CONTACT ENERGY LIMITED |
End-of-day quote
Other stock markets
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 9.19 NZD | -0.11% |
|
-0.33% | +14.73% |
| Jun. 10 | New Zealand shares fall as hopes of early Fed rate cut fade; Australia closed | RE |
| Jun. 03 | South Port New Zealand Customer Signs Energy Supply Agreement with Meridian, Contact, Mercury | MT |
Valuation
| Fiscal Period: Juni | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capitalization 1 | 5,734 | 4,496 | 6,426 | 5,683 | 6,358 | 7,252 | - | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 6,783 | 5,650 | 7,132 | 6,565 | 7,741 | 8,977 | 9,081 | 9,131 |
| P/E ratio | 16.6 x | 35.9 x | 32.7 x | 31.1 x | 49.7 x | 27.1 x | 20.1 x | 20.4 x |
| Yield | 4.88% | 6.23% | 4.23% | 4.81% | 4.32% | 4.09% | 4.39% | 4.74% |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 2.33 x | 2.17 x | 2.5 x | 2.38 x | 3 x | 2.55 x | 2.47 x | 2.54 x |
| EV / Revenue | 2.76 x | 2.73 x | 2.77 x | 2.75 x | 3.65 x | 3.15 x | 3.1 x | 3.19 x |
| EV / EBITDA | 13.1 x | 12.5 x | 12.9 x | 12.2 x | 13.5 x | 13.6 x | 10.9 x | 10.3 x |
| EV / FCF | 9.28 x | 19.5 x | 19.2 x | 20.2 x | -40.7 x | 50.4 x | 39.5 x | 27.9 x |
| FCF Yield | 10.8% | 5.13% | 5.2% | 4.95% | -2.45% | 1.98% | 2.53% | 3.58% |
| Price to Book | 2.06 x | 1.72 x | 2.2 x | 2 x | 2.26 x | 2.73 x | 2.68 x | 2.65 x |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 716,809 | 718,132 | 776,122 | 780,638 | 784,963 | 789,117 | - | - |
| Reference price 2 | 8.000 | 6.260 | 8.280 | 7.280 | 8.100 | 9.190 | 9.190 | 9.190 |
| Announcement Date | 8/11/19 | 8/9/20 | 8/15/21 | 8/14/22 | 8/13/23 | - | - | - |
1NZD in Million2NZD
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)
| Fiscal Period: Juni | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 2,460 | 2,073 | 2,573 | 2,387 | 2,118 | 2,846 | 2,933 | 2,860 |
| EBITDA 1 | 518 | 451 | 553 | 537 | 573 | 662.2 | 832.1 | 882.6 |
| EBIT 1 | 313 | 231 | 304 | 275 | 349 | 405 | 565.6 | 594.8 |
| Operating Margin | 12.72% | 11.14% | 11.82% | 11.52% | 16.48% | 14.23% | 19.29% | 20.79% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 239 | 171 | 261 | 253 | 177 | 382.9 | 499.7 | 499 |
| Net income 1 | 345 | 125 | 187 | 182 | 127 | 266.2 | 362.9 | 357.4 |
| Net margin | 14.02% | 6.03% | 7.27% | 7.62% | 6% | 9.35% | 12.37% | 12.49% |
| EPS 2 | 0.4820 | 0.1744 | 0.2530 | 0.2340 | 0.1630 | 0.3392 | 0.4582 | 0.4503 |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | 731 | 290 | 371 | 325 | -190 | 178 | 230 | 327 |
| FCF margin | 29.72% | 13.99% | 14.42% | 13.62% | -8.97% | 6.26% | 7.84% | 11.43% |
| FCF Conversion (EBITDA) | 141.12% | 64.3% | 67.09% | 60.52% | - | 26.88% | 27.64% | 37.05% |
| FCF Conversion (Net income) | 211.88% | 232% | 198.4% | 178.57% | - | 66.88% | 63.38% | 91.5% |
| Dividend per Share 2 | 0.3900 | 0.3900 | 0.3500 | 0.3500 | 0.3500 | 0.3760 | 0.4030 | 0.4353 |
| Announcement Date | 8/11/19 | 8/9/20 | 8/15/21 | 8/14/22 | 8/13/23 | - | - | - |
1NZD in Million2NZD
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)
| Fiscal Period: June | 2019 S2 | 2020 S1 | 2020 S2 | 2021 S1 | 2021 S2 | 2022 S1 | 2023 S1 | 2024 S1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 1,097 | 1,110 | 963 | 1,141 | 1,432 | - | 994 | 1,306 |
| EBITDA 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | 246 | 325 |
| EBIT | - | - | - | - | 172 | - | - | - |
| Operating Margin | - | - | - | - | 12.01% | - | - | - |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Net income | - | - | - | - | - | 134 | -7 | - |
| Net margin | - | - | - | - | - | - | -0.7% | - |
| EPS | - | - | - | - | - | 0.1720 | - | - |
| Dividend per Share 2 | - | 0.1600 | - | - | - | - | 0.1400 | 0.1400 |
| Announcement Date | 8/11/19 | 2/9/20 | 8/9/20 | 2/14/21 | 8/15/21 | 2/13/22 | 2/12/23 | 2/18/24 |
1NZD in Million2NZD
Estimates
Balance Sheet Analysis
| Fiscal Period: June | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 1,049 | 1,154 | 706 | 882 | 1,383 | 1,725 | 1,829 | 1,879 |
| Net Cash position 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 2.025 x | 2.559 x | 1.277 x | 1.642 x | 2.414 x | 2.605 x | 2.199 x | 2.129 x |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | 731 | 290 | 371 | 325 | -190 | 178 | 230 | 327 |
| ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) | 6.39% | 4.78% | 6.3% | 6.31% | 7.48% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 12.9% |
| ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) | 3.43% | 2.62% | 3.52% | 3.29% | 3.85% | 6.14% | 7.88% | 7.68% |
| Assets 1 | 10,061 | 4,772 | 5,308 | 5,532 | 3,303 | 4,336 | 4,607 | 4,655 |
| Book Value Per Share 2 | 3.880 | 3.650 | 3.770 | 3.640 | 3.580 | 3.370 | 3.430 | 3.470 |
| Cash Flow per Share 2 | 0.6500 | 0.4800 | 0.5800 | - | 0.5000 | 0.7000 | 0.8000 | 0.8500 |
| Capex 1 | 60 | 51 | 61 | 75 | 585 | 608 | 531 | 467 |
| Capex / Sales | 2.44% | 2.46% | 2.37% | 3.14% | 27.62% | 21.35% | 18.11% | 16.33% |
| Announcement Date | 8/11/19 | 8/9/20 | 8/15/21 | 8/14/22 | 8/13/23 | - | - | - |
1NZD in Million2NZD
Estimates
EPS & Dividend
Year-on-year evolution of the PER
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
B-
Sell
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
5
Last Close Price
9.19
NZD
Average target price
10.39
NZD
Spread / Average Target
+13.10%
EPS Revisions
Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
| 1st Jan change | Capi. | |
|---|---|---|
| +14.73% | 4.44B | |
| +13.92% | 11.36B | |
| -25.00% | 7.51B | |
| -1.66% | 4.47B | |
| +2.42% | 2.56B | |
| -54.80% | 2.17B | |
| +6.72% | 1.65B | |
| -8.69% | 1.28B | |
| +77.42% | 828M | |
| -11.43% | 584M |
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