A new globally significant critical minerals province in Western Australia
Corporate Presentation
JULY 2024
A S X : C H N
Why Chalice? Our 100% owned Gonneville Project is the largest palladium-nickel-copperdevelopment project in the western world
Tier 1 scale Resource in Western Australia
- 100% ownership of one of the largest undeveloped PGE-Ni-Cu-
Co (critical minerals) resource in the western world
- 17Moz of Pd-Pt-Au(3E), 960kt Ni, 540kt Cu, 96kt Co contained in Resource, starting at surface1
- Pre-FeasibilityStudy and regulatory approvals underway
- Exploration upside - 9,600km2 largely unexplored licence holding
Strategic MOU with
• Non-binding framework for collaboration during the PFS
- Intention to formalise a potential binding partnership post completion of the PFS (mid CY25)
Compelling value and leverage
- High leverage to Pd, Ni price recovery from cyclical lows
- Predicted to become the lowest cost PGE mine in the western world (after Ni-Cu-Co credits) - a unique and competitive asset
Strong financial position
• ~A$107M in cash and listed investments and no debt2 - no need
to raise capital in foreseeable future
- 660Mt @ 0.79g/t Pd+Pt+Au (3E), 0.15% Ni, 0.083% Cu, 0.015% Co (refer to the Mineral Resources Estimate contained in Appendix for tonnes and grade by confidence category)
- Includes ~$2.7M in listed Investments at 31 March 2024
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Chalice is an ASX300 listed specialist explorer-developer - we create value through project generation, discovery and de-risking
Capital structure
Shares on issue | 389M |
Market capitalisation | A$568M1 |
Trading liquidity | ~5M shares/day |
Cash balance | A$104M2 |
Listed investments | A$2.7M2 |
Enterprise value | A$464M |
Major shareholders4
Tim Goyder (founder) | 11% |
Goldman Sachs | 5% |
Board & Management | 2% |
Other institutional | ~32% |
ASX:CHN 3mth performance
A$/share | Volume | Share price | Millions | |||||||||||||||||||||||
2.00 | 18 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
1.80 | 16 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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1.40 | 12 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
1.20 | 10 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
1.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.80 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.60 | 6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.40 | 4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.00 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
25-Mar-2405-Apr-2416-Apr-24 | 26-Apr-2407-May-24 | 16-May-2427-May-2405-Jun-24 | 21-Jun-24 |
Research coverage
Top 10 shareholders representing >40% of the register materially unchanged in the last 12 months
1. As of 27 June 2024; 2. As of 31 March 2024. 4. As of 31 May 2024. Substantial shareholder information is as disclosed in the last substantial shareholder notice provided to the Company. Note: Arctis Global | ASX:CHN | 3 |
disclosed a long equity derivative position of 46,728,282 shares on 10 Nov 2022. | ||
Why palladium? Strong future demand for palladium driven by hybrid EV sales outgrowing battery EV sales
- Key driver of palladium demand is sales of plug-in
hybrid electric (PHEV) and ICE vehicles | Battery Electric (BEV) v Plug-in Hybrid (PHEV) vehicle sales |
growth in China, US and Europe, rebased to May-23 |
- ~85% of demand from catalytic converters
- ~10% of demand from hydrogenation
- Major car manufacturers, such as Toyota, Ford and Hyundai, are scaling up PHEV production to meet growing demand
- Quantity of palladium required per vehicle trending higher due to preference for hybrid powertrain, petrol over diesel and tightening emissions standards
180 | BEV | PHEV | ||
160 | ||||
140
120
100
80
60
~60% higher growth
Similar trends are becoming clear globally, but palladium spot price and consensus forecast yet to shift
Source: China Passenger Car Association (CPCA), company data, Motor Intelligence
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Why palladium? Supply is concentrated in Russia and South Africa - supply risks are high, disruptions are common and recycling is subdued
- Palladium production is dominated by ageing, deep, under-invested mines in Russia and South Africa
- Western mines are rapidly becoming uneconomic and are being shut, making supply concentration worse
- Weak prices and lack of investment resulting in recycling volumes trending down rapidly
Global Palladium Supply Market Share (2023)
41% | ||||
36% | ||||
13% | ||||
6% | 3% | |||
Russia | South Africa | North | Zimbabwe | Rest of world |
America |
LBMA Palladium price (US$/oz)
3,500 | Norilsk | Ukraine | |
COVID-19 | flooding | invasion | |
3,000 | |||
'Diesel-gate' | |||
2,500 | pivot to | ||
petrol & Pd | Auto destocking / | ||
2,000 | Russia dumping? |
1,500
1,000
500
0 Jul-18Jan-19Jul-19Jan-20Jul-20Jan-21Jul-21Jan-22Jul-22Jan-23Jul-23Jan-24
Gonneville is the only palladium project in the western world with scale
Source: AME Research, LBMA = London Bullion Market Association
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PGE prices are deep into the cost curve and unsustainable - given strength of demand, pricing could revert to incentive levels in near term
PGE industry all-in sustaining cost curve (cash costs plus sustaining CapEx), net of by-product credits, US$/oz 4E 2023A)1
2,500
2,000
Quartile 1 | Quartile 2 | Quartile 3 | Quartile 4 |
AISC (US$/oz 4E)
1,500
1,000
500
0
Current PGE 4E basket price (approx.)
