Stock ALSEA * ALSEA, S.A.B. DE C.V.
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Financials Alsea, S.A.B. de C.V.

Equities

ALSEA *

MXP001391012

Restaurants & Bars

End-of-day quote Mexican S.E.
Other stock markets
 06:00:00 2024-07-07 pm EDT 		5-day change 1st Jan Change
61.99 MXN +0.27% Intraday chart for Alsea, S.A.B. de C.V. -4.63% -3.38%
Jul. 04 Mexican Stocks Decline Thursday DJ
Jun. 21 Mexican Stocks Reverse Four-Session Winning Streak DJ

Valuation

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 41,786 21,711 31,824 30,225 51,952 50,523 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 61,723 71,083 80,423 73,896 89,992 92,119 85,840 81,812
P/E ratio 44.9 x -6.67 x 38 x 18.7 x 18.2 x 16.7 x 13.1 x 9.74 x
Yield - - - - - 1.65% 1.92% 2.02%
Capitalization / Revenue 0.72 x 0.56 x 0.6 x 0.44 x 0.68 x 0.62 x 0.56 x 0.51 x
EV / Revenue 1.06 x 1.85 x 1.51 x 1.07 x 1.18 x 1.13 x 0.95 x 0.82 x
EV / EBITDA 4.89 x 10.2 x 6.53 x 5.26 x 5.64 x 5.31 x 4.54 x 3.93 x
EV / FCF 21.9 x 135 x 8.91 x - 8.4 x 18.9 x 17.6 x 14 x
FCF Yield 4.57% 0.74% 11.2% - 11.9% 5.28% 5.68% 7.15%
Price to Book 3.78 x 2.66 x 4.16 x 3.97 x 6.21 x 5.38 x 3.97 x 3.2 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 838,579 838,579 838,579 820,000 809,718 815,014 - -
Reference price 2 49.83 25.89 37.95 36.86 64.16 61.99 61.99 61.99
Announcement Date 2/28/20 2/25/21 2/24/22 2/27/23 2/26/24 - - -
1MXN in Million2MXN
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 58,155 38,495 53,379 68,831 76,231 81,232 90,164 99,206
EBITDA 1 12,618 6,988 12,311 14,050 15,960 17,336 18,922 20,797
EBIT 1 4,571 -1,448 4,133 6,341 7,900 8,855 10,020 11,418
Operating Margin 7.86% -3.76% 7.74% 9.21% 10.36% 10.9% 11.11% 11.51%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 1,720 -5,025 999.4 2,528 4,403 4,669 6,336 7,845
Net income 1 926.7 -3,187 835.1 1,624 2,982 3,055 3,931 5,220
Net margin 1.59% -8.28% 1.56% 2.36% 3.91% 3.76% 4.36% 5.26%
EPS 2 1.110 -3.880 0.9981 1.976 3.530 3.710 4.731 6.367
Free Cash Flow 1 2,822 524.8 9,028 - 10,711 4,863 4,873 5,853
FCF margin 4.85% 1.36% 16.91% - 14.05% 5.99% 5.4% 5.9%
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) 22.37% 7.51% 73.33% - 67.11% 28.05% 25.75% 28.14%
FCF Conversion (Net income) 304.56% - 1,081.04% - 359.15% 159.21% 123.97% 112.14%
Dividend per Share 2 - - - - - 1.020 1.190 1.251
Announcement Date 2/28/20 2/25/21 2/24/22 2/27/23 2/26/24 - - -
1MXN in Million2MXN
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: December 2021 Q4 2022 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2023 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2024 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Q4 2025 Q1 2025 Q2
Net sales 1 16,732 15,228 16,939 17,518 19,146 17,666 18,949 19,470 20,147 18,203 19,985 21,062 22,683 20,274 22,209
EBITDA 1 4,274 3,458 3,627 3,478 3,487 3,684 3,839 3,931 4,506 3,735 4,099 4,371 4,865 3,990 4,403
EBIT 1 2,009 1,435 1,680 1,545 1,682 1,637 1,745 1,930 2,589 1,782 2,147 2,272 2,736 1,960 2,129
Operating Margin 12.01% 9.42% 9.92% 8.82% 8.78% 9.26% 9.21% 9.91% 12.85% 9.79% 10.74% 10.79% 12.06% 9.67% 9.59%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 1,162 720 342.2 469.6 990 953.9 747.2 931.1 1,816 607.9 1,076 1,370 1,858 1,149 1,294
Net income 1 835.2 525.4 211.4 316.8 578.7 588.2 443.8 494.6 1,404 404.1 689.8 879.2 1,182 758.3 854.1
Net margin 4.99% 3.45% 1.25% 1.81% 3.02% 3.33% 2.34% 2.54% 6.97% 2.22% 3.45% 4.17% 5.21% 3.74% 3.85%
EPS 2 0.9960 0.6300 0.2545 0.3859 0.7057 0.7000 0.5445 0.6090 1.734 0.5000 0.8463 1.079 1.450 0.9304 1.048
Dividend per Share 2 - - - - - - - - - - 1.189 - - 0.2967 0.2121
Announcement Date 2/24/22 4/27/22 7/28/22 10/27/22 2/27/23 4/27/23 7/26/23 10/24/23 2/26/24 4/23/24 - - - - -
1MXN in Million2MXN
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 19,936 49,372 48,599 43,671 38,040 41,596 35,318 31,289
Net Cash position 1 - - - - - - - -
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.58 x 7.066 x 3.948 x 3.108 x 2.383 x 2.399 x 1.867 x 1.505 x
Free Cash Flow 1 2,822 525 9,028 - 10,711 4,863 4,873 5,853
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) 8.76% -38.2% 12% 21.3% 28.1% 33% 35.4% 33.6%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) 1.42% -4.56% 1% 1.99% 3.81% 3.4% - -
Assets 1 65,378 69,857 83,205 81,721 78,178 89,844 - -
Book Value Per Share 2 13.20 9.750 9.130 9.290 10.30 11.50 15.60 19.40
Cash Flow per Share 2 7.890 2.800 14.00 14.20 19.00 8.960 11.40 -
Capex 1 3,766 1,774 2,684 - 4,740 7,511 5,973 5,886
Capex / Sales 6.48% 4.61% 5.03% - 6.22% 9.25% 6.62% 5.93%
Announcement Date 2/28/20 2/25/21 2/24/22 2/27/23 2/26/24 - - -
1MXN in Million2MXN
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Ratings for Alsea, S.A.B. de C.V.

