BPOST SA/NV |
Real-time
Other stock markets
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 3.22 EUR | +0.16% |
|
-4.17% | -30.96% |
| May. 24 | EU Commission Approves Belgium's EUR250 Million State Aid for bpost | MT |
| May. 06 | PostNL reports Q1 earnings loss, misses estimates on labour costs | RE |
Valuation
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capitalization 1 | 2,060 | 1,698 | 1,534 | 960.8 | 932.8 | 643 | - | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 2,840 | 2,193 | 2,004 | 1,398 | 1,353 | 977.1 | 968.4 | 893.5 |
| P/E ratio | 13.4 x | -84.9 x | 6.14 x | 4.14 x | 14.1 x | 4.88 x | 5.41 x | 4.78 x |
| Yield | 7.09% | - | 6.39% | 8.33% | 2.79% | 6.81% | 7.13% | 7.78% |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 0.54 x | 0.41 x | 0.35 x | 0.22 x | 0.22 x | 0.16 x | 0.15 x | 0.15 x |
| EV / Revenue | 0.74 x | 0.53 x | 0.46 x | 0.32 x | 0.32 x | 0.24 x | 0.23 x | 0.2 x |
| EV / EBITDA | 5.29 x | 4.22 x | 3.32 x | 2.52 x | 2.45 x | 1.87 x | 1.85 x | 1.59 x |
| EV / FCF | 9.33 x | 4.74 x | 7.99 x | 5.06 x | 5.75 x | 10.8 x | 11.9 x | 8.59 x |
| FCF Yield | 10.7% | 21.1% | 12.5% | 19.8% | 17.4% | 9.23% | 8.43% | 11.6% |
| Price to Book | 3.03 x | 2.92 x | 1.73 x | 0.9 x | 0.91 x | 0.56 x | 0.53 x | 0.48 x |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 200,001 | 200,001 | 200,001 | 200,001 | 200,001 | 200,001 | - | - |
| Reference price 2 | 10.30 | 8.490 | 7.670 | 4.804 | 4.664 | 3.215 | 3.215 | 3.215 |
| Announcement Date | 3/17/20 | 3/9/21 | 2/24/22 | 2/23/23 | 3/1/24 | - | - | - |
1EUR in Million2EUR
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 3,838 | 4,155 | 4,335 | 4,398 | 4,272 | 4,120 | 4,246 | 4,397 |
| EBITDA 1 | 537 | 519.1 | 604.2 | 555.1 | 552.8 | 522.3 | 522.2 | 562 |
| EBIT 1 | 310.8 | 280.6 | 349.3 | 278.5 | 248.5 | 188.9 | 198.1 | 217.5 |
| Operating Margin | 8.1% | 6.75% | 8.06% | 6.33% | 5.82% | 4.59% | 4.67% | 4.95% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 244.3 | 29.6 | 333.7 | 292.5 | 119.2 | 178.1 | 164.2 | 188.7 |
| Net income 1 | 154.2 | -19.4 | 250.2 | 231.7 | 64.8 | 128.8 | 115.1 | 123.4 |
| Net margin | 4.02% | -0.47% | 5.77% | 5.27% | 1.52% | 3.13% | 2.71% | 2.81% |
| EPS 2 | 0.7700 | -0.1000 | 1.250 | 1.160 | 0.3300 | 0.6583 | 0.5946 | 0.6725 |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | 304.4 | 462.7 | 250.7 | 276.3 | 235.4 | 90.2 | 81.65 | 104 |
| FCF margin | 7.93% | 11.14% | 5.78% | 6.28% | 5.51% | 2.19% | 1.92% | 2.37% |
| FCF Conversion (EBITDA) | 56.69% | 89.14% | 41.49% | 49.77% | 42.58% | 17.27% | 15.64% | 18.51% |
| FCF Conversion (Net income) | 197.41% | - | 100.2% | 119.25% | 363.27% | 70.02% | 70.95% | 84.3% |
| Dividend per Share 2 | 0.7300 | - | 0.4900 | 0.4000 | 0.1300 | 0.2189 | 0.2293 | 0.2500 |
| Announcement Date | 3/17/20 | 3/9/21 | 2/24/22 | 2/23/23 | 3/1/24 | - | - | - |
1EUR in Million2EUR
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 Q4 | 2022 Q1 | 2022 Q2 | 2022 Q3 | 2022 Q4 | 2023 Q1 | 2023 Q2 | 2023 Q3 | 2023 Q4 | 2024 Q1 | 2024 Q2 | 2024 Q3 | 2024 Q4 | 2025 Q1 | 2025 Q2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 1,300 | 1,038 | 1,036 | 1,022 | 1,302 | 1,049 | 1,028 | 978.5 | 1,217 | 993 | 998.3 | 952.6 | 1,232 | 1,001 | 1,008 |