840
15Mtpa Case: ~280kozpa 4E @ US$470/oz2
Loss making operations
Predominantly South African / Zimbabwean mines -
unit costs up 8-20% in 2023 relative to 2022
-500
-1,000
Nornickel (Russia)
1,000 | 2,000 | 3,000 | 4,000 | 5,000 | 6,000 | 7,000 | 8,000 | 9,000 | 10,000 | 11,000 | 12,000 |
Cumulative 4E production (koz)
Net total cash costs (US$/oz 4E) Sustaining CapEx (US$/oz 4E)
Source: April 2024 SFA (Oxford) figures used for 2023 realised 4E cost curve data. Note: 1. 4E cost curve positioning assumes SFA Oxford 2023 actual by-product commodity prices of: Copper prices of: US$8,486/t, Nickel US$21,505/t, Iridium US$4,682/oz, Ruthenium US$464/oz, Chrome 42% CIF US$312/t. Chalice internal Cobalt prices of US$40,000/t have been assumed given not disclosed in SFA data. ZAR:USD exchange rate of 18.47 assumed. 2. AISC adjusted to reflect SFA Oxford 2023 actual by-product commodity prices (vs US$360/oz on August 2023 Scoping Study prices)
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Gonneville Project
Project update and priorities
Gonneville PGE-Ni-Cu-Co Project Overview
A new long-life,low-cost,low-carboncritical minerals project in Western Australia
Strategic MOU in July 2024 with Mitsubishi Corporation
Tier 1 development partner, intention to formalise a potential binding partnership post PFS (mid CY25)1
Tier 1 scale sulphide Resource | Unique critical minerals asset |
17Moz of Pd-Pt-Au (3E), 960kt Ni, | Revenue split of ~50% Pd, ~25% Ni, |
540kt Cu, 96kt Co contained2 | ~15% Cu, ~10% Au/Pt/Co3 |
Competitive PGE cost profile | Low-risk development location |
Predicted to become lowest cost | Mine infrastructure on ~22km2 of |
PGE producer in western world (2nd | CHN-owned farmland |
Quartile) | |
Shallow open-pit mining | Sulphide mineralogy |
Resource starts at surface, high- | Ability to produce separate Cu-PGE, |
grade feed in early years | Ni-Co-PGE concentrates and leach |
Pd from flotation tails |
- Non-bindingMOU executed on 3 July 2024 - refer to ASX Announcement for full details
- For tonnes and grade by confidence category and metal equivalent assumptions, refer to the Mineral Resources Statement in Appendix.