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
B+
More Ratings

Analysts' Consensus

Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
14
Last Close Price
61.99 MXN
Average target price
84.14 MXN
Spread / Average Target
+35.74%
Consensus

EPS Revisions

Estimates Revisions

Quarterly earnings - Rate of surprise

Company calendar

Sector Quick Service Restaurants

1st Jan change Capi.
ALSEA, S.A.B. DE C.V. Stock Alsea, S.A.B. de C.V.
-3.38% 2.81B
CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL, INC. Stock Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.
+30.11% 81.73B
YUM! BRANDS, INC. Stock Yum! Brands, Inc.
-2.08% 36.03B
RESTAURANT BRANDS INTERNATIONAL LIMITED PARTNERSHIP Stock Restaurant Brands International Limited Partnership
-6.20% 22.52B
RESTAURANT BRANDS INTERNATIONAL INC. Stock Restaurant Brands International Inc.
-10.37% 22.16B
DOMINO'S PIZZA INC. Stock Domino's Pizza Inc.
+21.37% 17.43B
WINGSTOP INC. Stock Wingstop Inc.
+58.43% 11.94B
YUM CHINA HOLDINGS, INC. Stock Yum China Holdings, Inc.
-28.23% 11.77B
AMERICANA RESTAURANTS INTERNATIONAL PLC Stock Americana Restaurants International PLC
+0.64% 7.22B
MCDONALD'S HOLDINGS COMPANY (JAPAN), LTD. Stock McDonald's Holdings Company (Japan), Ltd.
-1.96% 4.98B
Quick Service Restaurants
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