FY 2024 Q2 Earnings Call
May 7, 2024
Agenda
TransDigm Overview, Highlights and Outlook | Kevin Stein |
President and CEO |
Market Review | Mike Lisman |
Co‐COO |
| Operating Performance and Financial Results | Sarah Wynne |
CFO | ||
| Q&A |
1
Forward Looking Statements & Special Notice
Regarding Pro Forma and Non‐GAAP Information
FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS
This presentation contains forward‐looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including information regarding our guidance for future periods. These forward‐looking statements are based on management's current expectations and beliefs, as well as a number of assumptions concerning future events, many of which are outside of our control. Consequently, such forward looking statements should be regarded solely as our current plans, estimates and beliefs. These statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in the forward‐looking statement. The Company does not undertake, and specifically declines, any obligation, to publicly release the results of any revisions to these forward‐looking statements that may be made to reflect any future events or circumstances after the date of such statements or to reflect the occurrence of anticipated or unanticipated events. All forward‐looking statements attributable to the Company or persons acting on its behalf are expressly qualified in their entirety by these cautionary statements. These risks and uncertainties include but are not limited to: the sensitivity of our business to the number of flight hours that our customers' planes spend aloft and our customers' profitability, both of which are affected by general economic conditions; supply chain constraints; increases in raw material costs, taxes and labor costs that cannot be recovered in product pricing; failure to complete or successfully integrate acquisitions; our indebtedness; current and future geopolitical or other worldwide events, including, without limitation, wars or conflicts and public health crises; cybersecurity threats; risks related to the transition or physical impacts of climate change and other natural disasters or meeting sustainability‐related voluntary goals or regulatory requirements; our reliance on certain customers; the United States ("U.S.") defense budget and risks associated with being a government supplier including government audits and investigations; failure to maintain government or industry approvals; risks related to changes in laws and regulations, including increases in compliance costs; potential environmental liabilities; liabilities arising in connection with litigation; risks and costs associated with our international sales and operations; and other factors. Further information regarding the important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from projected results can be found in TransDigm Group's most recent Annual Report on Form 10‐K and other reports that TransDigm Group or its subsidiaries have filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on our forward‐looking statements. TransDigm Group Incorporated assumes no obligation to, and expressly disclaims any obligation to, update or revise any forward‐looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
SPECIAL NOTICE REGARDING PRO FORMA AND NON‐GAAP INFORMATION
This presentation sets forth certain pro forma financial information. This pro forma financial information gives effect to certain recently completed acquisitions. Such pro forma information is based on certain assumptions and adjustments and does not purport to present TransDigm's actual results of operations or financial condition had the transactions reflected in such pro forma financial information occurred at the beginning of the relevant period, in the case of income statement information, or at the end of such period, in the case of balance sheet information, nor is it necessarily indicative of the results of operations that may be achieved in the future.
This presentation also sets forth certain non‐GAAP financial measures. A presentation of the most directly comparable GAAP measures and a reconciliation to such measures are set forth in the appendix.
