Stock GO GROCERY OUTLET HOLDING CORP.
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Financials Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.

Equities

GO

US39874R1014

Food Retail & Distribution

Market Closed - Nasdaq
Other stock markets
 04:00:00 2024-05-23 pm EDT 		5-day change 1st Jan Change
22.65 USD -0.83% Intraday chart for Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. +3.80% -15.99%
May. 09 Goldman Sachs Adjusts Price Target on Grocery Outlet to $21 From $24, Maintains Sell Rating MT
May. 09 Roth MKM Adjusts Grocery Outlet's Price Target to $22 From $27, Keeps Neutral Rating MT

Valuation

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 2,959 3,820 2,712 2,840 2,676 2,262 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 3,379 4,164 3,024 3,116 2,854 2,476 2,414 2,230
P/E ratio 175 x 37.6 x 44.8 x 44.9 x 34.1 x 41.2 x 27.6 x 21.8 x
Yield - - - - - - - -
Capitalization / Revenue 1.16 x 1.22 x 0.88 x 0.79 x 0.67 x 0.52 x 0.48 x 0.43 x
EV / Revenue 1.32 x 1.33 x 0.98 x 0.87 x 0.72 x 0.57 x 0.51 x 0.43 x
EV / EBITDA 19.9 x 18.5 x 15.2 x 13.8 x 11.3 x 9.72 x 8.19 x 6.95 x
EV / FCF 94.8 x 73.9 x 71.7 x 56.6 x 21.2 x -558 x 59.9 x -
FCF Yield 1.05% 1.35% 1.4% 1.77% 4.71% -0.18% 1.67% -
Price to Book 3.98 x 4.17 x 2.69 x 2.57 x 2.19 x 1.75 x 1.57 x 1.28 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 88,893 94,151 96,017 97,279 99,269 99,862 - -
Reference price 2 33.29 40.57 28.25 29.19 26.96 22.65 22.65 22.65
Announcement Date 3/24/20 3/2/21 3/1/22 2/28/23 2/27/24 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 2,560 3,135 3,080 3,578 3,969 4,352 4,758 5,227
EBITDA 1 169.8 224.5 198.5 225.9 252.6 254.9 294.7 321.1
EBIT 1 68.34 107.4 89.1 94.99 125.8 98.04 139.4 170.2
Operating Margin 2.67% 3.43% 2.89% 2.65% 3.17% 2.25% 2.93% 3.26%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 16.78 87.13 77.5 75.75 104.1 79.17 124.8 154.4
Net income 1 15.42 106.7 62.31 65.05 79.44 57.07 88.55 108
Net margin 0.6% 3.4% 2.02% 1.82% 2% 1.31% 1.86% 2.07%
EPS 2 0.1900 1.080 0.6300 0.6500 0.7900 0.5498 0.8198 1.040
Free Cash Flow 1 35.64 56.32 42.2 55.03 134.5 -4.439 40.29 -
FCF margin 1.39% 1.8% 1.37% 1.54% 3.39% -0.1% 0.85% -
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) 20.98% 25.09% 21.27% 24.36% 53.22% - 13.67% -
FCF Conversion (Net income) 231.15% 52.77% 67.73% 84.59% 169.26% - 45.5% -
Dividend per Share 2 - - - - - - - -
Announcement Date 3/24/20 3/2/21 3/1/22 2/28/23 2/27/24 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: December 2021 Q4 2022 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2023 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2024 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Q4 2025 Q1 2025 Q2
Net sales 1 782.7 831.4 897.7 918.2 930.8 965.5 1,010 1,004 989.8 1,037 1,102 1,117 1,098 1,150 1,198
EBITDA 1 47.4 49.25 60.14 59.1 57.45 63.08 70.52 68.14 50.88 39.4 60.07 81.28 75.4 64.52 76.81
EBIT 1 15.43 19.43 26.91 24.69 23.96 32.82 36.48 37.56 18.93 0.563 20.94 41.27 35.27 29.43 40.82
Operating Margin 1.97% 2.34% 3% 2.69% 2.57% 3.4% 3.61% 3.74% 1.91% 0.05% 1.9% 3.7% 3.21% 2.56% 3.41%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 11.64 15.75 21.76 19.89 18.35 21.56 31.72 33.33 17.48 -2.613 15.34 36.44 30.01 24.93 34.57
Net income 1 6.639 11.57 20.09 17.5 15.89 13.72 24.47 27.14 14.11 -1.025 11.63 25.53 20.78 14.64 25.79
Net margin 0.85% 1.39% 2.24% 1.91% 1.71% 1.42% 2.42% 2.7% 1.43% -0.1% 1.06% 2.29% 1.89% 1.27% 2.15%
EPS 2 0.0700 0.1200 0.2000 0.1700 0.1600 0.1400 0.2400 0.2700 0.1400 -0.0100 0.1092 0.2448 0.2059 0.1694 0.2483
Dividend per Share 2 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Announcement Date 3/1/22 5/10/22 8/9/22 11/8/22 2/28/23 5/9/23 8/8/23 11/7/23 2/27/24 5/7/24 - - - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 420 344 311 277 178 215 152 -
Net Cash position 1 - - - - - - - 32
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.472 x 1.532 x 1.569 x 1.226 x 0.7036 x 0.8418 x 0.5166 x -
Free Cash Flow 1 35.6 56.3 42.2 55 134 -4.44 40.3 -
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) 12.4% 18.9% 9.31% 9.63% 6.82% 6.67% 7.88% 8.18%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) 0.87% 4.57% 2.42% 2.39% 2.77% 1.77% 2.97% -
Assets 1 1,781 2,336 2,578 2,721 2,871 3,219 2,986 -
Book Value Per Share 2 8.370 9.720 10.50 11.40 12.30 13.00 14.50 17.70
Cash Flow per Share 2 1.620 1.840 1.670 1.850 3.010 1.730 2.180 -
Capex 1 97.2 125 123 130 169 175 183 183
Capex / Sales 3.8% 3.99% 4.01% 3.65% 4.26% 4.03% 3.85% 3.5%
Announcement Date 3/24/20 3/2/21 3/1/22 2/28/23 2/27/24 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Ratings for Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
C-
More Ratings

Analysts' Consensus

Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
12
Last Close Price
22.65 USD
Average target price
26.36 USD
Spread / Average Target
+16.40%
Consensus

EPS Revisions

Estimates Revisions

Quarterly earnings - Rate of surprise

Company calendar

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