TILLY'S, INC. |
Market Closed -
Other stock markets
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 5.62 USD | -3.10% |
|
-2.60% | -25.46% |
| Jun. 07 | Roth MKM Trims Price Target on Tilly's to $6 From $7.50, Maintains Neutral Rating | MT |
| Jun. 07 | B. Riley Lowers Price Target on Tilly's to $7 From $8.25, Keeps Neutral Rating | MT |
Valuation
| Fiscal Period: February | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capitalization 1 | 252.3 | 306.4 | 393.3 | 272.2 | 225.4 | 168.9 | - | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 252.3 | 306.4 | 393.3 | 272.2 | 225.4 | 100.5 | 112.5 | 168.9 |
| P/E ratio | 11.2 x | -257 x | 6.17 x | 27.6 x | -6.48 x | -6.11 x | -141 x | 13.4 x |
| Yield | 11.8% | - | 7.87% | - | - | - | - | - |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 0.41 x | 0.58 x | 0.51 x | 0.4 x | 0.36 x | 0.28 x | 0.27 x | 0.25 x |
| EV / Revenue | 0.41 x | 0.58 x | 0.51 x | 0.4 x | 0.36 x | 0.17 x | 0.18 x | 0.25 x |
| EV / EBITDA | 5.11 x | 19.1 x | 3.77 x | 10.6 x | -12.4 x | -4.29 x | -6.25 x | 6.17 x |
| EV / FCF | 11.4 x | 10.1 x | 7.87 x | -16.5 x | - | -3.48 x | -4.83 x | -9.75 x |
| FCF Yield | 8.77% | 9.93% | 12.7% | -6.08% | - | -28.7% | -20.7% | -10.3% |
| Price to Book | 1.58 x | 1.91 x | 2.26 x | - | - | 1.42 x | 1.46 x | 1.34 x |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 29,679 | 29,781 | 30,966 | 29,844 | 29,974 | 30,057 | - | - |
| Reference price 2 | 8.500 | 10.29 | 12.70 | 9.120 | 7.520 | 5.620 | 5.620 | 5.620 |
| Announcement Date | 3/12/20 | 3/11/21 | 3/10/22 | 3/9/23 | 3/14/24 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)
| Fiscal Period: February | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 619.3 | 531.3 | 775.7 | 672.3 | 623.1 | 597.3 | 623.3 | 663.7 |
| EBITDA 1 | 49.4 | 16.02 | 104.4 | 25.59 | -18.15 | -23.45 | -18 | 27.36 |
| EBIT 1 | 28.46 | -3.04 | 87.6 | 11.45 | -30.98 | -35.83 | -30.34 | -4.468 |
| Operating Margin | 4.59% | -0.57% | 11.29% | 1.7% | -4.97% | -6% | -4.87% | -0.67% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 31.36 | -2.459 | 87 | 13.43 | -25.78 | -30.85 | -1.37 | 18.37 |
| Net income 1 | 22.62 | -1.145 | 64.25 | 10.09 | -34.49 | -30.26 | -1 | 13.41 |
| Net margin | 3.65% | -0.22% | 8.28% | 1.5% | -5.54% | -5.07% | -0.16% | 2.02% |
| EPS 2 | 0.7600 | -0.0400 | 2.060 | 0.3300 | -1.160 | -0.9200 | -0.0400 | 0.4200 |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | 22.14 | 30.43 | 49.98 | -16.54 | - | -28.85 | -23.28 | -17.33 |
| FCF margin | 3.57% | 5.73% | 6.44% | -2.46% | - | -4.83% | -3.73% | -2.61% |
| FCF Conversion (EBITDA) | 44.8% | 189.98% | 47.86% | - | - | - | - | - |
| FCF Conversion (Net income) | 97.85% | - | 77.79% | - | - | - | - | - |
| Dividend per Share | 1.000 | - | 1.000 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 3/12/20 | 3/11/21 | 3/10/22 | 3/9/23 | 3/14/24 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)
| Fiscal Period: February | 2022 Q3 | 2022 Q4 | 2023 Q1 | 2023 Q2 | 2023 Q3 | 2023 Q4 | 2024 Q1 | 2024 Q2 | 2024 Q3 | 2024 Q4 | 2025 Q1 | 2025 Q2 | 2025 Q3 | 2025 Q4 | 2026 Q1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 206.1 | 204.5 | 145.8 | 168.3 | 177.8 | 180.4 | 123.6 | 160 | 166.5 | 173 | 115.9 | 163.8 | 146.7 | 170.9 | 119.4 |