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3. Based on the August 2023 Scoping Study 15Mtpa case adjusted for current consensus metal prices
Gonneville has significant development optionality and the priority of the ongoing PFS is to improve recoveries and finalise the starter flowsheet
Indicative study, approvals and development flowchart
~18 months | |
Pre-Feasibility Study (commenced Q4 CY23) | |
Phase 1: | Phase 2: |
Case/option assessment | Preferred Case Selection |
(starter plus expansions) | (scope and cost) |
~12 months | |
Feasibility Study | |
Final | |
Preferred Case detailed engineering, costing and | Investment |
Decision - | |
scope refinement | |
target late | |
CY26 |
Flotation and leaching testwork / | Hydrometallurgical testwork (future |
starter flowsheet design | expansions) |
Process design, | |
costing | |
Open-pit / | Mining optimisations |
underground scoping | / design, costing |
Infrastructure & other project scopes, cost estimates
Strategic collaboration and negotiations with Mitsubishi
Process engineering, scope
and cost refinement
Final mine designs
Procurement, execution readiness
Project financing and offtake
Permitting and Approvals
Today
Timeline is indicative and subject to the results of various workstreams
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The rare, tier-1 scale Gonneville Resource has high-grade optionality and compelling growth potential
High Grade Mineral Resource Estimate1:
- 59Mt @ 2.0g/t 3E (Pd+Pt+Au), 0.20% Ni, 0.21% Cu, 0.019% Co
- 3.8Moz 3E, 120kt Ni, 120kt Cu and 11kt Co contained
- Starts at surface, open at depth
Mineral Resource Estimate1:
- 660Mt @ 0.79g/t 3E (Pd+Pt+Au), 0.15% Ni, 0.08% Cu, 0.015% Co
- 17Moz 3E, 960kt Ni, 540kt Cu and 96kt Co contained
Gonneville is highly leveraged to commodity prices and metallurgical recoveries
Project scale expected to increase over time
according to prevailing macro-economic
conditions:
- As prices increase, cut-off grade can be reduced, more tonnes economic to process
Gonneville NSR Grade-Tonnage table2
NSR Cut-off | NSR Cut-off in | Total Mass | Grade | ||||||
in-pit | MSO | ||||||||
A$/t | A$/t | (Mt) | 3E (g/t) | Pd (g/t) | Pt (g/t) | Au (g/t) | Ni (%) | Cu (%) | Co (%) |
15 | 110 | 690 | 0.75 | 0.59 | 0.14 | 0.02 | 0.15 | 0.082 | 0.015 |
25 | 110 | 640 | 0.78 | 0.62 | 0.14 | 0.02 | 0.15 | 0.085 | 0.015 |
35 | 110 | 530 | 0.85 | 0.67 | 0.15 | 0.03 | 0.16 | 0.092 | 0.015 |
45 | 110 | 390 | 0.97 | 0.76 | 0.17 | 0.03 | 0.16 | 0.11 | 0.016 |
55 | 110 | 270 | 1.1 | 0.88 | 0.20 | 0.04 | 0.17 | 0.12 | 0.017 |
65 | 110 | 180 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.23 | 0.05 | 0.18 | 0.14 | 0.017 |
75 | 110 | 130 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.27 | 0.06 | 0.19 | 0.16 | 0.018 |
85 | 110 | 95 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.30 | 0.06 | 0.19 | 0.18 | 0.018 |
95 | 110 | 73 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.34 | 0.07 | 0.20 | 0.19 | 0.019 |
105 | 110 | 58 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 0.37 | 0.08 | 0.20 | 0.21 | 0.019 |
115 | 110 | 47 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 0.40 | 0.09 | 0.21 | 0.22 | 0.019 |
125 | 110 | 40 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 0.42 | 0.10 | 0.21 | 0.23 | 0.019 |
135 | 110 | 34 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 0.45 | 0.10 | 0.21 | 0.24 | 0.019 |
145 | 110 | 30 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 0.47 | 0.11 | 0.22 | 0.25 | 0.019 |
155 | 110 | 27 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 0.48 | 0.11 | 0.22 | 0.26 | 0.019 |
- For tonnes and grade by confidence category and NSR assumptions, refer to the Mineral Resource Estimate table in Appendix
- For complete NSR assumptions refer to ASX Announcement "Gonneville Resource remodeled to support selective mining", dated 23 April 2024
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Disclaimer
Chalice Mining Ltd. published this content on 03 July 2024 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 03 July 2024 08:48:05 UTC.