| EBITDA 1 | 151 | 160.4 | 150.7 | 98.3 | 145.7 | 150.8 | 142.9 | 105.5 | 153.6 | 137.2 | 125.9 | 98.72 | 141.7 | 123.4 | 123.2 |
| EBIT 1 | 88.1 | 93 | 82.6 | 26 | 77 | 77.6 | 68.7 | 28.1 | 74.1 | 59.2 | 51.81 | 19.88 | 59.6 | 53.85 | 46.66 |
| Operating Margin | 6.78% | 8.96% | 7.98% | 2.54% | 5.92% | 7.4% | 6.69% | 2.87% | 6.09% | 5.96% | 5.19% | 2.09% | 4.84% | 5.38% | 4.63% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 96.1 | 85 | 92.6 | 29.1 | 85.8 | 64.9 | 58 | -46.6 | 43 | 60.2 | 59.92 | -11.62 | 43.16 | 45.62 | 38.78 |
| Net income 1 | 81.1 | 61.3 | 68.2 | 24.9 | 77.8 | 45.9 | 43.8 | -56.7 | 32.4 | 41.6 | 36.99 | 12.12 | 28.18 | 34.22 | 29.08 |
| Net margin | 6.24% | 5.9% | 6.59% | 2.44% | 5.98% | 4.38% | 4.26% | -5.79% | 2.66% | 4.19% | 3.71% | 1.27% | 2.29% | 3.42% | 2.88% |
| EPS 2 | 0.4100 | 0.3100 | 0.3400 | 0.1200 | 0.3900 | 0.2300 | 0.2200 | -0.2800 | 0.1600 | 0.2100 | 0.1850 | 0.0606 | 0.1409 | 0.1711 | 0.1454 |
| Dividend per Share 2 | 0.4900 | - | - | - | 0.4000 | - | - | - | 0.1300 | - | - | - | 0.2646 | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 2/24/22 | 5/5/22 | 8/4/22 | 11/9/22 | 2/23/23 | 5/4/23 | 8/3/23 | 11/9/23 | 3/1/24 | 5/3/24 | - | - | - | - | - |
1EUR in Million2EUR
Estimates
Balance Sheet Analysis
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 780 | 495 | 470 | 437 | 420 | 334 | 325 | 251 |
| Net Cash position 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 1.452 x | 0.9538 x | 0.7784 x | 0.7876 x | 0.7605 x | 0.6397 x | 0.6232 x | 0.4458 x |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | 304 | 463 | 251 | 276 | 235 | 90.2 | 81.7 | 104 |
| ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) | 25% | 31.8% | 33.6% | 25.1% | 6.27% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 12.1% |
| ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) | - | 5.25% | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Assets 1 | - | -369.6 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Book Value Per Share 2 | 3.400 | 2.910 | 4.420 | 5.330 | 5.130 | 5.700 | 6.100 | 6.700 |
| Cash Flow per Share 2 | 2.120 | 2.860 | 1.990 | 2.110 | 1.880 | 2.240 | 1.980 | 1.980 |
| Capex 1 | 120 | 109 | 148 | 146 | 141 | 262 | 249 | 228 |
| Capex / Sales | 3.12% | 2.61% | 3.4% | 3.32% | 3.3% | 6.36% | 5.86% | 5.19% |
| Announcement Date | 3/17/20 | 3/9/21 | 2/24/22 | 2/23/23 | 3/1/24 | - | - | - |
1EUR in Million2EUR
Estimates
EPS & Dividend
Year-on-year evolution of the PER
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
B+
Sell
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
8
Last Close Price
3.215
EUR
Average target price
4.25
EUR
Spread / Average Target
+32.19%
EPS Revisions
| 1st Jan change | Capi. | |
|---|---|---|
| -31.60% | 695M | |
| -2.07% | 60.96B | |
| -12.23% | 49.86B | |
| -1.36% | 17.72B | |
| +34.96% | 9.14B | |
| -49.30% | 9.05B | |
| -26.26% | 5.93B | |
| -19.38% | 5.89B | |
| +26.91% | 5.43B | |
| +0.25% | 4.27B |
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