Stock KIO KUMBA IRON ORE LIMITED
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Financials Kumba Iron Ore Limited

Equities

KIO

ZAE000085346

Iron & Steel

End-of-day quote Johannesburg S.E.
Other stock markets
 06:00:00 2024-06-06 pm EDT 		5-day change 1st Jan Change
469 ZAR -2.45% Intraday chart for Kumba Iron Ore Limited -4.33% -23.71%
May. 30 South African inflation risks ease but no rate cut yet RE
May. 30 How a rattled South Africa became Anglo's best defence against BHP bid RE

Valuation

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 133,811 199,807 147,563 157,994 197,351 150,530 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 121,488 177,614 130,059 148,694 184,128 129,984 127,120 122,095
P/E ratio 8.25 x 8.8 x 4.45 x 10.6 x 8.7 x 6.79 x 8.33 x 9.7 x
Yield 11.2% 9.78% 22.4% 9.14% 7.61% 9.91% 8.64% 7.94%
Capitalization / Revenue 2.08 x 2.49 x 1.45 x 2.13 x 2.29 x 1.83 x 1.93 x 1.99 x
EV / Revenue 1.89 x 2.22 x 1.27 x 2.01 x 2.14 x 1.58 x 1.63 x 1.61 x
EV / EBITDA 3.64 x 3.88 x 2.01 x 3.99 x 4.03 x 2.83 x 3.27 x 3.52 x
EV / FCF 5.58 x 7.13 x 3.05 x 8.9 x 9.47 x 4.6 x 4.99 x 5.34 x
FCF Yield 17.9% 14% 32.8% 11.2% 10.6% 21.7% 20% 18.7%
Price to Book 3.71 x 4.23 x 3.32 x 3.86 x 3.81 x 2.59 x 2.48 x 2.41 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 320,850 320,815 320,725 320,930 321,011 320,952 - -
Reference price 2 417.0 622.8 460.1 492.3 614.8 469.0 469.0 469.0
Announcement Date 2/18/20 2/23/21 2/22/22 2/20/23 2/20/24 - - -
1ZAR in Million2ZAR
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 64,285 80,104 102,092 74,032 86,234 82,152 77,800 75,616
EBITDA 1 33,372 45,800 64,558 37,311 45,710 45,884 38,851 34,675
EBIT 1 28,900 40,857 59,508 26,880 40,705 40,792 33,357 28,883
Operating Margin 44.96% 51% 58.29% 36.31% 47.2% 49.65% 42.88% 38.2%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 29,252 41,204 60,002 26,772 40,747 41,111 33,788 29,301
Net income 1 16,259 22,779 33,266 14,968 22,725 22,341 18,012 16,138
Net margin 25.29% 28.44% 32.58% 20.22% 26.35% 27.19% 23.15% 21.34%
EPS 2 50.58 70.79 103.4 46.54 70.64 69.05 56.28 48.33
Free Cash Flow 1 21,787 24,915 42,691 16,707 19,443 28,266 25,462 22,883
FCF margin 33.89% 31.1% 41.82% 22.57% 22.55% 34.41% 32.73% 30.26%
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) 65.29% 54.4% 66.13% 44.78% 42.54% 61.6% 65.54% 65.99%
FCF Conversion (Net income) 134% 109.38% 128.33% 111.62% 85.56% 126.52% 141.36% 141.8%
Dividend per Share 2 46.78 60.90 103.2 45.00 46.80 46.46 40.52 37.26
Announcement Date 2/18/20 2/23/21 2/22/22 2/20/23 2/20/24 - - -
1ZAR in Million2ZAR
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: December 2019 S2 2020 S1 2020 S2 2021 S1 2022 S2 2023 S1
Net sales 29,787 31,579 - 63,616 - -
EBITDA 13,304 17,389 - 44,366 14,234 -
EBIT 10,867 15,027 25,830 41,924 6,299 -
Operating Margin 36.48% 47.59% - 65.9% - -
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 11,085 15,174 26,030 42,188 6,182 -
Net income 1 6,201 8,408 14,371 23,353 3,414 9,642
Net margin 20.82% 26.63% - 36.71% - -
EPS 2 19.43 26.15 44.64 72.60 10.62 29.98
Dividend per Share 15.99 19.60 41.30 72.70 16.30 -
Announcement Date 2/18/20 7/28/20 2/23/21 7/27/21 2/20/23 7/25/23
1ZAR in Million2ZAR
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 - - - - - - - -
Net Cash position 1 12,323 22,193 17,504 9,300 13,223 20,546 23,410 28,435
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Free Cash Flow 1 21,787 24,915 42,691 16,707 19,443 28,266 25,462 22,883
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) 45.5% 54.5% 72.3% 34.9% 48.8% 41.4% 34.2% 26.1%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) - - - - 25.1% 29.7% 27.3% 21.1%
Assets 1 - - - - 90,690 75,318 66,031 76,611
Book Value Per Share 2 112.0 147.0 139.0 127.0 162.0 181.0 189.0 195.0
Cash Flow per Share 2 85.20 95.30 152.0 86.40 119.0 97.80 83.10 81.90
Capex 1 5,600 5,746 6,253 11,084 9,862 8,320 8,013 7,528
Capex / Sales 8.71% 7.17% 6.12% 14.97% 11.44% 10.13% 10.3% 9.96%
Announcement Date 2/18/20 2/23/21 2/22/22 2/20/23 2/20/24 - - -
1ZAR in Million2ZAR
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Ratings for Kumba Iron Ore Limited

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
A-
More Ratings

Analysts' Consensus

Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
UNDERPERFORM
Number of Analysts
9
Last Close Price
469 ZAR
Average target price
458.7 ZAR
Spread / Average Target
-2.21%
Consensus

EPS Revisions

Estimates Revisions

Quarterly earnings - Rate of surprise

Company calendar

Sector Iron Ore Mining

1st Jan change Capi.
KUMBA IRON ORE LIMITED Stock Kumba Iron Ore Limited
-23.71% 7.97B
FORTESCUE LTD Stock Fortescue Ltd
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NMDC LIMITED Stock NMDC Limited
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SHOUGANG HIERRO PERU S.A.A. Stock Shougang Hierro Peru S.a.a.
+0.91% 5.95B
CSN MINERAÇÃO S.A. Stock CSN Mineração S.A.
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NMDC STEEL LIMITED Stock NMDC Steel Limited
+15.18% 2.08B
HAINAN MINING CO., LTD. Stock Hainan Mining Co., Ltd.
+2.73% 1.86B
HBIS RESOURCES CO., LTD. Stock HBIS Resources Co., Ltd.
+9.35% 1.65B
DETERRA ROYALTIES LIMITED Stock Deterra Royalties Limited
-13.09% 1.59B
LABRADOR IRON ORE ROYALTY CORPORATION Stock Labrador Iron Ore Royalty Corporation
-8.53% 1.36B
Iron Ore Mining
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