Stock MOMO HELLO GROUP INC.
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Financials Hello Group Inc.

Equities

MOMO

US4234031049

Software

Market Closed - Nasdaq
Other stock markets
 04:00:00 2024-06-07 pm EDT 		5-day change 1st Jan Change
5.46 USD 0.00% Intraday chart for Hello Group Inc. -3.19% -21.44%
Jun. 03 JPMorgan Downgrades Hello Group to Neutral From Overweight, Adjusts Price Target to $6 From $13 MT
May. 29 Benchmark Adjusts Price Target on Hello to $15 From $16, Maintains Buy Rating MT

Valuation

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 48,596 18,937 11,234 11,932 9,369 7,323 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 38,625 12,666 7,369 9,560 5,922 989.2 -320.2 -1,655
P/E ratio 17.2 x 9.44 x -3.96 x 8.47 x 5.01 x 7.02 x 4.79 x 4.06 x
Yield 1.15% - 3.57% 4.03% 3.94% 4.92% 7.53% 9.38%
Capitalization / Revenue 2.86 x 1.26 x 0.77 x 0.94 x 0.78 x 0.69 x 0.67 x 0.64 x
EV / Revenue 2.27 x 0.84 x 0.51 x 0.75 x 0.49 x 0.09 x -0.03 x -0.14 x
EV / EBITDA 9.51 x 4.15 x 3.24 x 5.5 x 2.48 x 0.55 x -0.16 x -0.81 x
EV / FCF 7.34 x 4.28 x 5.03 x 8.34 x 3.48 x 1.12 x -0.17 x -0.8 x
FCF Yield 13.6% 23.3% 19.9% 12% 28.7% 89% -589% -124%
Price to Book 3.55 x 1.26 x 1.06 x 1.08 x 0.78 x 0.6 x 0.53 x 0.46 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 208,374 207,901 196,952 192,655 189,941 185,081 - -
Reference price 2 233.2 91.09 57.04 61.94 49.33 39.57 39.57 39.57
Announcement Date 3/19/20 3/25/21 3/24/22 3/16/23 3/14/24 - - -
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 17,015 15,024 14,576 12,704 12,002 10,662 10,975 11,530
EBITDA 1 4,063 3,050 2,272 1,740 2,385 1,805 1,943 2,042
EBIT 1 5,115 3,362 2,587 2,029 2,572 1,677 1,894 1,957
Operating Margin 30.06% 22.38% 17.75% 15.97% 21.43% 15.73% 17.26% 16.97%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 3,868 2,899 -2,095 2,031 2,652 2,029 2,165 2,271
Net income 1 2,971 2,103 -2,914 1,484 1,958 1,055 1,597 1,701
Net margin 17.46% 14% -19.99% 11.68% 16.31% 9.89% 14.55% 14.76%
EPS 2 13.52 9.650 -14.40 7.310 9.840 5.638 8.268 9.755
Free Cash Flow 1 5,262 2,957 1,464 1,146 1,701 880.5 1,886 2,057
FCF margin 30.93% 19.68% 10.04% 9.02% 14.17% 8.26% 17.19% 17.84%
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) 129.52% 96.95% 64.43% 65.9% 71.33% 48.78% 97.1% 100.77%
FCF Conversion (Net income) 177.13% 140.56% - 77.24% 86.89% 83.47% 118.11% 120.93%
Dividend per Share 2 2.690 - 2.038 2.495 1.942 1.946 2.979 3.710
Announcement Date 3/19/20 3/25/21 3/24/22 3/16/23 3/14/24 - - -
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: December 2021 Q4 2022 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2023 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2024 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Q4 2025 Q1
Net sales 1 3,674 3,148 3,110 3,233 3,213 2,819 3,138 3,043 3,003 2,560 2,673 2,681 2,743 -
EBITDA 415.9 381.3 - 548.5 434.4 542 728.9 - 618.7 - - - - -
EBIT 1 507 460.6 464.1 605.1 499.2 517.8 708.8 681.2 664.2 515 389.6 434.2 399.9 -
Operating Margin 13.8% 14.63% 14.92% 18.72% 15.54% 18.37% 22.59% 22.39% 22.12% 20.11% 14.57% 16.19% 14.58% -
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 -3,934 442.2 477.9 624.8 486.4 525.5 753 699.3 674.5 548.5 444.6 472.5 456 -
Net income 1 -4,243 289.9 345.6 450.8 398 390.3 568.4 546.4 452.5 5.184 321.6 343.4 328.9 -
Net margin -115.47% 9.21% 11.11% 13.94% 12.39% 13.85% 18.12% 17.96% 15.07% 0.2% 12.03% 12.81% 11.99% -
EPS 2 -21.50 1.420 0.8400 2.200 2.010 1.960 1.410 2.750 2.320 0.0100 1.576 1.777 1.662 -
Dividend per Share - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Announcement Date 3/24/22 6/7/22 9/1/22 12/8/22 3/16/23 6/6/23 8/31/23 12/8/23 3/14/24 5/28/24 - - - -
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 - - - - - - - -
Net Cash position 1 9,971 6,271 3,865 2,372 3,447 6,334 7,643 8,978
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Free Cash Flow 1 5,262 2,957 1,464 1,146 1,701 881 1,886 2,057
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) 24% 20.3% 16% 14% 17.3% 11% 12.5% 12%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) 14.3% 12.7% 9.86% 8.75% 12.2% 6.68% 8.9% 8.63%
Assets 1 20,725 16,597 -29,559 16,970 16,029 15,795 17,938 19,709
Book Value Per Share 2 65.80 72.00 53.60 57.20 62.90 66.40 74.10 85.90
Cash Flow per Share 2 24.20 13.60 7.710 5.790 11.30 7.220 11.30 11.50
Capex 1 187 124 95.3 80.4 576 170 183 139
Capex / Sales 1.1% 0.83% 0.65% 0.63% 4.8% 1.6% 1.67% 1.21%
Announcement Date 3/19/20 3/25/21 3/24/22 3/16/23 3/14/24 - - -
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Ratings for Hello Group Inc.

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
B-
More Ratings

Analysts' Consensus

Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
12
Last Close Price
39.57 CNY
Average target price
57.74 CNY
Spread / Average Target
+45.92%
Consensus

EPS Revisions

Estimates Revisions

Quarterly earnings - Rate of surprise

Company calendar

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Mobile Application Software
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