adjusted net cash provided by operating activities in these years is the same as the GAAP net cash provided by operating activities. Adjustments include:
Reimbursements from third parties related to build-to-suitfacilities and other. Management believes investors should be informed that these reimbursements for build-to-suit leased facilities effectively reduce net cash provided by operating activities and related capital expenditures.
2017 pension plan contribution. In 2017, we contributed $2 billion to our pension plans using net proceeds from our debt issuance. We adjusted operating cash flow to exclude this contribution to allow investors to understand the cash flows related to our core operations in the periods shown.
Pension plan cash contributions. Operating cash flow is adjusted for our cash contributions to the pension plan as we believe this adjustment allows investors to better understand the cash flows related to our core operations in the periods shown. This adjustment includes the 2017 pension plan contribution of $2 billion.
Year Ended | ||
(in billions) | December 31, 2017 | |
Net cash provided by operating activities | $ | 5.0 |
Adjustments: | ||
Reimbursements from third parties related to build-to-suit facilities and other | (0.2) | |
2017 pension plan contribution | 2.0 | |
Net cash provided by operating activities, adjusted | $ | 6.8 |
(Projected) | ||
Years Ended | ||
December 31, 2010 to | ||
(in billions) | December 31, 2019 | |
Net cash provided by operating activities | $ | 54 |
Adjustments: | ||
Pension plan cash contributions | 10 | |
Net cash provided by operating activities, adjusted, excluding pension plan cash contributions | $ | 64 |
86
Non-GAAP Reconciliations
After-Tax Return on Invested Capital
We present after-tax return on invested capital as management believes this metric is helpful to investors in assessing the company's ability to generate returns using its invested capital as a measure against the industry. Return on invested capital is tax-effected adjusted total pre-tax income divided by average adjusted invested capital. Average adjusted invested capital represents the sum of the adjusted book value of equity at the end of the last five quarters, adjusted for pension and fuel hedge impacts within other comprehensive income. Average adjusted gross debt is calculated using amounts as of the end of the last five quarters. All adjustments to calculate ROIC are intended to provide a more meaningful comparison of our results to the airline industry.
(Projected) | ||
Last Twelve Months Ended | ||
(in billions) | December 31, 2019 | |
Pre-tax income | $ | ~6 |
Adjusted for: | ||
Restructuring and other | - | |
Interest expense, net and interest expense included in aircraft rent | ~1 | |
Pre-tax adjusted income | $ | ~7 |
Tax effect | ~(2) | |
Tax-effected adjusted total pre-tax income | $ | ~5 |
Adjusted book value of equity | $ | ~22 |
Average adjusted gross debt | ~12 | |
Averaged adjusted invested capital | $ | ~34 |
After-tax return (Tax-effected adjusted total pre-tax income) | ~15% | |
Change year-over-year | ~400 bps | |
Change year-over-year in invested capital | $ | ~17 |
Last Twelve Months Ended
December 31, 2010
$ | 1 |
1 | |
1 | |
$ | 3 |
(1) | |
$ | 2 |
$ | 9 |
16 | |
$ | 17 |
~11% |
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Delta Air Lines Inc. published this content on 12 December 2019 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 12 December 2019 12:45:05 UTC