ARCADIUM LITHIUM PLC |
Market Closed -
Other stock markets
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 3.22 USD | -1.23% |
|
+0.94% | -56.91% |
| Jun. 28 | Lithium producers bullish on long-term demand despite recent price drop | RE |
| Jun. 26 | RBC Initiates Arcadium Lithium at Outperform With $4 Price Target | MT |
Valuation
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capitalization 1 | 1,248 | 2,756 | 3,939 | 3,564 | 3,235 | 3,505 | - | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 1,386 | 2,981 | 4,067 | 3,617 | 3,299 | 3,897 | 4,333 | 4,521 |
| P/E ratio | 25.1 x | -145 x | 7,396 x | 14.6 x | 4.73 x | 13.6 x | 7.24 x | 4.08 x |
| Yield | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 3.21 x | 9.56 x | 9.37 x | 4.38 x | 3.67 x | 2.9 x | 2.13 x | 1.52 x |
| EV / Revenue | 3.57 x | 10.3 x | 9.67 x | 4.45 x | 3.74 x | 3.22 x | 2.64 x | 1.96 x |
| EV / EBITDA | 13.9 x | 134 x | 58.5 x | 9.86 x | 6.57 x | 7.87 x | 5.52 x | 3.66 x |
| EV / FCF | -11 x | -25.3 x | -38.5 x | 30.7 x | -111 x | -13.2 x | -19 x | -328 x |
| FCF Yield | -9.11% | -3.95% | -2.59% | 3.26% | -0.9% | -7.55% | -5.25% | -0.3% |
| Price to Book | 2.29 x | 4.87 x | 5.48 x | 2.78 x | 0.68 x | 0.53 x | 0.52 x | 0.52 x |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 351,230 | 352,004 | 388,749 | 431,573 | 432,889 | 1,075,211 | - | - |
| Reference price 2 | 3.554 | 7.830 | 10.13 | 8.259 | 7.473 | 3.260 | 3.260 | 3.260 |
| Announcement Date | 2/20/20 | 2/18/21 | 2/17/22 | 2/14/23 | 2/22/24 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 388.4 | 288.2 | 420.4 | 813.2 | 882.5 | 1,210 | 1,642 | 2,301 |
| EBITDA 1 | 99.8 | 22.3 | 69.5 | 366.7 | 502.5 | 494.9 | 784.7 | 1,236 |
| EBIT 1 | 78.9 | -2.7 | 44.4 | 339 | 472.9 | 340.8 | 627.9 | 984.5 |
| Operating Margin | 20.31% | -0.94% | 10.56% | 41.69% | 53.59% | 28.18% | 38.24% | 42.78% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 57.8 | -25.4 | 23.9 | 335.4 | 389 | 426.3 | 632.3 | 888.9 |
| Net income 1 | 50.2 | -18.9 | 0.6 | 273.5 | 330.1 | 268 | 515.8 | 795.1 |
| Net margin | 12.92% | -6.56% | 0.14% | 33.63% | 37.41% | 22.16% | 31.41% | 34.55% |
| EPS 2 | 0.1413 | -0.0540 | 0.001370 | 0.5652 | 1.580 | 0.2396 | 0.4500 | 0.7988 |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | -126.2 | -117.7 | -105.5 | 117.8 | -29.8 | -294.3 | -227.5 | -13.77 |
| FCF margin | -32.49% | -40.84% | -25.1% | 14.49% | -3.38% | -24.33% | -13.86% | -0.6% |
| FCF Conversion (EBITDA) | - | - | - | 32.12% | - | - | - | - |
| FCF Conversion (Net income) | - | - | - | 43.07% | - | - | - | - |
| Dividend per Share 2 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 2/20/20 | 2/18/21 | 2/17/22 | 2/14/23 | 2/22/24 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 Q4 | 2022 Q1 | 2022 Q2 | 2022 Q3 | 2022 Q4 | 2023 Q1 | 2023 Q2 | 2023 Q3 | 2023 Q4 | 2024 Q1 | 2024 Q2 | 2024 Q3 | 2024 Q4 | 2024 S2 | 2025 Q1 | 2025 Q2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 122.9 | 143.5 | 218.7 | 231.6 | 219.4 | 253.5 | 235.8 | 211.4 | 181.8 | 261.2 | 258.5 | 285.2 | 309.1 | - | 328.8 | 376.8 |