| EBITDA 1 | 33.31 | 21.01 | 4.616 | 8.647 | 9.827 | 2.498 | -14.05 | 0.558 | 0.574 | -5.233 | -17.69 | -0.278 | -0.482 | 0.29 | -15.7 |
| EBIT 1 | 29 | 17.3 | 1.108 | 5.152 | 6.315 | -1.121 | -17.26 | -2.685 | -2.516 | -8.52 | -20.79 | -2.976 | -6.095 | -4.552 | -18.9 |
| Operating Margin | 14.07% | 8.46% | 0.76% | 3.06% | 3.55% | -0.62% | -13.96% | -1.68% | -1.51% | -4.92% | -17.94% | -1.82% | -4.16% | -2.66% | -15.83% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 29 | 16.92 | 1.112 | 5.335 | 6.99 | -0.003 | -16.2 | -1.465 | -1.175 | -6.946 | -19.63 | -2.464 | -2.485 | -1.744 | -18.2 |
| Net income 1 | 20.83 | 12.06 | 0.813 | 3.819 | 5.149 | 0.309 | -11.97 | -1.125 | -0.847 | -20.55 | -19.62 | -2.452 | -1.814 | -1.273 | -13.3 |
| Net margin | 10.11% | 5.9% | 0.56% | 2.27% | 2.9% | 0.17% | -9.68% | -0.7% | -0.51% | -11.88% | -16.94% | -1.5% | -1.24% | -0.74% | -11.14% |
| EPS 2 | 0.6600 | 0.3800 | 0.0300 | 0.1300 | 0.1700 | 0.0100 | -0.4000 | -0.0400 | -0.0300 | -0.6900 | -0.6500 | -0.0850 | -0.0600 | -0.0400 | -0.4400 |
| Dividend per Share | - | 1.000 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 12/2/21 | 3/10/22 | 6/2/22 | 9/1/22 | 12/1/22 | 3/9/23 | 6/1/23 | 8/31/23 | 11/30/23 | 3/14/24 | 6/6/24 | - | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Balance Sheet Analysis
| Fiscal Period: February | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Net Cash position 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 68.4 | 56.4 | - |
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | 22.1 | 30.4 | 50 | -16.5 | - | -28.8 | -23.3 | -17.3 |
| ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) | 14% | -0.71% | 38.3% | 5.74% | - | -19% | -21.7% | 11.4% |
| ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) | 5.5% | -0.22% | 12.7% | 2.06% | - | -6% | -5.1% | -3.7% |
| Assets 1 | 411.2 | 520.5 | 505.9 | 490.3 | - | 504.3 | 19.61 | -362.4 |
| Book Value Per Share 2 | 5.370 | 5.380 | 5.630 | - | - | 3.970 | 3.860 | 4.200 |
| Cash Flow per Share 2 | 1.220 | 1.310 | 2.040 | -0.0500 | - | -0.6100 | -0.2600 | -0.0300 |
| Capex 1 | 14.3 | 8.47 | 13.4 | 15.1 | - | 12.3 | 14.9 | 15.7 |
| Capex / Sales | 2.31% | 1.59% | 1.73% | 2.25% | - | 2.05% | 2.38% | 2.37% |
| Announcement Date | 3/12/20 | 3/11/21 | 3/10/22 | 3/9/23 | 3/14/24 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
EPS & Dividend
Year-on-year evolution of the PER
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
C-
Sell
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
3
Last Close Price
5.62
USD
Average target price
6.5
USD
Spread / Average Target
+15.66%
EPS Revisions
| 1st Jan change | Capi. | |
|---|---|---|
| -25.46% | 169M | |
| +15.83% | 154B | |
| +17.40% | 80.47B | |
| +4.25% | 48.38B | |
| -17.77% | 43.47B | |
| +5.99% | 28.6B | |
| +17.86% | 14.47B | |
| +13.90% | 14.15B | |
| +17.85% | 9.97B | |
| +21.81% | 9.55B |
- Stock Market
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- TLYS Stock
- Financials Tilly's, Inc.
