UNITED PARCEL SERVICE INC. |
Market Closed -
Other stock markets
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 150.6 USD | +2.19% |
|
+2.68% | -4.22% |
| May. 13 | BNP Paribas Exane Adjusts Price Target on United Parcel Service to $113 From $115 | MT |
| May. 07 | News Highlights : Top Company News of the Day - Tuesday at 3 AM ET | DJ |
Valuation
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capitalization 1 | 100,417 | 145,565 | 186,292 | 150,357 | 133,948 | 126,084 | - | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 116,494 | 164,309 | 197,952 | 164,417 | 150,140 | 144,975 | 145,768 | 147,359 |
| P/E ratio | 22.9 x | 103 x | 14.6 x | 13.2 x | 20.2 x | 18.3 x | 15.2 x | 13.4 x |
| Yield | 3.28% | 2.4% | 2.14% | 3.55% | - | 4.42% | 4.53% | 4.71% |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 1.36 x | 1.72 x | 1.91 x | 1.5 x | 1.47 x | 1.36 x | 1.28 x | 1.23 x |
| EV / Revenue | 1.57 x | 1.94 x | 2.03 x | 1.64 x | 1.65 x | 1.56 x | 1.48 x | 1.44 x |
| EV / EBITDA | 11.1 x | 14.4 x | 12.3 x | 9.69 x | 11.3 x | 11.1 x | 9.83 x | 9.06 x |
| EV / FCF | 51.6 x | 32.6 x | 18.3 x | 17.6 x | 29.6 x | 25.3 x | 22.9 x | 24 x |
| FCF Yield | 1.94% | 3.07% | 5.46% | 5.68% | 3.38% | 3.96% | 4.38% | 4.17% |
| Price to Book | 30.6 x | 197 x | 13.1 x | 7.68 x | - | 7.12 x | 6.65 x | 6.47 x |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 857,823 | 864,398 | 869,142 | 864,918 | 851,926 | 855,559 | - | - |
| Reference price 2 | 117.1 | 168.4 | 214.3 | 173.8 | 157.2 | 147.4 | 147.4 | 147.4 |
| Announcement Date | 1/30/20 | 2/2/21 | 2/1/22 | 1/31/23 | 1/30/24 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 74,094 | 84,628 | 97,287 | 100,338 | 90,958 | 92,952 | 98,481 | 102,671 |
| EBITDA 1 | 10,510 | 11,416 | 16,097 | 16,965 | 13,239 | 13,097 | 14,830 | 16,267 |
| EBIT 1 | 8,150 | 8,718 | 13,144 | 13,853 | 9,873 | 9,558 | 11,292 | 12,557 |
| Operating Margin | 11% | 10.3% | 13.51% | 13.81% | 10.85% | 10.28% | 11.47% | 12.23% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 5,652 | 1,974 | 16,595 | 14,825 | 8,573 | 9,147 | 10,920 | 12,444 |
| Net income 1 | 4,440 | 1,427 | 12,890 | 11,548 | 6,708 | 6,877 | 8,361 | 9,192 |
| Net margin | 5.99% | 1.69% | 13.25% | 11.51% | 7.37% | 7.4% | 8.49% | 8.95% |
| EPS 2 | 5.110 | 1.640 | 14.68 | 13.20 | 7.800 | 8.039 | 9.696 | 10.96 |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | 2,259 | 5,047 | 10,813 | 9,335 | 5,080 | 5,740 | 6,379 | 6,149 |
| FCF margin | 3.05% | 5.96% | 11.11% | 9.3% | 5.58% | 6.18% | 6.48% | 5.99% |
| FCF Conversion (EBITDA) | 21.49% | 44.21% | 67.17% | 55.03% | 38.37% | 43.83% | 43.01% | 37.8% |
| FCF Conversion (Net income) | 50.88% | 353.68% | 83.89% | 80.84% | 75.73% | 83.48% | 76.29% | 66.9% |
| Dividend per Share 2 | 3.840 | 4.040 | 4.580 | 6.180 | - | 6.514 | 6.671 | 6.939 |
| Announcement Date | 1/30/20 | 2/2/21 | 2/1/22 | 1/31/23 | 1/30/24 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 Q4 | 2022 Q1 | 2022 Q2 | 2022 Q3 | 2022 Q4 | 2023 Q1 | 2023 Q2 | 2023 Q3 | 2023 Q4 | 2024 Q1 | 2024 Q2 | 2024 Q3 | 2024 Q4 | 2025 Q1 | 2025 Q2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 27,771 | 24,378 | 24,766 | 24,161 | 27,033 | 22,925 | 22,055 | 21,061 | 24,917 | 21,700 | 22,278 | 22,501 | 26,373 | 23,463 | 23,708 |