2
TransDigm Overview
Distinguishing Characteristics
Highly engineered aerospace components | | Significant aftermarket content |
Proprietary products | | High free cash flow |
Proprietary Revenues (1) | Pro Forma Revenues (1) | Pro Forma EBITDA |
As Defined (1) | ||
Non‐ | Comm OEM | |
Proprietary | ||
27% | OEM | |
Defense | ||
38% |
Proprietary
Comm | Aftermarket |
Aftermarket | |
35% |
(1) Pro forma revenue is for the fiscal year ended 9/30/2023. Includes full year impact of the Calspan Corporation acquisition completed May 2023. Please see the Special Notice Regarding Pro | 3 |
Forma and Non‐GAAP Information. |
2024 Q2 Financial Performance by Markets - Pro Forma
Highlights
Commercial OEM: | 30% Biz |
Jet/Heli |
- Q2 '24 Commercial Transport Revenue Up 25%
- Q2 '24 Business Jet/Helicopter Revenue Up 15%
- Strong Bookings Continue to Support FY24 Commercial OEM Guidance
Q2 Review - Pro Forma Revenues⁽¹⁾
Actual vs. Prior Year
Q2 YTD
70% Com
Transport
Commercial OEM: | Up 21% | Up 22% |
Commercial Aftermarket:
20% Biz
Q2 '24 Commercial Transport Revenue Up 12% Jet/Heli80% Com
Transport
- Q2 '24 Passenger Transport Revenue Up ∼20%
- Q2 '24 Freight Revenue Down ∼15%
- Q2 '24 Business Jet/Helicopter Revenue Down 5%
- Strong Bookings Continue to Support FY24 Commercial Aftermarket Guidance
Commercial | Up 8% | Up 15% |
Aftermarket: |
Defense:
Q2 '24 Defense Aftermarket Growth Outpaced Defense OEM | Defense: | Up 21% | Up 25% |
Revenue Growth Well Distributed Across Businesses | |||
Improvements in U.S. Government Defense Spend Outlays |
(1) Pro forma revenue for all periods includes the impact of the Calspan Corporation acquisition completed May 2023. Please see the Special Notice Regarding Pro Forma and Non‐GAAP | 4 |
information. |
Second Quarter 2024 Select Financial Results
($ in millions, except per | Q2 FY | Q2 FY | |||
share amounts) | |||||
2024 | 2023 | ||||
Revenue | $1,919 | $1,592 | 21% | Increase | |
Gross Profit | $1,152 | $929 | |||
60.0% | 58.4% | 1.6% | |||
SG&A | $248 | $199 | |||
% to Sales | 12.9% | 12.5% | 0.4% | ||
Interest Expense ‐ Net | $326 | $295 | 11% | Increase | |
Refinancing Costs | $28 | $5 | |||
EBITDA As Defined | $1,021 | $817 | 25% | Increase | |
Margin % | 53.2% | 51.3% | |||
Adjusted EPS | $7.99 | $5.98 | 34% | Increase | |
GAAP Tax Rate | 22.2% | 23.4% | |||
Adjusted Tax Rate | 26.0% | 25.5% |
• Application of our value‐driven operating strategy
• Fixed overhead spread over higher production volumes
• Continued cost mitigation efforts
- Higher non‐cash stock and deferred compensation expense
- Interest on new debt and increase in rates on variable rate debt, partially offset by higher interest income
- Due to the completed refinancing of one senior secured note, one senior subordinated note and the refinancing of Tranche H & I term loans
5
Fiscal 2024 Outlook
Market Growth Assumptions
FY 2023 | Pro | ||
Forma Sales Mix (1) | Market | FY 2024 Expected Growth | |
27% | Commercial OEM | Around 20% | |
35% | Commercial Aftermarket | Mid-Teens % Range | |
38% | Defense | Mid-Teens % Range |
Guidance Summary
($ in millions, except per share amounts) | ||||||||||||||
FY 24 Guidance | FY 24 Guidance Midpoint Change | |||||||||||||
Current | Prior | ∆ | ||||||||||||
Low | High | |||||||||||||
Revenues | $ | 7,680 | $ | 7,800 | Revenues | $ | 7,740 | $ | 7,665 | $ | 75 | |||
Net Income | $ | 1,608 | $ | 1,686 | ||||||||||
GAAP EPS | $ | 26.06 | $ | 27.40 | ||||||||||
EBITDA As Defined | $ | 3,995 | $ | 4,095 | EBITDA As Defined | $ | 4,045 | $ | 3,985 | $ | 60 | |||
% of sales | 52.3% | 52.0% | ||||||||||||
% of sales | 52.0% | 52.5% | ||||||||||||
Adj. EPS | $ | 31.75 | $ | 33.09 | Adj. EPS | $ | 32.42 | $ | 30.85 | $ | 1.57 | |||