| EBITDA 1 | 27.5 | 53.3 | 95 | 110.8 | 107.6 | 157.4 | 134.5 | 119.7 | 90.9 | 108.8 | 104.6 | 125.5 | 143.4 | - | 162.5 | 175.6 |
| EBIT 1 | 21.1 | 46.9 | 88.6 | 104.2 | 99.3 | 150.6 | 127.5 | 112 | 82.8 | 91.6 | 82.06 | 92.55 | 106.2 | - | 114.7 | 131.2 |
| Operating Margin | 17.17% | 32.68% | 40.51% | 44.99% | 45.26% | 59.41% | 54.07% | 52.98% | 45.54% | 35.07% | 31.75% | 32.45% | 34.35% | - | 34.88% | 34.83% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 17 | 57.9 | 90.2 | 99.1 | 88.2 | 138.7 | 104.8 | 96.7 | 48.8 | 73.7 | 85.37 | 100.6 | 125.1 | 182 | 135 | 160 |
| Net income 1 | 7.5 | 53.2 | 60 | 77.6 | 82.7 | 114.8 | 90.2 | 87.4 | 37.7 | 15.6 | 64.92 | 78.72 | 97.6 | - | 93.05 | 107.8 |
| Net margin | 6.1% | 37.07% | 27.43% | 33.51% | 37.69% | 45.29% | 38.25% | 41.34% | 20.74% | 5.97% | 25.12% | 27.61% | 31.57% | - | 28.3% | 28.6% |
| EPS 2 | 0.0166 | 0.1164 | 0.1288 | 0.1538 | 0.1621 | 0.2286 | 0.1787 | 0.1746 | 0.1800 | 0.0100 | 0.0532 | 0.0657 | 0.0817 | - | 0.0750 | 0.0850 |
| Dividend per Share 2 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 2/17/22 | 5/3/22 | 8/2/22 | 11/1/22 | 2/14/23 | 5/2/23 | 8/3/23 | 10/31/23 | 2/22/24 | 5/7/24 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Balance Sheet Analysis
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 138 | 225 | 127 | 52.9 | 64.4 | 391 | 828 | 1,016 |
| Net Cash position 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 1.381 x | 10.09 x | 1.833 x | 0.1443 x | 0.1282 x | 0.7909 x | 1.055 x | 0.8217 x |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | -126 | -118 | -106 | 118 | -29.8 | -294 | -228 | -13.8 |
| ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) | 9.71% | -2.65% | 4.87% | 24.4% | 17.7% | 3.56% | 6.76% | 9.31% |
| ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) | 6.62% | -2.1% | 0.06% | 16.7% | 12.4% | 3.24% | 5.43% | 7.17% |
| Assets 1 | 757.9 | 898.2 | 1,070 | 1,638 | 2,652 | 8,273 | 9,500 | 11,083 |
| Book Value Per Share 2 | 1.550 | 1.610 | 1.850 | 2.970 | 10.90 | 6.150 | 6.320 | 6.300 |
| Cash Flow per Share 2 | 0.1600 | 0.0200 | 0.0600 | 0.9400 | 1.420 | 0.2400 | 0.4400 | 0.5700 |
| Capex 1 | 189 | 124 | 132 | 337 | 327 | 618 | 675 | 587 |
| Capex / Sales | 48.66% | 43.03% | 31.37% | 41.43% | 37.07% | 51.1% | 41.13% | 25.5% |
| Announcement Date | 2/20/20 | 2/18/21 | 2/17/22 | 2/14/23 | 2/22/24 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
EPS & Dividend
Year-on-year evolution of the PER
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
B+
Sell
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
23
Last Close Price
3.26
USD
Average target price
7.405
USD
Spread / Average Target
+127.13%
EPS Revisions
| 1st Jan change | Capi. | |
|---|---|---|
| -56.91% | 3.51B | |
| +18.81% | 67.25B | |
| +22.90% | 43.91B | |
| +33.34% | 27.95B | |
| +9.18% | 19.13B | |
| +15.16% | 17.16B | |
| -27.02% | 15.05B | |
| -14.48% | 14.38B | |
| -32.66% | 11.53B | |
| -32.82% | 11.45B |
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