Stock MOMO HELLO GROUP INC.
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Financials Hello Group Inc.

Equities

MOMO

US4234031049

Software

Market Closed - Nasdaq
Other stock markets
 04:00:00 2024-05-31 pm EDT 		5-day change 1st Jan Change
5.64 USD -0.27% Intraday chart for Hello Group Inc. +2.17% -18.85%
May. 29 Benchmark Adjusts Price Target on Hello to $15 From $16, Maintains Buy Rating MT
May. 29 Citigroup Adjusts Hello Group Price Target to $5.70 From $6.40, Maintains Neutral Rating MT

Valuation

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 48,596 18,937 11,234 11,932 9,369 7,560 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 38,625 12,666 7,369 9,560 5,922 -745 -242.7 -1,626
P/E ratio 17.2 x 9.44 x -3.96 x 8.47 x 5.01 x 7.53 x 4.7 x 4.16 x
Yield 1.15% - 3.57% 4.03% 3.94% 4.77% 7.9% 9.24%
Capitalization / Revenue 2.86 x 1.26 x 0.77 x 0.94 x 0.78 x 0.71 x 0.68 x 0.65 x
EV / Revenue 2.27 x 0.84 x 0.51 x 0.75 x 0.49 x -0.07 x -0.02 x -0.14 x
EV / EBITDA 9.51 x 4.15 x 3.24 x 5.5 x 2.48 x -0.44 x -0.12 x -0.76 x
EV / FCF 7.34 x 4.28 x 5.03 x 8.34 x 3.48 x -0.75 x -0.11 x -0.79 x
FCF Yield 13.6% 23.3% 19.9% 12% 28.7% -133% -881% -127%
Price to Book 3.55 x 1.26 x 1.06 x 1.08 x 0.78 x 0.62 x 0.55 x 0.47 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 208,374 207,901 196,952 192,655 189,941 185,081 - -
Reference price 2 233.2 91.09 57.04 61.94 49.33 40.85 40.85 40.85
Announcement Date 3/19/20 3/25/21 3/24/22 3/16/23 3/14/24 - - -
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 17,015 15,024 14,576 12,704 12,002 10,687 11,054 11,563
EBITDA 1 4,063 3,050 2,272 1,740 2,385 1,702 2,005 2,127
EBIT 1 5,115 3,362 2,587 2,029 2,572 1,627 1,934 2,012
Operating Margin 30.06% 22.38% 17.75% 15.97% 21.43% 15.23% 17.5% 17.4%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 3,868 2,899 -2,095 2,031 2,652 1,890 2,191 2,316
Net income 1 2,971 2,103 -2,914 1,484 1,958 1,011 1,679 1,732
Net margin 17.46% 14% -19.99% 11.68% 16.31% 9.46% 15.19% 14.98%
EPS 2 13.52 9.650 -14.40 7.310 9.840 5.428 8.691 9.821
Free Cash Flow 1 5,262 2,957 1,464 1,146 1,701 994 2,138 2,057
FCF margin 30.93% 19.68% 10.04% 9.02% 14.17% 9.3% 19.34% 17.79%
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) 129.52% 96.95% 64.43% 65.9% 71.33% 58.42% 106.61% 96.71%
FCF Conversion (Net income) 177.13% 140.56% - 77.24% 86.89% 98.36% 127.3% 118.76%
Dividend per Share 2 2.690 - 2.038 2.495 1.942 1.946 3.227 3.775
Announcement Date 3/19/20 3/25/21 3/24/22 3/16/23 3/14/24 - - -
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: December 2021 Q4 2022 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2023 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2024 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Q4 2025 Q1 2025 Q2
Net sales 1 3,674 3,148 3,110 3,233 3,213 2,819 3,138 3,043 3,003 2,560 2,671 2,701 2,786 - -
EBITDA 415.9 381.3 - 548.5 434.4 542 728.9 - 618.7 - - - - - -
EBIT 1 507 460.6 464.1 605.1 499.2 517.8 708.8 681.2 664.2 515 502.1 500.4 461 - -
Operating Margin 13.8% 14.63% 14.92% 18.72% 15.54% 18.37% 22.59% 22.39% 22.12% 20.11% 18.79% 18.52% 16.55% - -
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 -3,934 442.2 477.9 624.8 486.4 525.5 753 699.3 674.5 548.5 419.1 430.2 448.3 - -
Net income 1 -4,243 289.9 345.6 450.8 398 390.3 568.4 546.4 452.5 5.184 335.3 344.1 358.7 - -
Net margin -115.47% 9.21% 11.11% 13.94% 12.39% 13.85% 18.12% 17.96% 15.07% 0.2% 12.55% 12.74% 12.87% - -
EPS 2 -21.50 1.420 0.8400 2.200 2.010 1.960 1.410 2.750 2.320 0.0100 2.001 1.992 1.836 - -
Dividend per Share 2 - - - - - - - - - - 3.971 - - - 3.971
Announcement Date 3/24/22 6/7/22 9/1/22 12/8/22 3/16/23 6/6/23 8/31/23 12/8/23 3/14/24 5/28/24 - - - - -
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 - - - - - - - -
Net Cash position 1 9,971 6,271 3,865 2,372 3,447 8,305 7,802 9,186
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Free Cash Flow 1 5,262 2,957 1,464 1,146 1,701 994 2,138 2,057
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) 24% 20.3% 16% 14% 17.3% 11.7% 13.1% 12.1%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) 14.3% 12.7% 9.86% 8.75% 12.2% 6.5% 9.51% 8.77%
Assets 1 20,725 16,597 -29,559 16,970 16,029 15,547 17,662 19,748
Book Value Per Share 2 65.80 72.00 53.60 57.20 62.90 66.10 74.10 86.10
Cash Flow per Share 2 24.20 13.60 7.710 5.790 11.30 5.900 11.10 11.10
Capex 1 187 124 95.3 80.4 576 129 151 106
Capex / Sales 1.1% 0.83% 0.65% 0.63% 4.8% 1.2% 1.36% 0.92%
Announcement Date 3/19/20 3/25/21 3/24/22 3/16/23 3/14/24 - - -
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Ratings for Hello Group Inc.

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
B-
More Ratings

Analysts' Consensus

Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
12
Last Close Price
40.85 CNY
Average target price
62.36 CNY
Spread / Average Target
+52.68%
Consensus

EPS Revisions

Estimates Revisions

Quarterly earnings - Rate of surprise

Company calendar

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Mobile Application Software
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