(1) Pro forma revenue is for the fiscal year ended 9/30/2023. Includes full year impact of the Calspan Corporation acquisition completed May 2023. Please see the Special Notice Regarding | 6 |
Pro Forma and Non‐GAAP Information. |
Fiscal 2024 Select Financial Assumptions
Select Financial Assumptions for Fiscal 2024
Prior Assumptions (Issued February 2024) | Updated Assumptions | |
Capital Expenditures | $185 to $215 million | No change |
Full Year Net Interest Expense | ≈ $1.38 billion (includes $60 million of | ≈ $1.32 billion (includes $110 million of |
interest income) | interest income) | |
Full Year Effective Tax Rate | ≈ 22% to 24% for GAAP EPS, Adjusted EPS and | No change |
Cash Taxes | ||
Depreciation & Amortization | $290 to $295 million | No change |
Expense | ||
(ex backlog) | ||
Non‐Cash Stock | $175 to $195 Million | $205 to $225 Million |
Compensation and Deferred | ||
Compensation Expense | ||
Other EBITDA As Defined | $30 to $35 million | $75 to $80 million |
Add‐Backs (1) | ||
Weighted Average Shares | 57.8 million | 57.85 million |
- Other EBITDA As Defined Add‐Backs primarily include estimates for refinancing costs, foreign currency gains or losses, employer withholding taxes on stock option exercises,
acquisition‐related expenses and adjustments and other, net. | 7 |
Reconciliation of Fiscal 2024 Outlook
($ in millions, except per
share amounts)
Guidance | |||
Net income | Midpoint | ||
$ | 1,647 | ||
Adjustments: | |||
Depreciation and amortization expense | 294 | ||
Interest expense - net | 1,320 | ||
Income tax provision | 491 | ||
EBITDA | 3,752 | ||
Adjustments: | |||
Acquisition transaction-related expenses and adjustments (1) | 41 | ||
Non-cash stock and deferred compensation expense (1) | 215 | ||
Refinancing costs (1) | 29 | ||
Other, net (1) | 8 | ||
Gross Adjustments to EBITDA | 293 | ||
EBITDA As Defined | $4,045 | ||
EBITDA As Defined, Margin (1) | 52.3% | ||
GAAP earnings per share | $26.73 | ||
Adjustments to earnings per share: | |||
Inclusion of the dividend equivalent payments | 1.75 | ||
Non-cash stock and deferred compensation expense | 2.87 | ||
Acquisition transaction-related expenses and adjustments | 0.60 | ||
Refinancing costs | 0.38 | ||
Other, net | 0.09 | ||
Adjusted earnings per share | $32.42 | ||
Weighted-average shares outstanding | 57.85 | ||
GAAP & Adj Tax Rate | 22% - 24% |
(1) Refer to tables in Appendix for definitions of Non-GAAP measurement adjustments. | 8 |
Reconciliation of GAAP EPS to Adjusted EPS ‐ Guidance
Full Year Guidance | ||||||||||||||
Thirteen Week Periods Ended | Twenty‐Six Week Periods Ended | Mid‐Point | ||||||||||||
March 30, 2024 | April 1, 2023 | March 30, 2024 | April 1, 2023 | September 30, 2024 | ||||||||||
GAAP earnings per share from continuing | ||||||||||||||
operations | $ | 6.97 | $ | 5.32 | $ | 11.83 | $ | 8.65 | $ | 26.73 | ||||
Adjustments to earnings per share: | ||||||||||||||
Dividend equivalent payments | ‐ | ‐ | 1.75 | 0.67 | 1.75 | |||||||||
Acquisition and divestiture transaction‐ | ||||||||||||||
related expenses and adjustments | 0.21 | 0.05 | 0.25 | 0.10 | 0.60 | |||||||||
Non‐cash stock and deferred compensation | ||||||||||||||
expense | 0.77 | 0.55 | 1.44 | 1.01 | 2.87 | |||||||||
Refinancing costs | 0.37 | 0.07 | 0.37 | 0.12 | 0.38 | |||||||||
Tax adjustment on income from continuing | (0.33) | (0.15) | (0.52) | (0.23) | ‐ | |||||||||
operations before taxes | ||||||||||||||
Other, net | ‐ | 0.14 | 0.03 | 0.23 | 0.09 | |||||||||
Adjusted earnings per share | $ | 7.99 | $ | 5.98 | $ | 15.15 | $ | 10.55 | $ | 32.42 | ||||
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Transdigm Group Incorporated published this content on 07 May 2024 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 07 May 2024 12:00:06 UTC.