Financials Shoprite Holdings Ltd

Equities

SHP

ZAE000012084

Food Retail & Distribution

End-of-day quote Johannesburg S.E. 06:00:00 2024-05-23 pm EDT 5-day change 1st Jan Change
265.1 ZAR +0.05% Intraday chart for Shoprite Holdings Ltd +1.37% -3.61%

Valuation

Fiscal Period: July 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 87,562 59,663 85,781 106,892 122,464 144,228 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 95,685 61,653 112,053 138,060 154,660 183,081 185,237 187,249
P/E ratio 20.6 x 17.8 x 18.3 x 18.9 x 20.9 x 21.1 x 18.8 x 16.4 x
Yield 2.02% 3.55% 3.5% 3.06% 2.94% 2.66% 2.98% 3.41%
Capitalization / Revenue 0.58 x 0.38 x 0.51 x 0.58 x 0.56 x 0.6 x 0.55 x 0.51 x
EV / Revenue 0.64 x 0.39 x 0.67 x 0.75 x 0.7 x 0.76 x 0.71 x 0.66 x
EV / EBITDA 10.1 x 4.82 x 7.42 x 8.31 x 8.23 x 8.91 x 8.21 x 7.52 x
EV / FCF -329 x 7.93 x 23.5 x 106 x 49.5 x 88.5 x 58.6 x 36.1 x
FCF Yield -0.3% 12.6% 4.25% 0.95% 2.02% 1.13% 1.71% 2.77%
Price to Book 3.35 x 3.1 x 4.02 x 4.17 x 4.69 x 4.96 x 4.42 x 3.96 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 554,329 552,643 551,432 545,117 542,839 544,011 - -
Reference price 2 158.0 108.0 155.6 196.1 225.6 265.1 265.1 265.1
Announcement Date 8/20/19 9/8/20 9/7/21 9/6/22 9/5/23 - - -
1ZAR in Million2ZAR
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: July 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 150,395 156,855 168,030 184,078 219,530 240,222 261,408 284,322
EBITDA 1 9,516 12,782 15,100 16,623 18,800 20,558 22,550 24,916
EBIT 1 6,876 7,751 9,664 11,030 11,916 13,301 14,758 16,615
Operating Margin 4.57% 4.94% 5.75% 5.99% 5.43% 5.54% 5.65% 5.84%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 6,339 5,246 6,957 8,286 9,132 10,370 11,523 13,067
Net income 1 4,260 3,356 4,698 5,701 5,886 6,887 7,666 8,785
Net margin 2.83% 2.14% 2.8% 3.1% 2.68% 2.87% 2.93% 3.09%
EPS 2 7.673 6.060 8.482 10.40 10.78 12.58 14.12 16.14
Free Cash Flow 1 -291 7,772 4,765 1,305 3,122 2,068 3,159 5,191
FCF margin -0.19% 4.95% 2.84% 0.71% 1.42% 0.86% 1.21% 1.83%
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) - 60.8% 31.56% 7.85% 16.61% 10.06% 14.01% 20.84%
FCF Conversion (Net income) - 231.59% 101.43% 22.89% 53.04% 30.03% 41.21% 59.09%
Dividend per Share 2 3.190 3.830 5.440 6.000 6.630 7.043 7.901 9.039
Announcement Date 8/20/19 9/8/20 9/7/21 9/6/22 9/5/23 - - -
1ZAR in Million2ZAR
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: July 2020 S1 2020 S2 2021 S1 2021 S2 2022 S1 2024 S1 2024 S2
Net sales 1 81,150 75,705 83,430 84,600 - 123,707 119,638
EBITDA - - - - - - -
EBIT 1 - - 4,427 - - - 6,749
Operating Margin - - 5.31% - - - 5.64%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) - - - - - - -
Net income - - - - 2,714 3,339 -
Net margin - - - - - 2.7% -
EPS - - 4.007 4.569 4.940 - -
Dividend per Share - - - - - - -
Announcement Date 2/25/20 9/8/20 3/16/21 9/7/21 3/8/22 3/5/24 -
1ZAR in Million
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: July 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 8,123 1,990 26,272 31,168 32,196 38,853 41,008 43,021
Net Cash position 1 - - - - - - - -
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.8536 x 0.1557 x 1.74 x 1.875 x 1.713 x 1.89 x 1.819 x 1.727 x
Free Cash Flow 1 -291 7,772 4,765 1,305 3,122 2,068 3,159 5,191
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) 15.9% 18.2% 25.6% 24.7% 22.8% 24.3% 24.4% 24.9%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) 6.72% 4.49% 6.6% 6.82% 6.07% 6.33% 6.58% 6.8%
Assets 1 63,419 74,662 71,143 83,572 96,905 108,735 116,439 129,106
Book Value Per Share 2 47.20 34.80 38.70 47.00 48.10 53.50 59.90 67.00
Cash Flow per Share 2 8.990 19.80 14.40 12.20 18.00 16.80 22.10 21.70
Capex 1 5,280 3,217 3,218 5,381 6,709 8,474 8,598 8,442
Capex / Sales 3.51% 2.05% 1.92% 2.92% 3.06% 3.53% 3.29% 2.97%
Announcement Date 8/20/19 9/8/20 9/7/21 9/6/22 9/5/23 - - -
1ZAR in Million2ZAR
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
B
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
7
Last Close Price
265.1 ZAR
Average target price
286.5 ZAR
Spread / Average Target
+8.08%
Consensus
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