Financials China Modern Dairy Holdings Ltd.

Equities

1117

KYG215791008

Fishing & Farming

Market Closed - Hong Kong S.E. 04:08:27 2024-07-12 am EDT 5-day change 1st Jan Change
0.68 HKD 0.00% Intraday chart for China Modern Dairy Holdings Ltd. -4.23% -8.11%

Valuation

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 6,585 10,111 8,449 6,921 5,324 4,998 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 12,511 14,799 15,624 17,266 17,048 14,693 13,881 13,225
P/E ratio 18.6 x 13 x 7.42 x 12.3 x 30.4 x 10.8 x 6.69 x 6.51 x
Yield - 1.28% 2.44% 1.62% 0.67% 2.09% 4.11% 7.19%
Capitalization / Revenue 1.19 x 1.68 x 1.19 x 0.56 x 0.4 x 0.34 x 0.31 x 0.29 x
EV / Revenue 2.27 x 2.46 x 2.21 x 1.4 x 1.27 x 1 x 0.86 x 0.76 x
EV / EBITDA 6.39 x 6.87 x 6.89 x 6.3 x 6.83 x 4.83 x 4.3 x 3.77 x
EV / FCF 25.5 x 32.6 x -126 x -6.96 x 14.6 x 22.8 x 11.1 x 8.29 x
FCF Yield 3.92% 3.07% -0.79% -14.4% 6.85% 4.39% 8.98% 12.1%
Price to Book 0.93 x 1.28 x 0.78 x 0.61 x 0.45 x 0.43 x 0.42 x 0.39 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 6,407,635 6,458,566 7,915,662 7,915,662 7,915,662 7,915,662 - -
Reference price 2 1.028 1.565 1.067 0.8743 0.6726 0.6314 0.6314 0.6314
Announcement Date 3/23/20 3/23/21 3/29/22 3/28/23 3/25/24 - - -
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 5,514 6,020 7,078 12,295 13,458 14,753 16,184 17,337
EBITDA 1 1,958 2,153 2,268 2,740 2,496 3,039 3,228 3,504
EBIT 1 1,650 1,890 1,987 974.6 1,898 2,667 2,892 3,248
Operating Margin 29.92% 31.4% 28.07% 7.93% 14.1% 18.07% 17.87% 18.74%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 350.4 784.4 1,233 595 229 724 1,091 879.4
Net income 1 341.3 770 1,019 562.5 175.2 650.2 997.3 760.1
Net margin 6.19% 12.79% 14.39% 4.57% 1.3% 4.41% 6.16% 4.38%
EPS 2 0.0552 0.1204 0.1439 0.0713 0.0221 0.0584 0.0944 0.0970
Free Cash Flow 1 490.1 454.3 -123.9 -2,482 1,168 644.9 1,247 1,595
FCF margin 8.89% 7.55% -1.75% -20.19% 8.68% 4.37% 7.7% 9.2%
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) 25.02% 21.11% - - 46.81% 21.22% 38.63% 45.53%
FCF Conversion (Net income) 143.61% 59% - - 667.11% 99.18% 125.03% 209.87%
Dividend per Share 2 - 0.0200 0.0260 0.0142 0.004500 0.0132 0.0260 0.0454
Announcement Date 3/23/20 3/23/21 3/29/22 3/28/23 3/25/24 - - -
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: December 2019 S2 2020 S1 2021 S1 2022 S1 2023 S1 2023 S2
Net sales 1 2,944 2,828 3,180 - - 6,825
EBITDA - - - - - -
EBIT - - - - - -
Operating Margin - - - - - -
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 - - - - - -4.31
Net income 1 - 220.7 496.7 507.7 209.3 -34.13
Net margin - 7.81% 15.62% - - -0.5%
EPS 2 0.0347 - - 0.0645 0.0265 -0.004400
Dividend per Share - - - - - -
Announcement Date 3/23/20 8/24/20 8/23/21 8/23/22 8/29/23 3/25/24
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 5,926 4,689 7,175 10,345 11,724 9,695 8,883 8,227
Net Cash position 1 - - - - - - - -
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.026 x 2.178 x 3.163 x 3.776 x 4.697 x 3.19 x 2.752 x 2.348 x
Free Cash Flow 1 490 454 -124 -2,482 1,168 645 1,247 1,595
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) 5.05% 10.3% 10.9% 5.08% 1.56% 5.2% 6.63% 6.56%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) 2.16% 4.92% 5.19% 2.14% 0.58% 1.5% 2.33% 2.25%
Assets 1 15,835 15,651 19,621 26,248 30,106 43,347 42,802 33,856
Book Value Per Share 2 1.110 1.220 1.370 1.430 1.500 1.450 1.510 1.600
Cash Flow per Share 2 0.3300 0.3000 0.2600 0.2000 0.6900 0.3800 0.4500 0.4500
Capex 1 1,559 1,484 1,993 4,059 4,280 2,537 2,607 2,471
Capex / Sales 28.27% 24.65% 28.15% 33.01% 31.81% 17.19% 16.11% 14.25%
Announcement Date 3/23/20 3/23/21 3/29/22 3/28/23 3/25/24 - - -
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
B
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
5
Last Close Price
0.6314 CNY
Average target price
0.7852 CNY
Spread / Average Target
+24.35%
Consensus
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