GEOPARK LIMITED |
Real-time Estimate
Other stock markets
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 10.19 USD | +2.41% |
|
-0.97% | +18.90% |
| May. 16 | Transcript : GeoPark Limited, Q1 2024 Earnings Call, May 16, 2024 | |
| May. 15 | Geopark Q1 Earnings Rise, Revenue Falls; Shares Drop After Hours | MT |
Valuation
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capitalization 1 | 1,310 | 787.4 | 695.5 | 904.5 | 480.9 | 552 | - | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 1,636 | 1,370 | 1,290 | 1,273 | 480.9 | 948.2 | 850.9 | 705.5 |
| P/E ratio | 23.9 x | -3.38 x | 11.6 x | 4.08 x | - | 3.52 x | 3.51 x | 3.64 x |
| Yield | 0.19% | 0.32% | 1.07% | 2.71% | - | 5.83% | 5.98% | 6.03% |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 2.08 x | 2 x | 1.01 x | 0.86 x | 0.64 x | 0.7 x | 0.63 x | 0.66 x |
| EV / Revenue | 2.6 x | 3.48 x | 1.87 x | 1.21 x | 0.64 x | 1.2 x | 0.98 x | 0.85 x |
| EV / EBITDA | 4.5 x | 6.3 x | 4.29 x | 2.35 x | 1.06 x | 1.92 x | 1.66 x | 1.48 x |
| EV / FCF | 15 x | 14.7 x | 14.7 x | 4.26 x | - | -23 x | 10.6 x | 32.1 x |
| FCF Yield | 6.66% | 6.82% | 6.79% | 23.5% | - | -4.34% | 9.41% | 3.12% |
| Price to Book | - | -7.26 x | -11.1 x | 7.7 x | - | 1.9 x | 1.5 x | 1.23 x |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 59,524 | 60,612 | 60,742 | 58,543 | 56,118 | 55,475 | - | - |
| Reference price 2 | 22.01 | 12.99 | 11.45 | 15.45 | 8.570 | 9.950 | 9.950 | 9.950 |
| Announcement Date | 3/4/20 | 3/11/21 | 3/9/22 | 3/8/23 | 3/6/24 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 628.9 | 393.7 | 688.5 | 1,050 | 756.6 | 792.9 | 870.3 | 833.4 |
| EBITDA 1 | 363.3 | 217.5 | 300.8 | 540.8 | 451.9 | 493.4 | 512.5 | 476.1 |
| EBIT 1 | 210.7 | -110.7 | 185.8 | 429.1 | 270.9 | 336.9 | 354.7 | 342.8 |
| Operating Margin | 33.5% | -28.12% | 26.99% | 40.88% | 35.8% | 42.49% | 40.75% | 41.13% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 169.5 | -185.1 | 128.4 | 394.9 | - | 296.9 | 298.1 | 302 |
| Net income 1 | 57.8 | -233 | 61.1 | 224.4 | 111.1 | 159.6 | 154.1 | 148.9 |
| Net margin | 9.19% | -59.18% | 8.87% | 21.38% | 14.68% | 20.14% | 17.71% | 17.86% |
| EPS 2 | 0.9200 | -3.840 | 0.9900 | 3.782 | - | 2.825 | 2.836 | 2.733 |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | 109 | 93.4 | 87.52 | 298.7 | - | -41.2 | 80.08 | 22 |
| FCF margin | 17.33% | 23.72% | 12.71% | 28.45% | - | -5.2% | 9.2% | 2.64% |
| FCF Conversion (EBITDA) | 30% | 42.94% | 29.1% | 55.23% | - | - | 15.63% | 4.62% |
| FCF Conversion (Net income) | 188.58% | - | 143.24% | 133.09% | - | - | 51.96% | 14.78% |
| Dividend per Share 2 | 0.0413 | 0.0411 | 0.1230 | 0.4180 | - | 0.5800 | 0.5950 | 0.6000 |
| Announcement Date | 3/4/20 | 3/11/21 | 3/9/22 | 3/8/23 | 3/6/24 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 Q4 | 2022 Q1 | 2022 Q2 | 2022 Q3 | 2022 Q4 | 2023 Q1 | 2023 Q2 | 2023 Q3 | 2023 Q4 | 2024 Q1 | 2024 Q2 | 2024 Q3 | 2024 Q4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 202.4 | 249.2 | 311.2 | 258.2 | 231 | 182.5 | 182.3 | 192.1 | 199.7 | 167.4 | 206 | 212 | 215 |