| EBITDA 1 | 4,706 | 4,070 | 4,338 | 3,923 | 4,634 | 3,386 | 3,747 | 2,452 | 3,654 | 2,645 | 3,216 | 3,249 | 3,974 | 3,216 | 3,782 |
| EBIT 1 | 3,952 | 3,306 | 3,576 | 3,149 | 3,822 | 2,552 | 2,919 | 1,615 | 2,787 | 1,747 | 2,337 | 2,427 | 3,124 | 2,306 | 2,838 |
| Operating Margin | 14.23% | 13.56% | 14.44% | 13.03% | 14.14% | 11.13% | 13.24% | 7.67% | 11.19% | 8.05% | 10.49% | 10.79% | 11.85% | 9.83% | 11.97% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 3,962 | 3,392 | 3,697 | 3,269 | 4,467 | 2,522 | 2,720 | 1,268 | 2,063 | 1,536 | 2,243 | 2,343 | 3,011 | 2,147 | 2,752 |
| Net income 1 | 3,093 | 2,662 | 2,849 | 2,584 | 3,453 | 1,895 | 2,081 | 1,127 | 1,605 | 1,113 | 1,714 | 1,789 | 2,317 | 1,647 | 2,111 |
| Net margin | 11.14% | 10.92% | 11.5% | 10.69% | 12.77% | 8.27% | 9.44% | 5.35% | 6.44% | 5.13% | 7.69% | 7.95% | 8.78% | 7.02% | 8.9% |
| EPS 2 | 3.520 | 3.030 | 3.250 | 2.960 | 3.960 | 2.190 | 2.420 | 1.310 | 1.870 | 1.300 | 2.000 | 2.087 | 2.719 | 1.925 | 2.453 |
| Dividend per Share 2 | 1.520 | 1.520 | 1.520 | 1.520 | 1.620 | 1.620 | 1.620 | - | - | 1.630 | 1.630 | 1.630 | 1.630 | 1.675 | 1.675 |
| Announcement Date | 2/1/22 | 4/26/22 | 7/26/22 | 10/25/22 | 1/31/23 | 4/25/23 | 8/8/23 | 10/26/23 | 1/30/24 | 4/23/24 | - | - | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Balance Sheet Analysis
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 16,077 | 18,744 | 11,660 | 14,060 | 16,192 | 18,891 | 19,684 | 21,275 |
| Net Cash position 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 1.53 x | 1.642 x | 0.7244 x | 0.8288 x | 1.223 x | 1.442 x | 1.327 x | 1.308 x |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | 2,259 | 5,047 | 10,813 | 9,335 | 5,080 | 5,740 | 6,379 | 6,149 |
| ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) | 207% | 358% | 143% | 66.6% | 36.2% | 37.9% | 42.1% | 44.2% |
| ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) | 12.1% | 11.9% | 19.6% | 16.4% | 9.45% | 9.76% | 11.5% | 13% |
| Assets 1 | 36,600 | 11,983 | 65,907 | 70,243 | 70,990 | 70,482 | 72,845 | 70,529 |
| Book Value Per Share 2 | 3.830 | 0.8600 | 16.30 | 22.60 | - | 20.70 | 22.20 | 22.80 |
| Cash Flow per Share 2 | 9.940 | 12.00 | 17.10 | 16.10 | 11.90 | 12.60 | 14.60 | 16.50 |
| Capex 1 | 6,380 | 5,412 | 4,194 | 4,769 | 5,158 | 4,644 | 5,505 | 6,070 |
| Capex / Sales | 8.61% | 6.4% | 4.31% | 4.75% | 5.67% | 5% | 5.59% | 5.91% |
| Announcement Date | 1/30/20 | 2/2/21 | 2/1/22 | 1/31/23 | 1/30/24 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
EPS & Dividend
Year-on-year evolution of the PER
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
C
Sell
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
31
Last Close Price
147.4
USD
Average target price
163.1
USD
Spread / Average Target
+10.64%
EPS Revisions
| 1st Jan change | Capi. | |
|---|---|---|
| -4.22% | 126B | |
| +5.50% | 65.39B | |
| -11.76% | 49.87B | |
| -7.54% | 16.71B | |
| -49.37% | 8.93B | |
| +21.61% | 8.27B | |
| -19.34% | 6.42B | |
| -13.60% | 6.35B | |
| +42.81% | 5.61B | |
| -2.60% | 4.15B |
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- Financials United Parcel Service Inc.