| EBITDA 1 | 87.1 | 122.6 | 144.8 | 141.3 | 132.1 | 114.9 | - | 115.2 | 117.8 | 111.5 | 118 | 121 | 122 |
| EBIT 1 | 69.4 | 58.6 | 143.4 | 145.4 | 81.7 | 76.6 | 69.5 | - | 44.3 | 84 | 89 | 91 | 92 |
| Operating Margin | 34.29% | 23.52% | 46.08% | 56.31% | 35.37% | 41.97% | 38.12% | - | 22.18% | 50.18% | 43.2% | 42.92% | 42.79% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 56 | 36.9 | 135 | 143.6 | 79.5 | 63.4 | 50.4 | 65.9 | - | 75.1 | 80 | 82 | 83 |
| Net income 1 | 36.9 | 31 | 67.9 | 73.4 | 52.2 | 26.3 | 33.8 | 24.8 | 26.3 | 30.2 | 44 | 45 | 46 |
| Net margin | 18.23% | 12.44% | 21.82% | 28.43% | 22.6% | 14.41% | 18.54% | 12.91% | 13.17% | 18.04% | 21.36% | 21.23% | 21.4% |
| EPS 2 | 0.6000 | 0.5100 | 1.130 | 1.230 | 0.8960 | 0.4500 | 0.5900 | 0.4400 | - | 0.5500 | 0.7937 | 0.8159 | 0.8258 |
| Dividend per Share | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 3/9/22 | 5/11/22 | 8/10/22 | 11/9/22 | 3/8/23 | 5/3/23 | 8/9/23 | 11/8/23 | 3/6/24 | 5/15/24 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Balance Sheet Analysis
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 326 | 583 | 594 | 369 | - | 396 | 299 | 153 |
| Net Cash position 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 0.8979 x | 2.679 x | 1.976 x | 0.682 x | - | 0.8031 x | 0.5833 x | 0.3224 x |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | 109 | 93.4 | 87.5 | 299 | - | -41.2 | 80.1 | 22 |
| ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) | - | -1,966% | -71.4% | 836% | - | 70.7% | 48.8% | 42.1% |
| ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) | 6.74% | -25.7% | 6.59% | 24% | - | 15.1% | 13.8% | 15.9% |
| Assets 1 | 857.4 | 906.4 | 927.6 | 934.8 | - | 1,059 | 1,120 | 936.1 |
| Book Value Per Share 2 | - | -1.790 | -1.030 | 2.010 | - | 5.230 | 6.640 | 8.070 |
| Cash Flow per Share 2 | 4.430 | 2.870 | 3.660 | 8.480 | - | 6.370 | 6.420 | 5.280 |
| Capex 1 | 126 | 75.3 | 129 | 169 | - | 207 | 233 | 212 |
| Capex / Sales | 20.08% | 19.13% | 18.77% | 16.08% | - | 26.14% | 26.81% | 25.47% |
| Announcement Date | 3/4/20 | 3/11/21 | 3/9/22 | 3/8/23 | 3/6/24 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
EPS & Dividend
Year-on-year evolution of the PER
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
B-
Sell
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
7
Last Close Price
9.95
USD
Average target price
16.07
USD
Spread / Average Target
+61.52%
EPS Revisions
| 1st Jan change | Capi. | |
|---|---|---|
| +18.61% | 552M | |
| +6.34% | 291B | |
| +2.23% | 137B | |
| +58.46% | 129B | |
| +21.09% | 82.07B | |
| +3.67% | 70.84B | |
| +3.72% | 54.93B | |
| +5.04% | 46.49B | |
| -11.04% | 35.02B | |
| +27.13% | 34.5B |
- Stock Market
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- Financials GeoPark Limited
